This is
#Houston
with
#Beryl
still far away!
#Houston
has a major
#flooding
problem. Urban development has added impervious surfaces, intensifying runoff with any excessive rainfall. As the climate warms, more intense rainfall is expected, worsening existing flooding issues.
I am excited to share that I joined Lemont-Dorothy Earth Observatory (
@LamontEarth
) at Columbia University (
@Columbia
) as a postdoctoral research scientist focusing on tropical cyclone risk modeling.
Grateful for this opportunity...
Today is a special day for me !!!!!! I successfully defended my Ph.D. research, entitled"The Role of Urbanization in Resilience of Communities under Flood Risk".
How human behavior and its decision on where to locate affect future flood risk?
Excited to share our recent publication in
@SciReports
, “Unraveling the complexity of human behavior and urbanization on community vulnerability to floods”.1/n
@FOXWeatherDesk
Thanks for reaching out! I took these videos earlier today (July 6, 2024) at the intersection of Kirby Dr. and Westheimer Rd, Houston, TX. You are welcome to use them for news coverage purposes. Let me know if you need a high-quality version of the videos!
I am pleased to share that our review paper on Urbanization and Future Flood Risk published in
@theAGU
's
@EarthsFutureEiC
!
P.S. This is the accepted version of the paper.
The next Risk KAN Compound Events webinar will take place on Wednesday, March 1, at 15:00 UTC (10am EDT). For this webinar, Cassandra Rogers and I will host Dr. Efi Rousi (
@syn_efou
) (Nature Communications/PIK). Go to to get the link.
@regclimo
@KKornhuber
"How
#urbanization
should be integrated with socioeconomic incentives and urban planning policies to shape city expansion towards a
#resilient
community."
The final formatted version of this paper is now available in
@theAGU
journal
@EarthsFutureEiC
I felt it necessary to clarify a few points regarding my recent post and the numerous comments it has received. Stay with me!
1)
#Climatechange
is real and scientifically confirmed! It's contributing to increasingly severe and frequent
#rainfallextremes
.
2) Regarding
This is
#Houston
with
#Beryl
still far away!
#Houston
has a major
#flooding
problem. Urban development has added impervious surfaces, intensifying runoff with any excessive rainfall. As the climate warms, more intense rainfall is expected, worsening existing flooding issues.
Over the past few days in
#Houston
, I've heard countless stories about how the
#heat
is affecting over a million people who lost
#power
due to
#Beryl
’s severe impact on the
#electric
#power
network. This is a real-time example of
#cascading
hazards!
It's been five days since the
Nearly a year since Cat 4 Hurricane
#Ian
struck Florida, bringing a 15 ft storm surge to
#FortMyers
. Today,
#Idalia
sets its sights on
#Florida
again. The forecast predicts an approximately 10 to 15 ft surge. Let's reflect on the magnitude of such devastation.
Video: Max Olson
It's essential that we reflect on today's heavy
#rainfall
and
#flooding
in
#NYC
as a stark reminder of the urgent need to address extreme rainfall risks. My colleagues and I were inspired to conduct a study following Ida in 2021, which we titled "Enhanced Urban Adaptation Efforts
Thrilled to convene the session GC32A at
#AGU2023
! Join us on Wednesday at 10:20 AM for "Multisector Dynamics: Extreme Weather, Compound Hazards, and Impacts on Society." Engage with experts sharing insights on recent advances in
#ExtremeEvents
.
Exciting News: Our team is excited to announce that we have been awarded a $1.49 million grant from
@NASEM_Gulf
for our project, “Assessing the Public Health Risk Due to Tropical Cyclone Impacts on Petrochemical Facilities.”
#GRPFunded
Climate Change is not the only reason for rising flood risk in the US … Urbanization of coastal communities puts more exposure at risk resulting in rising flood risk … This fact should be considered in developing flood preparedness and recovery plans.
Why is there so much concern regarding sea level rise? One reason is that people continue to flock to the coastline. Many coastal counties from Texas to the Mid-Atlantic have seen >25% of their housing unit stock built since 2000.
NOAA SLR Report:
Calling researchers studying compound events!! Join
#AGU23
, and contribute to NH029 - Multidisciplinary Approaches to Characterize Compound Hazards and Impacts: From Science to Practice with Prof. Beth Tellman (
@pazjusticiavida
) and Prof.
@AmirAghaKouchak
.
