James Choi @JC_Investment Twitter profile

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James Choi

1 month

Just finished building my short positions today, which I started back in mid May. By the end of the year, I will be able to relish the sweet fruits of these positions.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

The final rally will be fierce, with no mercy, and will take everyone with it when it bursts. My best guess is Q2 of 2023. $SPY $QQQ $DIA $IWM #BTC

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

AAII sentiment is most bearish in history. Remember, the market always kills the majority, and this time it's the bears.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Thank me later $USD $DXY #FOMC

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

11 months

Carve this to your foreheads : 1. Stocks will bottom soon. Treasury yields will top out 2. This will cause stocks to rally with falling yields 3. Retails pile in, greed will rise 4. Investors will soon find out why the yields are falling 5. Rug Pull (Check out my pinned

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

Mark this post. This week's CPI : YoY : 6.9% (7.3% Market consensus) Thank me later. $SPY $QQQ $DIA $VIX #BTC

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

Another big prediction : FTX is the Biggest Collapse since 2008, and yet #BTC     is trading near at 17k. This shows the resiliency of Bitcoin. I am a buyer at this price of $16,820. Thank me later in 3 months when it's at over 30k. Watch and learn.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

10 months

Thank me later $SPX $SPY $QQQ $TLT $VIX

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Japan and China restarted #QE . #FED and #ECB will follow. Asian session showing enormous liquidity increase, Hong Kong up 4%.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

11 months

You've all asked for it. Thank me later. $SPX $SPY $QQQ $VIX #Bitcoin

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

This is it. My model predicts : May #CPI 3.9% yoy vs Market consensus of 4.1% Thank me later.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Thank me later $QQQ $SPX $SPY $VIX

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

1. Rates will plummet 2. USD in a free-fall 3. Tech stocks will soar 4. Buybacks will continue 5. IPO will increase 6. VIX will be sub 15 7. Crypto will be back with vengeance $SPY $QQQ $IWM #BTC

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

Here we go... Breaking out now! Bears will be slaughtered. $SPX $SPY $QQQ $VIX #BTC

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

Highest Put to Call ratio in 25 years. What could possibly go wrong? Even your Uber driver is short.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

This is the most probable senario for now. Thank me later. #Nasdaq $QQQ $TLT $HYG $VIX

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

SPX longterm outlook for the next 4~5 years. Thank me later. #SPY #QQQ #DIA #IWM #BTC

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

10 months

How long does it take for the FED to break the corporate bond market? 2008 : 1 year of plateau, resulted in credit event after another 1 full year. (Total 2 years) 2020 : 7 months of plateau, resulted in credit event after 6 months. (Total 13 months, 54% of 2008) 2023 : it's

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

6 months

I will start to short Nasdaq tomorrow.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

6 months

Started shorting the Nasdaq 100 today.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

This massive uptick in global money supply coupled with China reopening, will boost risk assets to ATHs. #BTC & $crypto will come back with vengeance!

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

You're welcome, Here's the next move. $QQQ $SPX $SPY $VIX Thank me later.

James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Thank me later $QQQ $SPX $SPY $VIX

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

11 months

What did I tell you all? I'm not joking around here. 1. Long rates have topped ✅️ 2. Stocks have bottomed ✅️ 3. Retails will pile in 4. Greed will rise 5. Rug Pull

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

⚠️⚠️Follow the check marks!⚠️⚠️ 1. Debt Ceiling agreement reached✅ 2. Gap up in risk assets on Monday✅ 3. 0DTE calls will chase the gap up. 4. Treasuries will get bid up, rates will fall. 5. This will drain liquidity. 6. Market will start its pullback mid next week.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

Highest Put to Call Ratio. Bears are going to make lots of money. RIGHT? Everyone is betting for a crash and will it happen?

