MD of ARINA, an architectural consultancy specialising in buildings and campuses for tertiary education. OzSAGE ventilation chair, researcher. Optimist.
I have spent 2 years working on the link between COVID transmission and ventilation. During most of that time, ‘medical experts’ have been telling me that I don’t know what I’m talking about. They’ve been proven wrong. I’m in no mood to take lectures from them or their friends.
Much of our lives is driven by the avoidance of infectious disease. We build sewer systems to remove waste and we supply clean water. We keep food cold and cook meat so we don’t get food poisoning. We build toilets and kitchens. Providing clean, safe inside air is no different.
Cafe owners now moaning on
@abc730
about the impact of “let it rip” after moaning last year about lockdowns. I hope everyone understands that the pandemic is not over and this is not the ‘final wave’. We still have a desperate shortage of understanding; the virus sets the rules.
One thing people moaning about the impact of lockdowns forget is thanks to the initial lockdown, many people led a relatively normal life for the latter part of 2020 and the early part of 2021. Christmas 2021 was when the wheels fell off, as we tried to open up with no real plan.
To those who say we can’t do better on COVID. What magic has Singapore got? Some requirements for masks, better vax rules and a community minded population:
We accept that we need to keep our water supply clean to avoid Cholera. We pay water rates. We accept that we need to keep our food safe to avoid disease; there are cold chains for supply and fridges in our homes. When are we going to accept that we need to have safe, clean air?
I’ve utterly had it with selfish people who don’t care if people over 70 live or die, or whether a large number of younger people will suffer Long COVID.
It’s ‘sad’ they say. Sad? It’s a disgrace.
#auspol
Could one of the geniuses running the ‘live with the virus’ experiment comment on whether 721 deaths, the collapse of consumer spending, a health system in chaos, shortages of food, mass infections in aged care and the absence of RATS is part of a plan to radicalise Australians.
Some parents amaze me. They’re happy for their kids to get COVID, which we know has effects on the brain, but they think wearing masks at school will irreparably damage their mental health. I just hope that there is no lasting damage; we don’t know yet.
#auspol
There are 500,000 active cases of COVID in Australia now. There have been about 4,000,000 cases since October last year of which about 5,000 have died. 2,445 people are in hospital ATM and many more in HITH. Daily cases are about 50,000.
So this is success?
#auspol
We need to change the narrative on masks and air treatment in public venues if we are ever going to live with COVID. We do not drink untreated water, similarly we can’t continue to breathe in contaminated air.
#auspol
I’m fed up with people who want to “let it rip” but who are then unhappy with the consequences. They say things like; “Who could have forecast the impact of Delta or Omicron” (and beyond) ? Well, lots of people did, actually.
#auspol
1/ Let me explain how this Architect got to be involved in research on COVID transmission. I have seen lots of tweets encouraging me and others to 'stay in their lane'. It's obvious many medicos hate non-medicos being involved in what they consider to be their exclusive domain.
Temporarily putting aside 600 deaths per week, how are business and government going to pay for all the sick leave caused by COVID in 2022? Right now, reducing transmission should be front of mind for all our governments.
#auspol
Yes, I’m grumpy this weekend. An old friend has developed serious aphasia after a bout of COVID and a colleague is still suffering long COVID months after infection. Just the right time to announce an end to the isolation period. As
@YouAreLobbyLud
says, we’re fucked.
This is a very disturbing story. 1 in 10 people who acquired COVID in Victorian hospitals died. The hospitals refuse to talk about it. What is the point of a hospital if it makes patients sick?
There are a group of right-wing medicos and hangers on who don’t want me to speak at the Parliamentary Enquiry into Long COVID. They are clearly worried I will make an effective argument for better indoor ventilation to reduce respiratory illness. Flattering, really.
#auspol
National Cabinet had run a deliberate campaign to infect people with COVID, without telling the public. The gradual withdrawal of mitigations is clearly designed to ensure that people catch COVID. Judging from the UK, this strategy is doomed, and should be abandoned immediately.
So what’s the plan, CMO and Ministerial health geniuses? These death graphs are not flattening out. We’ve infected the majority of the population with the disease we are supposed to be protecting them from to no beneficial effect whatsoever. Hybrid immunity is bollocks. What now?
The CMO Paul Kelly sent a letter to me recently encouraging me to undertake a bowel cancer test (est. deaths 5K in 2022) because it could "save my life". Meanwhile, the CMO is reducing precautions designed to prevent the spread of COVID (est. deaths 22K in 2022). WTAF?