Does your research examine compound events? Consider submitting an abstract to our
#AGU23
session: NH029 - Multidisciplinary Approaches to Characterize Compound Hazards and Impacts: From Science to Practice
Florida's building codes faced a trial by strong storm winds during Cat 4
#Ian
last year. However, when it comes to surges, the narrative takes a different turn. Are our homes truly equipped to withstand these catastrophic surges? I have my doubts.
This makes us think about a
Stunning video taken from inside the eye of
#Ida
this morning by the NESDIS Ocean Winds Research team during a flight on the
@NOAA_HurrHunter
P3 aircraft
@NOAASatellites
Here's
#Beryl
hitting
#Houston
earlier today!
Please a pay close attention to local authorities' guidelines and avoid driving if possible. There are multiple ongoing floods in Houston!
Location: Greater Uptown, Houston.
#txwx
#houstonwx
Interesting study.... Updating floodplains is necessary especially considering climate change and other dynamic conditions... we have seen these impacts in Hurricane Harvey ....
Today we published our “First National Flood Risk Assessment”, and publicly released flood risk data for more than 142 million properties across the U.S. Overall, at least 16.5% of US properties are at any risk of flooding within the next 30 years.
.
The current water level at the
#Naples
NOAA station is 9.05 ft. At this point, this is the highest water level compared to the surrounding stations. This number for
#FortMyers
is 2.32 ft. We expect to see changes here!
#HurricaneIan
Record-breaking rainfalls in 2021 motivated us to discuss this in
@Nature_NPJ
.
However, the ongoing floods in Bangladesh, India, and China are the other examples of extreme rainfalls that are already happening in 2022, impacting millions of people!
@columbiaclimate
@LamontEarth
The straightforward narration of 2021 flooding disasters in this paper on adaptation responses is, on its own, quite eye opening. “Globally, precipitation extremes led to a record number of flood disasters in 2021,” the accounting begins (1/x).
Another Risk KAN webinar is on the horizon! Dive deep into "Investigating the role of climate change and development on hurricane compound hazard across spatial scales" with
@avantika_gori
.
Date: Thurs, Feb 29
Time: 15:00 UTC (16:00 CET/10:00 EST)
🔗 Zoom Link:
As New York City faces severe flooding and historic rain, experts say not enough progress has been made in preparing the city’s infrastructure for climate risks.
Honored to contribute to a recent
@CNN
article alongside my colleague Andrew Kruczkiewicz (
@wxpizza
), discussing the powerful winter storm impacting the central and eastern US this week.
@columbiaclimate
@LamontEarth
It is time to prepare for
#Beryl
,
#Texas
!
Hurricane-force winds, storm surges up to 5 ft, and heavy rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with localized amounts of 15 inches are expected, creating a potential flood threat.
Currently,
#Beryl
is a tropical storm due to shear. However, its
I am grateful to my advisers Prof. Mahmoud and Prof. Ellingwood for providing this opportunity to study under supervision. Also, I appreciate my committee members for their support and valuable feedbacks
... ready for the next adventure...
This graph serves as a stark reminder of the limitations in our current global models when it comes to predicting the rapid intensification witnessed in Hurricane
#Otis
, going from a Cat 1 to a Cat 5 hurricane in less than 24 hours. It underscores the urgency of investing in
Just to emphasize how poorly hurricane & global models performed for Hurricane Otis... here's the intensity forecasts initialized 24 hours ago, with the dotted black line showing verification:
Please consider joining us for an engaging session on "SY039 - Science to Action: Increasing communities’ resilience to climate change and long-time horizon hazards impacts on the built environment and social infrastructure" at AGU Fall Meeting 2020.
#naturalhazards
#AGU2020
While all eyes are on the projected intense
#hurricaneseason2024
, Canada's
#wildfires
have become a major concern, forcing thousands to evacuate over the past few weeks.
Let's look at some stats from the 2023 Canadian wildfire season:
• Canada’s 2023 wildfire season was the
@nitsonnet
Please feel free to use these two videos I took earlier today (July 6, 2024) at the intersection of Kirby Dr. and Westheimer Rd in Houston, TX for your news coverage.
An internationally-minded mini proposal workshop, oriented toward compound events, with a mix of info and feedback? Yes! Via Risk KAN,
@KKornhuber
@HemmatiMona
and I are organizing the first of probably several sessions on Tues Jul 26 at 10am ET/4pm CET.
As part of
@columbiaclimate
and
@LamontEarth
, we spoke with
@esquire
about using various adaptation techniques that cities need to consider when it comes to preparing for extreme rainfall-induced urban floods. Read more here.👇
An interesting research question that deserves more attention. Many policies like Buyout and Acquisition require large social and economic investments. The answer to the question will help us to build resilient communities in a changing climate.
