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Gladiator Research Group Profile
Gladiator Research Group

@GladsResearch

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Global Macro Strategy || Fundamental & Technical Analysis || L&S Fund || Not Financial Advice

Joined January 2021
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$SPX Neckline retest. A reversal likely brewing.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
I think $NVDA claims the throne as the most irrational stock on the market. More so than $TSLA. Now retracing 78.6% of its total stock market losses. Holding all of my $NVDA puts and not flinching. This ponzi is set to collapse. PA suggests bears capitulating and turning bull.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
$SPY $SPX As I mentioned Friday, I anticipate sharp declines to start the week with tech leading the downside.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
23 days
$SPY Not quite seeing anything bullish about this current setup. Bearish confirmation below 500.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 month
$SPY $QQQ KISS - Double Top Formation As prices whipsaw and small glimpses of volatility - the final stages of distribution are upon us. Confirmation below 5000 $SPX
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
10 months
$SPY Once the new year begins - sellers will begin flooding the tape. I give it 10 TDs.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
11 months
$SPY The last hurrah for the bulls. Enjoy your moment. Once 4100 goes, volatility will substantially increase as breadth continues to deteriorate. The disinversion will continue sending stocks lower as market begins to price in growth and recession risks.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
10 months
$SPY $QQQ Time is up bulls. Upside from here is limited. Merry Christmas & Happy Holidays🎄 #lasthurrah
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$SPY The recessionary phase of the bear market has yet to play out. Soon, equities will face immense selling pressure as reality will soon set in.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
$VIX Black swan event seems to be looming. Set up eerily similar to Feb 2020.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
10 months
$QQQ You can't be serious.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
$NVDA Update A gap down tomorrow post CPI seals this ponzi.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
$NVDA In the process of creating a MAJOR top.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
11 months
$SPX Bears have a lot of leg work to do next week. As history suggests, as the yield curve disinverts, rallies are typically short lived and should be sold. No change to roadmap. I presume the W2 expanded flat has been completed and downside will resume into the EOY.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$SPY Similarly to 2008, sp500 has now retraced 61.8% of its losses it has endured during the bear market. Bulls feel invisible and continue to ignore the massive risks that lie ahead. It's not so much price capitulation, its more so time capitulation taking nearly 7 months.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
Bear markets are truly brutal. The number of bears I have seen who lost conviction and capitulating over the past few weeks is unimaginable. This next downturn will be brutal, leaving those holding the bag decimated.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
9 months
Melt-up running on fumes - epic sell to follow. $VIX up $SPY up $IWM flat (poor breadth) Diverging from $TLT
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$SPY Putting out a mid-day update. I remain highly convinced this remains a bear market. Bearish positioning continues to unwind as investors continue to chase the AI narrative. Waiting for a WC to play out.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
Am I the only one who thinks the $VIX is being pulled back like a sling shot right now ready to explode higher?
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
11 months
$SPY Calm and collective.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
3 months
$SPY Same sequence, larger bubble.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
5 months
$SPY Lower high looks complete - sell should continue.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
5 months
$SPY Double top in the works? Very possible. Bear market has not concluded until real prices have exceed those in 2021.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
21 days
$QQQ Reversal seems imminent...
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
As one of the most convicted bears on Fintwit and being down over 30% YTD, I will tell you this, I may have been early and I am not wrong.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
5 months
$SPY Double top in the works? Very possible. Bear market has not concluded until real prices have exceed those in 2021.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
$QQQ Its all distribution.... sell is coming and it won't be pretty.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
After a clear channel break, a rejection off the 61.8% retracement, and $VIX confirmation, it is likely we have made a MAJOR local high on $SPY. Over the next several days, I expect dramatic declines in the overall equity market. First target - ~365
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$NVDA Who else is still bagholding puts on this name? I sure am. Been in since 260. January 2024 exp. I still expect semis to fall the furthest in the next leg lower, as there valuations remain extremely stretched.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$SPX $QQQ Calls for a "crash" seem to have gone extinct. Bulls, this should alarm you. #minskymoment
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
$SPY I am not 0dte, but setup is quite bearish and is calling for a gap down tomorrow to kick off the next bear leg down.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
9 months
$QQQ Update: No change to the 2024 forecast - we are likely seeing the one last push higher before the resumption of the bear market. As the steepener continues, pain awaits for risk assets - including equities.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
9 months
$QQQ A big, beautiful sell awaits.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$QQQ Soon to be known as the "Great Unwind".
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$SPY Zee Minsky Moment awaits... still positioned for such event.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
$SPY $QQQ $SPX I am not trying to fear monger, but due to the extremely unsustainable amount of leverage/debt that has been accumulated over the years following the '08 crisis, my long-term outlook remains dramatically grim. I expect no ATH for a very long time.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$SPY The squeeze is likely over, for now. Our WC has now extended 1.618% of WA, in similar duration as our W2. The next few days will determine whether we are still in the midst of a W3 or a W5 is kicking off. Either way, expecting downside.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
7 months
$SPY A pullback is well overdue... speculation into risk assets soaring. 1.618...