#auspol
Australia has now reached infections per day 4x that of the US. Since opening up, more than 5K people have died. Schools are in chaos as are supply chains and businesses. Should the medicos who advised opening up would not cause cases to rise “that much” be accountable?
#auspol
I’m really fed up with COVID minimisers. Half of our accountant’s firm are off with COVID, a third of my staff are out and more than a quarter of staff in my wife’s school are off. Three families I know are in group isolation and one person is still recovering from a bout in Dec.
To summarise, we have a plan to exacerbate an already serious wave of Omicron infections by sending kids back to school with half-arsed protections and testing still in chaos. This will further threaten supply chains and put further stress on the health system. Genius.
#auspol
Dear Parliament House Journalists (teenage division). The UK has no particular rules for COVID isolation. They also have 205,000 people dead, 6.73M people on the NHS waiting list, and have had a disastrous recession. If this is success, I don’t know what failure looks like.
Dear
@AlboMP
If you want people to wear masks, which you certainly do given that the burden of COVID is falling most heavily on the less well off, wear a mask yourself, preferably an N95, and get your Ministers to do the same.
#auspol
The record demonstrates that Greg Dore has consistently underestimated the impact of COVID infections, deaths and sequelae. Norman Swan has attempted to present a balanced view of COVID, but he’s pilloried for doing so by Dore. Go figure.
16/ Much of the response to COVID has been ideological and political rather than scientific. That's why I am now calling for a Royal Commission that will examine the response by government health agencies and medical leaders to COVID. We need to know the truth.
Think of air in a room like water in a swimming pool. If the pool isn’t clean you can get diseases ranging from the mild to fatal. As a result, we spend a lot of time and effort cleaning and testing pool water. How much effort do we spend on indoor air? Just about none.
Will a Premier or the PM have the guts to admit that National Cabinet is deliberately trying to infect people to deliver “rich hybrid immunity”? The side effects of death, long COVID and damage to the health system are not being taken seriously. It’s just not right.
#auspol
Dear
@Dom_Perrottet
and
@BradHazzard
, if you use UK policy settings, you will get UK results. FYI it has not been a total success, what with the economy wrecked and everything. Suggest you urgently look at policy in NZ, Japan, Taiwan, S Korea and China. Sincerely,
@GeoffHanmer
We had two years to develop an opening up strategy, which should have involved planning around vaccination, ventilation and education. We stuffed up.
#auspol
The only thing we can be confident about in 2022 is that the Government wants us all to get COVID. I can’t work out why as infection doesn’t stop you getting it again.
#auspol
“Kids have lost confidence, teachers and early childhood educators are saying kids are behind because they missed out on that social learning environment,” Teachers are not saying this. They are coping with massive levels of disruption caused by illness.
When people understand we have killed 20,000+ people, mainly over 60, in an attempt to pretend that things are back to normal, I don’t know how we will react. Will we blame and prosecute those most responsible or will we shrug it off?
“…impatience and poor driving habits which developed on emptier streets during lockdowns.” FFS; there was hardly any lockdown in SA, which has the worst results. A more likely explanation is the impact on brain function caused by COVID.
One more time with feeling. Would I like Zero COVID? Of course I would, wouldn’t everyone? Can we achieve it at the moment? Not until we get better vaccines. Should we be trying to reduce transmission? Absolutely; COVID is a deadly multi-system disease with unknown consequences.
The effectiveness of masks is one issue that really brings out the crazies. There are lots of studies showing masks reduce COVID and other airborne infections, but not only that, every HCW looking after COVID patients would be infected again and again if they didn’t wear a mask.
My suggestions for BA2: 1) Fix low Vax rates for 5-12’s. 2) Push on with 3rd and 4th doses in vulnerable popn’s. 3) Urgently fix ventilation in Schools and ACF. 4) N95 masks, not surgical or cloth. 5) CO2 monitors in hospo and retail. 6) Better leadership and education.
#auspol
People in SA did not enjoy ‘living with COVID’. From 23 Nov, Marshall’s goose was cooked. All the good work he did until then quickly evaporated as people struggled to get PCR tests, buy RATS and keep their families safe. The ‘Bright Summer’ will haunt Perrottet too.
#auspol
I’m losing money, wails a billionaire, because the value of office space has fallen. Welcome to capitalism, Michael, you shameless rent seeker. The Pandemic is definitely not over until we get a sterilising vaccine, or we reduce transmission.