Honored to contribute to the
@nytimes
story "7 Years After ‘Summer of Hell,’ the Subway Is Approaching Another Crisis". The MTA and NJ Transit remain highly vulnerable due to age and stress from heat and storms.
#CongestionPricing
was a promising strategy to fund renovations,
#Beryl
is getting closer! Landfall projections remain mostly unchanged. Expect to see impacts starting this evening. Here are the potential threats of
#Beryl
to
#Houston
:
* Wind: Potential for winds 58 to 73 mph
* Storm Surge: Potential for storm surge flooding greater than 1 ft
@ReporterAlvarez
Thank you for reaching out. Please feel free to use these two videos I took yesterday (July 6, 2024) at the intersection of Kirby Dr. and Westheimer Rd in Houston, TX for your news coverage.
This map highlights the highest
#forecast
levels for each gauge in the upcoming forecast period, indicating an impending severe weather system:
🟣 9 Gauges: Major Flooding
🔴 40 Gauges: Moderate Flooding
🟠 155 Gauges: Minor Flooding
Significant major and moderate flooding is
Tropical Cyclone
#Alberto
has formed and is heading toward northeastern
#Mexico
. This storm exemplifies the far-reaching impacts beyond the cone of uncertainty. Moderate coastal
#flooding
and severe
#rainfall
are expected along the
#Texas
coast, with hazardous surf and rip
Are you a researcher studying Compound, Consecutive, and Cascading Events? We invite you to submit your abstract for our
#AGU24
session.
Learn more and submit here: .
It is that time of the year! Abstract submission for the 2024
@theAGU
's general assembly is open! Consider submitting an abstract to our session that brings together all things related to compound and multi-(hazard) risk:
#AGU24
#CompoundRisk
#MultiRisk
Super excited for
#AGU19
. This will be my first experience and I am ready for it.💪
Join us in our poster presentation on "Impact of Urban Growth on Future Flood Risk and Community Resilience ", Friday, 13th DEC, 8 AM to 12 PM. IN51G-0712
Do not underestimate
#Debby
just because it's predicted to make landfall as a Category 1 hurricane!
#Debby
poses two major threats:
1) Storm Surge Threat: Expect 6 to 10 ft of inundation above ground level from the Suwannee River to the Ochlockonee River, FL. Evacuation orders
Here, we discussed a cluster of high-impact rainfall events in 2021 and the need for developing specialized resilience plans to such extremes that are happening more frequently in a warming climate.
Accordingly, there is an immediate need for:
Today, an interesting interactive discussion about the fair and equitable managed retreat will be held at
#managedretreatcu2021
... Do Not Miss This ...
The devastating impact of the deadly Friday night tornado in
#RollingForkMississippi
is a stark reminder of the immense power of natural disasters. We must continue to study and understand these phenomena to better prepare and protect communities in the future.
#Tornado
Honored to contribute to a story by
@NBCNews
covering the impact of the latest heatwave on NJ transit:
Read More Here:
Busiest transit hub in U.S. rocked by delays as infrastructure breakdowns hit during heat wave via
@nbcnews
@columbiaclimate
Such a great talk in career path series by
@DoctoraDisaster
and
@SEIPresident20
. I personally learned a lot and definitely suggest to early-career scientists and students to join for future sessions. You can register here:
#nonacademic
Tweet!
#Happy
#Nowruz
to everyone.
#Nowruz
is the first day of Spring.
"It is the Iranian New Year, also known as the Persian New Year, which is celebrated worldwide by various ethnolinguistic groups."
May this day brings health and happiness to our world!
1) Developing resilience and preparedness plans for extreme rainfall events.
2) Developing specialized climate services and toolkits for extreme rainfall events.
3) Integrating science into action through education, perception, and cognition of hazard and impact distribution.
A severe
#thunderstorm
warning has been issued for over 1.1 million residents in the
#Houston
, TX area. Expect strong winds, quarter-sized hail, and heavy rainfall.
#txwx
The outer bands of
#Debby
are rolling in. Driving through floodwaters? Bad idea. Just 12 inches can sweep away most cars, and 2 feet can snag SUVs and trucks. Stay out of the water and stay safe!