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
11 months
$QQQ Inflation was just the trigger. In a largely indebted environment, the real risk is deflation. Few.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$QQQ Tech stocks will likely retrace nearly 50% of its previous returns from the 2009 - 2021 bull run as multiples are historically high.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
4 months
$SPX $QQQ In life, there is a cost to everything. The price to pay will be tremendous due to 10+ years of money printing, reckless fiscal and monetary policy, and excessive speculation. The MOAB (Mother of All Bubbles) is set to burst in the coming years.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$SPY Since 2018 - a sharp, sudden drawdown has occurred each time the red trendline was tested. Will the coming sell-off take us to fresh lows, or will it be a buyable dip? Leave your answers in the comment section below.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$SPX "The invincible market".
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
In 2008 - $QQQ retraced more than 61.8% of its loses right before it dropped a sequential 50%. As we currently stand - $QQQ has caught the tailwind of AI monetization and exceeding low bar earnings estimates. Headwinds include drying global liquidity and recession fears.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
10 months
Bull markets are not born with 5.5% FFR and 3.7% Unemployment rate. These are components of a late stage cycle. We will now begin transitioning into a recession (Hard Landing)
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
5 months
$NYA $SPY Patience... the sell is coming.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
9 months
$QQQ A big, beautiful sell awaits.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
What an epic day as stocks continue to roar as the AI narrative remains in focus and bears continue to lose conviction. If only there is someone who could dismantle this momentum?
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
Can someone explain to me what the bull thesis even is anymore? Is it just $VIX to zero?
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
5 months
$SPY $DJT $IWM ⚠️Update⚠️ Double top looks completed accompanied by large divergences across small caps and transports. Do not overcomplicate. A recession will be apparent imminently.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
I don't see a reason why we wouldn't revisit 396 next week.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$SPY The distribution process is quickly coming to an end. The unwind I am expecting will truly be remarkable. Let us see if it materializes.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
$SPY Next week is possibly the biggest week of this bear market. The fate of this bear market lies in the hands of the bears. Have a great weekend.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
$SPY Closed at a key spot. Tomorrow will be telling. I think the $VIX gave us a clue today. Held its ground quite well. I added massively into my core shorts.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
$SPY Blood below blue trend line. There, I said it
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
Seems like I am the only bear active today. We will conquer soon!
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$SPY Recently, I discovered a new channel originating from the COVID lows, which aligns with my thesis that a waterfall type sell is setting up across all major indices. As the path I provided may not play out exactly as illustrated, I remain convicted the lows lie ahead.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
11 months
$SPY Pending sell-off... Signals firing across assets. Distribution just about complete.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 months
$QQQ $SPY A crash scenario is still on the table after a clear backtest of the major trend line support from Dec 22'. Volume looks like it will ramp higher - an attack on Israel? IF, heavy selling persist tomorrow, expect volatility to climb much higher than yesterday.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
$SPY Equities likely made a top this morning with $TLT and $DXY confirming. I believe we completed a Wc with a w5 expanding diagonal. I expect equities to experience downside early in the week. If we do see more upside, its likely limited due to a 17 handle of the $VIX.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
Similarly to August, the $QQQ is sitting at its 50% retracement and printed a weekly reversal candle. The last time this occurred, tech fell ~24% in 9 short weeks. As earnings are set to deteriorate and technicals seem overstretched, there is room for a lot of downside.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
When stocks peaked in March 2000, $QQQ dropped -35% in 15 trading days. Breadth matters.
@thuhkang
Kang
1 year
Market breadth
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$SPY Bear market rally officially dead.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$SPY Pattern recognition. The show starts soon.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
Watching the continued price divergence between $QQQ and $TLT as the global economy heads toward a recession.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
8 months
Bears will know when its their time. It's coming.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
$QQQ On the flip side, tech looks extremely toppish here as valuations remain extremely stretched. Best short opportunity in my opinion.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
11 months
$SPY Momentum dwindling. Sell off to resume...🔜
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
If you have not studied the Japanese Asset Bubble of 1989, I suggest you do so. Many parallels the US is facing today. History never repeats itself, but it does often rhymes.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
$SPY After a clear channel break on Tuesday and further downside confirmation today, a local top is surely cemented. I will be holding a majority of puts, which are still under pressure until $SPY reaches the 360 range, which is likely in the coming weeks.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
After the explosive rally in equities, the momentum is show its early signs of exhaustion. On several time frames I monitor, we remain in extreme overbought conditions, which can lead to a massive sell at moments notice. NYA closing below its 50MA and retracing 61.8%.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
10 months
$QQQ What if?🤔
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$ES Let them continue to tell you bank failures are "bullish".