Three conclusions 1) “rich hybrid immunity” is bunk, 2) the impact of this level of sickness on the economy is being ignored and 3) why on earth is government so slow to act on ventilation, masks and a public education campaign?
Can all the nutcases out there saying that masks do not work please remember that ALL the CHO’s and CMO’s accept that masks do work. For political reasons, they aren’t prepared to mandate them, yet. So we will wait for the crash and then put the seatbelt on.
#CovidIsNotOver
Look, this is simple and I am typing this slowly.
@AlboMP
unless your mate Mark does something about reducing COVID transmission in the community, your mate Chalmers is going to have a whopping blowout in his health budget, more people will die and your government will be toast.
I’m not sure
@Mark_Butler_MP
and
@AlboMP
realise the extent to which their legacy will be tarnished by their continuing inaction on COVID. Future blowouts in the cost of health will impact the budget and frustrate their efforts to improve things for the people who voted for them.
The new definition of close contact excludes contacts at work. How can this not result in an explosion of cases? When there are lots of symptomatic cases, testing will still hit the wall, but by then it will be too late; the health system will be smashed.
#auspol
The thing people need to know is that the modern (post 1870) world is founded on hygiene and sanitation. Sewers, toilets, clean water, soap, public bathhouses, private bathrooms, refrigeration, cooked food, disinfectants and detergents led to increases in life expectancy and GDP.
One day, Australian governments will realise they have been responsible for a public health disaster. COVID deaths are running at 4x the road toll, but there appears to be zero interest in taking simple action to avoid infections. Shameful.
I am getting thoroughly annoyed with people who were wrong about airborne transmission of COVID and yet continue to grasp at red herrings rather than admitting error. This is a travesty of scientific method, and it seems particularly evident in medical circles.
#auspol
Many schools are not using their air purifiers properly or at all. COVID is still with us and schools are a hotbed of transmission. It would be great if consistent directions could be provided by Health and Education departments, but if not, parents may need to take action.
School Sydney Inner West: 91 of 400 students away, at least 2 teachers down, can’t get casuals, split classes at a moment’s notice with teachers unable to plan, learning support program suspended due to lack of teaching resources. Teachers exhausted. I’d say this is typical.
14/ I continue to research ventilation and its effects on the transmission of disease in buildings. I am hoping to advocate for safer ventilation practices, which I have learned can improve health generally, not just reducing the chance of COVID transmission.
13/ In Australia, we are fortunate that we did not go down the herd immunity path, although it is clear that Daniel Andrews, Mark McGowan and Gladys Berejiklian were the key obstacles to Morrison, the Commonwealth CHO and the then Deputy CHO who wanted to. We dodged a bullet.
The current level of disruption in health care, schools, the building industry, transport, hospo and supply chains caused by COVID-19 is unsustainable. Governments need to act before this coalesces into a crisis.
#auspol
10/ Medicos such as Dr Coatsworth, the former Commonwealth Deputy Chief Medical officer were quoted saying that COVID was "certainly not airborne." This pig-headed attitude to evidence survives today amongst some prominent medicos, who still have staff working in inadequate PPE.
Dr Kerry Chant - “we have listened to the public and they don’t want to be told what to do, so we are not going to mandate masks”. What a RIDICULOUS cop out in the face of a tsunami of cases and exponential hospitalisation numbers. 😡
#CovidIsNotOver
#auspol
“Spurring Butler to shift fast from a “vaccines only” to a “vaccines plus” policy advocated by the most credible medical experts would save thousands of Australian lives too.”
#auspol
15/ This appears to be an irritation to some medicos, many of whom have not worked out how to admit they were wrong about droplets. Some medicos are now weaponising Ahpra to silence other medicos who have pointed out their mistakes. This is pathetic and anti-science.
12/ Not only is herd immunity a chimera, the pursuit of it has caused well over a million deaths in the UK, some US states and in Sweden, which performed so abominably that the King intervened in the policy process.
There is a tinge of madness in the Australian Government relying solely on vaccines to control COVID but then not having the best vaccines available.
@AlboMP
Staggering. QLD CHO is wrong about transmission. In a confined space, such as a meeting room or office, particularly if the ventilation is poor, taking your mask off will massively increase the risk of transmission. This is not public health.
I can’t see a single window open. I can see two split system air conditioners on the back wall which suggests no AS 1668.2 complying mechanical system. This is the sort of low ventilation environment that makes COVID spread likely. I don’t know the hall; I hope I’m wrong.