#FloodSafety
#FLwx
UPDATE: Tropical Storm
#Debby
is currently bringing 2 - 4 feet of storm surge to Southwest Florida. These are pictures of flooded Fort Myers Beach right now. Credit: Beach Talk Radio
@WINKNews
@stormhour
@spann
The prediction of the CSU Hurricane model for the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season is out .... It predicts an above-average 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, citing the likely absence of El Niño as a primary factor.
#HurricaneSeason
In this paper, we investigated the statistical relationships between interannual variations in economic losses from Tropical Cyclones (TCs), basin-wide metrics of TC activity, and indicators of large-scale climate variability in the North Atlantic basin.
A massive storm is currently sweeping across the United States, bringing a mix of weather extremes, including snow, ice, strong winds, tornadoes, and floods. As the Earth's climate warms up, the oceans and the air become hotter increasing the atmosphere's capacity to hold
#Ida
is on its way to the southern coast with the potential landfall in
#Louisiana
. There is a possibility for rapid intensification- "the storm's maximum sustained winds may increase by at least 35 mph in 24 hours". People have just two days for preparation!
It's happening fast folks. Winds already at 60 mph. Convection firing near the center. Once this storm clears Cuba it will quickly organize and rapidly intensify. A cat 3 is forecast... but prepare for a stronger storm.
#Ida
Planned to spend the summer chasing my first
#tornado
with a team of storm chasers. Didn't expect to get caught in a tornado warning today in
#Houston
, TX. Horrifying yet exciting experience!
Check out how quickly it got dark in Houston, Texas from the intense supercell moments ago!
Power flashes were also visible.
Camera is from the ABC13 SkyCam.
#txwx
Center of Excellence has been granted for 5 more years by NIST...
Congrats to
@commresilience
and Prof Bruce Ellingwood ... 🎉 I am honerd I was part of it as a PhD student...
#HurricanIan
is now a Cat 5
#hurricane
after rapid intensification in last 24 hour…
#climatechange
will cause more rapidly intensifying storms, that results in less time for
#Preparedness
. This is a nightmare for forecasters and decision makers….
"Beryl's early and rapid intensification is indicative of the types of extreme weather events we may see more frequently in a warming world," says expert
@HemmatiMona
of
@LamontEarth
/
@ColumbiaClimate
. Via
@CNN
.
Driving through flooded water is extremely dangerous. Just 12 inches of rushing water can carry away most cars, and 2 feet can carry away SUVs and trucks. Avoid driving into water at all costs!
#FloodSafety
#flxw
The results imply that seasonal forecasts of TC activity metrics such as ACE and PDI, to some extent, can be considered as a proxy for forecasting economic losses from TCs.
Tomorrow (June 1st) marks the first day of the 2024
#hurricane
season. Although this season is projected to be extremely active, preparation remains the same.
Key reminders:
· It only takes one storm to impact your community.
· Rainfall flooding, storm surge, surf, and rip
NYC right now. Rainfall intensity is increasing as the planet heats as scientists have warned. We are heading for irreversible breakdown as we’ve been warned about for decades
Join us for the
@kan_risk
webinar series on
#compoundextremes
! 🌪️🌊💥 Today's session on Disaster and Public Health Risk features Professor Virginia Murray, Head of Global Disaster Risk Reduction at the UK Health Security Agency.
Go to to get the link.
NWS and NOAA's latest data reveal the 3-day rainfall totals from
#Debby
across the Southeast as of 08/06/2024 8 AM ET. I've compared these totals to the average annual precipitation for each location. Several regions have already received over 20% of their yearly rainfall, with
These Storm Surges are deadly!!!!!! What is going on in the United States?
California and Colorado and many other places are on fire and the Golf of Mexico is bringing deadly surges.
And above all of these, we have COVID19!
#WeWantTheEndOf2020WithGoodNews
#HurricaneLaura
Unsurvivable storm surge with large, destructive waves will cause catastrophic damage from Sea Rim State Park, TX, to Intracoastal City, LA. Surge could penetrate up to 30 miles inland.
If you need to evacuate, do so NOW. Surge will begin today, well ahead of the strongest winds
A big storm is hitting
#NYC
metro area. The wind will be very strong even reaching 60 mph. Stay safe!
#NYwx
#NJwx
Remember to check
@NWSNewYorkNY
@NWS
for more info.
P.S. Holding my phone steady for this video was a challenge because of the winds!
#Beryl
made landfall earlier this morning near Matagorda, Texas, as a Category 1 hurricane. It is currently affecting the Houston Metro region with strong winds and heavy rainfall. According to USGS and NOAA, several gauges are experiencing flooding :
🟣 6 gauges: Major flooding