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
4 months
$SPY The Moment of Truth. #doubletop
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
6 months
$QQQ Bears need a resumption of selling pressure next week or else they risk continued distribution. The highs for the cycle are here.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
3 months
$SPY A blow-off top from the COVID lows may have finally concluded; however, more evidence is needed. Look for a ~15-25% decline in a short time frame (1-4 weeks) for confirmation.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
If you are tired of seeing my "imminent crash" calls you are more than welcome to unfollow and mute my account. However, all my indicators I follow closely continue to flash imminent crash. That is just the way it is.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
9 months
Target $QQQ - 327 middle of Feb.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
This move feels awfully similar to the one we saw prior to the meltdown to 3800 in the middle of March.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
As this is not my base case, I thought I would share you all some bear porn to start your morning.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
10 months
We are likely at a spot you don't want to chase. As the legend, Bob Farrell, says himself - "Exponential rapidly rising or falling markets usually go further than you think, but they do not correct by going sideways".
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$SPY $RSP First and foremost, I want to congratulate all who have caught this massive melt up. I surely did not foresee a rally to this extent and have suffered like all bears have. This does not mean I will discontinue my bearish stance because in my eyes nothing has changed.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$SPY Here is a look at a shorter timeframe. Our larger degree WC is just about complete as our w5 has now extended 1.618% of our w4.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$SPY Equities confirmed the distribution process has been completed. Here I lay out the appropriate roadmap for what lies ahead. HAGW.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$SPY The distribution process is quickly coming to an end. The unwind I am expecting will truly be remarkable. Let us see if it materializes.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
11 months
$SPY I expect significant weakness in next weeks ISM services PMI report. Commodities, labor, and bond markets are flashing recession warnings, but the equity markets continue to misinterpret the move in yields as it assumes earnings will return to growth into 2024.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
6 months
$QQQ ABC corrective looks complete. Let's see if bears can follow through.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
$AAPL "As apple goes, so does that market".
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$SPX A lot of data to be digested in this coming week. The squeeze that occurred late last week is not something unfamiliar. Market is set up for a big move next week.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
$SPY Week Ahead: Approaching the 20 MA and 50% retracement, both which will be a strong zone of resistance. Mon: I anticipate we will achieve 4060 on and finish the day w/ a doji or shooting star. Tues: I expect a strong down day as Powell set to speak. Fri: Gap and sell!
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
9 months
I’m almost certain one of these days in the near future stocks are going to gap down > -5% led by the mag 7.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
$SPY What a wild and terrible week to be a bear. But rest assure relief is coming. Fundamentally nothing has changed. Similarly to w2 we saw in March 2022, we retraced 78.6% of the w1. Now, we see the same scenario at 4100. Additionally, WC has extended 1.618% of WA.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
Yes, I know I was early, but all my indicators are still point to a sharp/sudden drawdown. I continue to pound the table on a "crash scenario". As always, do your own due diligence and manage your own risk. Complacency is high and positioning is bullish. I urge caution.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
$SPY $SPX $QQQ ⏲️💣
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
Bear pain may soon be over.
@zerohedge
zerohedge
1 year
peak complacency
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$SPY Large move brewing. The recent consolidation/distribution looks ready for it's next move. Decision will be made latest by tomorrow morning.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$SPY A reversal will likely start by the end of this week... either $NVDA earnings or Jackson Hole will likely be the trigger.... Still in early endings of this larger leg lower.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$QQQ $SPY This was the rally that gives the bulls the green light to buy every dip. When the next sell off occurs, there will be no remorse. New lows pending.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
Recently, I have been receiving a lot of negative comments on my post for my bearish biased. Let me be clear, I am not day trading. I have positions that favor my macro outlook. Are they underwater, yes. But overtime, they would thrive as the next drawdown is near.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
After seeing this weeks price action - my indicators I follow are suggesting a 10-12% decline can occur over the next week.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
8 months
$QQQ Momentum dwindling... pending confirmation.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
Changing my portfolio allocations to longer dated short positions as theta is getting painful. Dec 15 2023 250s QQQ Oct 20 2023 230s MSFT Jan 19th 170s NVDA Jan 19th 50s AMD Dec 15 320s SPY Sept 15 370 SPY I believe we are at a massive turning point and I remain v bearish.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
The last time the 30yr yield had a move like this was on 06/13 - $SPX fell 3.88% and Non-Profitable Tech fell 8.7%...Today we ended the session flat.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
$QQQ Remains below its 20 month MA w/ low relative strength. Tech stocks are vulnerable to > 40% declines from here.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$NVDA Another name I am massively short.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
1 year
$QQQ The distance between the 200 D MA and price are as far apart as they were at the peak of the melt up right before the COVID-19 crash.
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@GladsResearch
Gladiator Research Group
2 years
$VIX #bigflip . This is nothing folks.
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