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

This FOMO rally will morph into a meltup in stocks and Cryptos. US dollar and Rates will free-fall. A final blow off top will be epic. SPX 5000+ in 3~5 month.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

10 months

This illustrates the relationship between stocks and treasuries. We're at the very last stage of goldilocks where bad news = rates down = stocks up. This can only continue until something breaks in the financial system. $SPX $SPY $QQQ $TLT $VIX

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

SPOT ON 7.7% You're welcome.

James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

CPI is about to crash next month. My expectation is 7.7%/yoy Previous : 8.2%/yoy Market consensus: 8.1%/yoy

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

Entering Goldilocks period. 1. Risk assets will FLY. 2. $DXY next stop is 95 3. $VIX under 15 4. Memestock frenzy 5. #BTC 30k $SPY $SPX $QQQ $DIA $IWM

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

8 months

If the stocks start to decline with sharply falling yields, run. Because it means the bull steepening, aka liquidity shortage, is here.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

4 months

This is the last meltup. People betting on easier money because the labor market is breaking, will get punished badly. Stack up on cash, the best short opportunity is coming. And I will be there to share it with you all.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Hedge funds are always max Short/Long at the worst possible time. They were max short in 2011, 2015, and 2020 bottoms. They were max long in Sep 2018, and Dec 2021. AND NOW THEY ARE MOST SHORT IN 12 YEARS. LET THIS SINK IN.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

5 months

Both the rates & stocks will collapse to close this gap. Mark my words boys.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Prepare for the biggest & most brutal rally in the history of stock exchange, starting today. All we need is a hint by Powell signaling "POSSIBLE POLICY PAUSE" in the upcoming meeting. Just a little push, all the remaining short positions will be flushed.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

11 months

Just remember : 1. Higher Treasury yields alone can't crash the market unless the Corp bonds and FX market explode. 2. This capitulation in long Treasuries means that if the yields start to come back down soon, stocks will rally. 3. The time for the real crash is NOT now.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Believe me, the FED will drop rates to zero again and unleash QE to infinity. Their balance sheet will exceed 20+ Trillions by the end of 2024. Carve my words to your foreheads.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Model says BTFD. Credit spreads and FX markets are NOT signaling immediate meltdown or liquidity shortage. This dip is very likely to get bought up. Stocks will continue to go higher. I am monitoring the market 24/7. I will let you know ASAP if the market is about to blow up.

James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Stocks are down for a wrong reason

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

This upcoming rally in risk assets will upset many traditional, textbook investors. It will be the most hated rally in history. #Memestocks , #Shitcoins , Junk Bonds, #NFTs will lead the 🚀. $SPX $SPY $QQQ $VIX #BTC

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

10 months

Told ya, You're all welcome! STAY TUNED $SPY $SPX $VIX

James Choi

@JC_Investment

11 months

You've all asked for it. Thank me later. $SPX $SPY $QQQ $VIX #Bitcoin

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

Every single time when 2yr yield goes lower than the Fed funds rate, recession came with liquidity crisis. But there always were lag time of 1 ~ 2yrs. That is the "Goldilocks" period, stocks run to new ATHs!

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

11 months

According to my forecast, We're in the 'Credit Event Zone' now. This means anything could happen this week.

James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

This is the most probable senario for now. Thank me later. #Nasdaq $QQQ $TLT $HYG $VIX

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Buy all dips when yield curve inversion deepens. (NOW) Short everything when this curve reverts quickly.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

I expect the #FED to raise funds rate by 25bp(already priced in) and send out Powell to talk all hawkish, but a barking dog never bites. Market is forward looking, and it will start pricing in a "PAUSE" in March, in which by the time the $SPX will be at 4500.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

People seem to have no idea how the $USD $DXY will fall in the next 3 months. And this massacre will begin with this week's #CPI report. Mark my words, mark them well...

James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

$USD daily chart forecast. Thank me later. $SPY $QQQ $DIA $VIX #BTC

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

7 months

Cash out and buckle up

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

11 months

We are reaching the very last stage of this bullrun, which started back in Oct. Equities will rally for a while because of this higher CPI, but nothing moves in a straight line. Deflation is inevitable, and a credit event isn't far. My radar is on 24/7 to sense this.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

9 months

For bullish swing traders, the market is approaching an 'overbought' level. It is never wrong to pull your profit out! $QQQ $SPX $SPY $VIX $TLT

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

The market knew that #QE was coming, made a bottom in Oct 2022. The accumulation is complete for a blow off top in the second half of 2023. Expect ATHs in both #FED balance sheet and #Nasdaq .