National Cabinet is ignoring COVID. Since 9 Dec 22 when they last met, 686 Australians have died from COVID and an estimated 25,000 more now suffer from long COVID. The current 'hands off' policy is a disaster; worse outcomes than many countries in our region and unsustainable.
We’re going through yet another wave of COVID, no 8 as far as I can see, and these geniuses don’t know why kids are absent? It is better to ensure kids who are sick stay home. We may then have to consider how to deal with the loss of school time.
The Australian Health Practitioner Regulation Agency (Ahpra) is being weaponised by a few medicos, who I won’t name ATM, to suppress criticism of CHO’s, the Infection Control Expert Group (ICEG) and The Australian Health Protection Principal Committee (AHPPC). This must stop.
@CrabbBrendan
The only difference between a lockdown and the current situation is the lack of government income support plus the stratospheric number of infections and deaths. Small retail, performing arts and F and B are on their knees.
11/ I then found out about things such as the 'Great Barrington Declaration' produced by an organisation funded by the Koch brothers in the US. I could see that UK COVID policy and Sweden's COVID policy was being influenced by a belief in 'herd immunity' acquired by infection.
There is a serious shortage of teachers in NSW. COVID has been a key factor, encouraging many older teachers and those with vulnerable partners into retirement. Has the government made a serious effort to reduce transmission in schools? Of course not.
#auspol
If it wasn’t obvious before, it is now. Democracies are being run by marketers. Govt’s have abandoned mitigations to reduce transmission of COVID because focus groups have told them they are ‘fed up’ and ‘exhausted’. Right then; let’s follow the herd over the cliff!
@Fiona_M_Russell
thinks Term 1 has been a terrific success in Australian Schools. I don’t. Infections and absences amongst teachers and students have been seriously disruptive to kids and families. We can do better. Vax, CO2 monitoring, ventilation, air purifiers; all underdone.
There are still 818 people in hospital with COVID in NSW, most of whom would have been admitted through ED’s, plus people who’ve had COVID suffer serious secondary health effects. For some reason, COVID is never mentioned as a factor in the article; why?
@nick_coatsworth
To get things in proportion, you need to know the facts. Telling the public that COVID wasn’t airborne and influencing the Commonwealth to do nothing about ventilation in RACF did more harm than Dan Andrews or Mark McGowan ever did. I’m sure this will come out in the enquiry.
7/ In Aug 2020, Prof Bruce Milthorpe and I published an article in 'The Conversation' suggesting that it may be a good idea to ventilate aged care buildings and citing the 'Nature' article. Many senior medicos continued to dismiss aerosol transmission, including Prof Collignon.
2022. So where is this “rich hybrid immunity”? It’s bollocks isn’t it? The health systems in all developed countries are being rapidly ground down because politicians don’t have the guts to tell the truth.
I’m not sorry for disagreeing with Fiona Russell. ATM about 45,000 people appear to share my concerns. If she wants to influence public policy she needs to be accountable, as we all are. If she doesn’t like being held to account, perhaps public policy is not for her.
#auspol
6/ I looked further afield. In June, 'Nature' published a summary article with two papers by Distinguished Professor Lidia Morawska at QUT. I read them and realised why Prof Morawska was one of the most eminent aerosol scientists in the world. She is not a medico.
You want to do something about the eighth wave? Improve ventilation so the risk of infection is reduced. Open the windows, turn on air purifiers and keep doors open.
#otfw
9/ About a year later in 2021, WHO, CDC and ICEG started to concede the possibility of aerosol transmission. These organisations, run by medicos, had been unwilling to accept evidence provided in papers by people like Prof Morawaska, mainly it seemed because they weren't medicos.
PCR in a tiny box; amazing and transformational technology. A tribute to all those largely unsung scientists and engineers who have made this possible. Imagine having this tool available in a regional GP surgery or in a developing country.
What is wrong with the US? The richest country in the world with huge disparities in wealth, no universal healthcare, no gun control, a culture of violence, a broken party system and now a regression to abortion laws of a past era. I hope they can find a way forward.
8/ About 700 people in aged care died during the second wave in Victoria and people are dying still. I wrote to Minister Colbeck in September 2020, and his Department wrote back saying that there was insufficient evidence for airborne transmission.
My question to
@Dom_Perrottet
is; how can you keep saying you are keeping people in NSW “safe” from COVID when there are a huge number of infections and a disturbingly high number of deaths? When will you stop pretending the pandemic has ended when it clearly hasn’t?
#auspol