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

You're welcome

James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

4.9%

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Here's where we are. #sentiment #cycle

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

3 months

A major drop in the stock market is upon us.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

I say this over and over again. Bank failures are not just bullish, It's extremely bullish.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

When investors/traders are most short in history, price action tend to go the exact opposite direction. $SPX $SPY $QQQ $VIX #BTC

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

8 months

Something is breaking

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

8 months

Sell

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

9 months

Thank me later $TLT $SPX $SPY $QQQ $VIX #Bitcoin

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

This is exactly why there's so much liquidity out there. FED promised QT but they are doing QE. Banks are using #BTFP getting $1 for a 50c valued bonds. They need to pay 5%/yr for the loan, so they're buying RRP, resulting in net liquidity increase. Hence, market rips higher.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

The likely path of $USD for the next 3 months will take $DXY to 95 handle. This will act as a huge boost for the stocks, taking $SPX to ATH level in the final blow off top in mid 2023.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

10 months

⚠️ ⚠️ ⚠️ I am bullish on $TLT here at $83.9. Thank me later. #Treasury $SHY $SGOV ⚠️ ⚠️ ⚠️

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Again, dark pools bought big today. Smart money buying this dip, while dumb money exiting. A lot of bears got trapped today due to the V recovery. Next week is going to be a bloodbath for the bears.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

Market : FED has done hiking, rate cuts and QE are coming very soon. Dump $USD and buy risky assets right NOW.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Let me make this very clear and simple. #Nasdaq at 13,221. 1. Tech is overbought. 2. Investors are chasing it. (FOMO and complacency) 3. Book your profits. 4. CASH is also a position. (T-bill pays risk-free 5%+ a year.) 5. We will have chances to enter a position within 2 weeks.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

3 months

I have just started to #SHORT Nasdaq 100. Got ammo, got time.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Here's why I expect a 10% #pullback : The market is clearly over-extended, Distance from 200 moving average strategy shows that the market had an average of 10% pullback during the 2020~2021 bullrun. Thank me later. $QQQ $SPX $SPX $VIX

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

The market will soon find out why the inflation is dropping so quickly.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Breakout from a bull flag with diamond pattern Buckle up guys $SPY $SPX $QQQ $VIX #Bitcoin

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

#FED 's next move is a cut. Thank me later.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

10 months

The rise in long rates is done. Powell's speech and this week's labor data will put the final nail in the coffin. $TLT #10YR #Yield $USD

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

After today's window dressing, we will have a technical pullback next week to trap more bears. For those waiting on the sideline, use that opportunity to load up. Thank me later.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

No matter what Powell says tomorrow, markets are going to rally hard. The guy lost his credibility a long time ago. $SPX $SPY $QQQ $VIX #BTC

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

@Mr_Derivatives A PIVOT doesn't trigger a crash. CRASH forces FED to pivot.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

The #FED already pivoted its course. Today's #PPI won't make a dent to Powell's plan. It's 50bp next week, then that's it. My study shows next #CPI print will be much, much lower than everyone's expectation.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

10 months

Chart update Thank me later $SPX $SPY $QQQ $TLT $VIX

James Choi

@JC_Investment

10 months

My last wave count for S&P500 is invalid as 4200 support is broken. Here's the adjusted forecast. It all comes down to whether the 10yr keeps going up, or it's peaked.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

11 months

I think there's liquidity issues with the banks right now.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Meltup, blow off top. You're welcome.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

6 Check marks, You are welcome. 1. Debt Ceiling agreement✅ 2. Gap up in risk assets✅ 3. 0DTE calls chase the gap up✅️ 4. Treasuries UP, rates DOWN✅️ 5. Liquidity being drained✅️ 6. The pullback starts mid week✅️

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

This high beta tech rally is just beginning. Expect 2000 dot com style blow off top. $QQQ $SPX $VIX #BTC

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

When CEO's are most pessimistic, the stock market bottoms.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

2 Trillion go brrr 🚀 🚀 🚀 You can't make this shit up.

New Fed Bank Backstop Has Scope to Inject as Much as $2 Trillion

Market observers are on alert to find out just how much extra funding the Federal Reserve’s new bank backstop program will ultimately add into the system, with analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co....

www.bloomberg.com

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Chance of 50bp increase is gone. Unemployment ticked up to 3.6% vs Expected 3.4% Nasdaq futures surge on the news.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

I am a buyer of #Bitcoin     at 28.4k. Target is 36k in 3 months. Thank me later.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

The Chinese real estate market just blew up

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Another 90B was added to the #FED balance sheet. Almost 70% of the entire #QT process has been reversed in just 2 weeks. No wonder why $QQQ is rallying, and $USD continue to decline.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Put to call ratio is at its higheset since the SVB banking crisis. In a short term view, the 'PUT BUS' is getting crowded and a crowded trade is usually not a good trade.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

10 months

If you capitulate equities here, you are being played

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

I am smelling very nasty things. 1. Junk spread widening. 2. Gold/Silver Selling off 3. #Oil selling off 4. Higher $USD A Classic deflationary bust setup we are entering here. Liquidity is drying. Stay in CASH. #Nasdaq at 13,685 here.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Remember this? Max pain for bears are about to start TODAY. Mark my words boys mark them well.

James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Again, dark pools bought big today. Smart money buying this dip, while dumb money exiting. A lot of bears got trapped today due to the V recovery. Next week is going to be a bloodbath for the bears.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

6 months

James Choi

@JC_Investment

6 months

I will start to short Nasdaq tomorrow.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

10 months

My last wave count for S&P500 is invalid as 4200 support is broken. Here's the adjusted forecast. It all comes down to whether the 10yr keeps going up, or it's peaked.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Market beginning its meltup phase here. How many gap ups can bears withstand? Smarter bears will start to cover first, then 💣 blow off top fueled by the largest short squeeze ever.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

6 months

Added more shorts today. This rebound is temporary.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Thank me later. $SPX $SPY $QQQ $DIA $VIX #Bitcoin

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

10 months

1. Strong Labor market 2. Soft landing 3. Higher for longer Fed was right! Good news = Bad news But, the deterioration in the economy (labor market) is inevitable. Rise in initial jobless claims will be bullish for equities until investors actually figure out why it's rising.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Thank me later. $SPX $SPY $QQQ $VIX #Bitcoin

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

Meltup has just begun. You're welcome.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

Enjoy the Goldilocks! We will profit from the market 🚀🚀 higher, but I will also be there to let you know when to SHORT, to profit from worst crash ever. $SPX $SPY $QQQ $VIX $IWM

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

10 months

1. Long rates have topped ✅️ 2. Stocks have bottomed ✅️ 3. Retails 'ARE' piling in now ✅️ 4. Greed 'IS' rising now ✅️ 5. Rug Pull

James Choi

@JC_Investment

11 months

Follow the checkbox 1. Long rates have topped ✅️ 2. Stocks have bottomed ✅️ 3. Retails 'ARE' piling in now ✅️ 4. Greed will rise 5. Rug Pull

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

$CS Credit Suisse CEO's name was "Lehman". $DB Deutsche Bank CEO's name is "Deutsche-scam"? You gotta be kidding me.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

The FED is done raising rates.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

1 year

Highest short position on ES_F in 12 years. It's even higher than March 2020. Bears will be providing the liquidity for the blow off top.

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James Choi

@JC_Investment

2 years

#recession Fears are down sharply. Don't these red circles ring any bells to you? March 2009 -> Stocks bottomed April 2020 -> Stocks bottomed November 2022 -> ?

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