Garrison Lovely @GarrisonLovely Twitter profile | Pikagi

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Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

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Freelance journalist + podcast host. Covers: @jacobin , @thenation Bylines: @nytimes , @bbc_future , @TIME , @verge , @voxdotcom , @TRF , @TheProspect + elsewhere

Brooklyn, NY

https://t.co/Gb4vrYooTR

Joined September 2011

Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.

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@GarrisonLovely

Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

16 days

🚨I’m in the New York Times!!🚨 AI is weird. Many of the people who pioneered the tech, along with the leaders of all the top AI companies, say that it could threaten human extinction. In spite of this, it’s barely regulated in the US. Whistleblower protections typically 🧵

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@GarrisonLovely

Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

1 month

Seems like more people should be talking about how a libertarian charter city startup funded by Sam Altman, Marc Andreessen, and Peter Thiel is trying to bankrupt Honduras. Próspera is suing Honduras to the tune of $11B (GDP is $32B) and is expected to win, per the NYT 🧵

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I finally got a chance to tell a story that I’ve been keeping to myself for 6+ years. My first fulltime job was as a consultant at McKinsey. At the time, it seemed like a dream job—a way to work with brilliant people, learn a lot, and maybe even improve things from the inside 🧵

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6 months

I can just imagine how happy the author was when he thought of this

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17 days

This article is full of bombshells. Excellent reporting by @dseetharaman . The biggest one: OpenAI rushed testing of GPT-4o (already reported), released the model and then subsequently determined the model was too risky to release! I had a scenario like this in a forthcoming...

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Basically, the libertarian charter city startup Próspera made a deal with a corrupt, oppressive post-coup govt in Honduras to get special economic status. This status was the result of court-packing and is wildly unpopular. A democratic govt is trying to undo the deal…

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So Silicon Valley billionaires are backing a project that is trying to bankrupt a poor country for reneging on a deal struck with people who have been indicted on corruption, drug trafficking, and weapons charges. These same billionaires want to build superhuman AI ASAP...

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In response, Próspera is suing the govt for ⅔ of its annual state budget. An op-ed in Foreign Policy states that the suit’s success “would simply render the country bankrupt.” ...

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I had never heard of the ICSID, but it sounds like a thought experiment dreamt up by leftists trying to show the absolute worst sides of capitalism...

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The longer story appears to be (from the Foreign Policy op-ed): 2009: military coup results in a corrupt and oppressive post-coup govt 2011: This govt decrees special “employment and economic development zones,” called ZEDEs ...

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This is what thew new president had to say about the special economic zones: “Every millimeter of our homeland that was usurped in the name of the sacrosanct freedom of the market, ZEDEs, and other regimes of privilege was irrigated with the blood of our native peoples.” ...

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and are vigorously resisting regulation of such technology. If you'd like to see how they'd govern the world with a superintelligent AI, it might be instructive to see how they act now.

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California’s AI Safety Bill Is a Mask-Off Moment for the Industry

AI’s top industrialists say they want regulation—until someone tries to regulate them.

www.thenation.com

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Próspera is incorporated in Delaware and has received support from the US ambassador to Honduras and the State Dept, despite Biden’s stated opposition to these kinds of investment-state arbitrations…

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Nov 2021: Center-left govt led by Honduras’ first female president Xiomara Castro takes power April 2022: new govt votes unanimously to repeal ZEDE law…

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Próspera is funded by Pronomos Capital, which is advised, among others, by Balaji S. Srinivasan, a former partner at Andreessen Horowitz, who wants to partner with the police to take over San Francisco (some people might call this impulse fascistic). ...

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2012: Honduras’ Constitutional Court finds decree unlawful so Honduran Congress swaps out judges for pro-ZEDE judges 2013: new court rules in favor of ZEDEs 2017: Próspera ZEDE granted official status…

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1 year

As daunting as it may be, we should work towards a society where the name McKinsey on a resume what i learned it should be: a source of shame.

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Confessions of a McKinsey Whistleblower

Inside the soul-crushing, morally bankrupt, top-secret world of our most powerful consulting firm.

www.thenation.com

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Dec 2022: “Próspera announced that it was seeking arbitration at the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID) for a sum of nearly $10.8 billion.” (Image is from NYT Mag article: ) ...

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My good friend Ian MacDougall had a fantastic story on Próspera w/ Isabelle Simpson in Rest of the World a few years back. The roots of this story can be found there. ...

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A libertarian ‘startup city’ in Honduras faces its biggest hurdle: the locals

Próspera was supposed to be a privatized, Silicon Valley-funded paradise — but it's a hard sell for the neighbors.

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1 year

I came into McKinsey believing in a certain “technocratic utopianism” that animates the firm. I left McKinsey radicalized against capitalism and the amorality profit-seeking at its center. The core irony...

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Instead, I learned to embrace the brutality at the heart of Rikers’ culture...

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27 days

OpenAI whistleblower William Saunders is testifying before a Senate subcommittee today (so is Helen Toner and Margaret Mitchell). His written testimony is online now. Here are the most important parts 🧵

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1 year

My first ever cover story is out in @thenation and does something unprecedented: to my knowledge, no former McKinsey employee has ever publicly discussed project specifics with real client names. The firm is intensely secret, above and beyond competitor consultancies. McKinsey...

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will say this is to protect client interests, but it also serves to protect McKinsey from scrutiny and accountability. I found myself working directly for two of McKinsey’s most controversial clients: Rikers Island and ICE. At Rikers, we were meant to help reduce violence...

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I’ve spent years reckoning with my role in all this and trying to figure what I can do to hold McKinsey accountable. I was also terrified of publicly attacking such a powerful org. I’m lucky enough now to be doing what I love and feel secure enough to do what I think is right...

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what would have stopped us from working for the Nazis, he muttered something about McKinsey being a values-based organization. The thing is, I couldn’t point to any violation of McKinsey’s values as they were stated...

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My desire to work for mission-driven orgs led me to the front-lines of Trump’s administration agenda. What started as a culture survey of ICE’s staff transformed into an all-hands-on-deck effort to help ICE comply with Trump’s executive orders to target all undocumented people...

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1 year

that makes McKinsey so resilient is that, no matter what awful thing it does, the name still burnishes your resume. Even in my case, my anonymous Current Affairs essay about McKinsey launched my journalism career...

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1 month

If you enjoyed this, check out my Substack:

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The Obsolete Newsletter | Garrison Lovely | Substack

Journalism and analysis on capitalism, great power competition, and the race for machine superintelligence. Click to read The Obsolete Newsletter, by Garrison Lovely, a Substack publication.

garrisonlovely.substack.com

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1 year

We can’t count on McKinsey to reform itself, but the government and elite universities can offer some modicum of accountability...

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1 year

for deportation and triple the number of deportation officers. I was tasked with modeling out how to meet the new hiring targets. During a team-wide meeting on the ethics of our work, the senior partner said that “The firm does execution, not policy.” When I asked him...

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Garrison Lovely

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15 days

Newsom vetoed SB 1047. The reasoning given here is so transparently weak. Like even if you bought that smaller models were JUST as likely to cause problems, why wouldn't it be better to regulate some models while you work on more comprehensive regulations? This justification...

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10 months

Some pretty wild new claims buried in the post-OpenAI drama reporting: DeepMind tried to leave Google in 2017 [1]

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1 year

Back in 2018, I anonymously wrote my first magazine story for @curaffairs about my former employer, McKinsey. I analyzed how McKinsey accelerates and exacerbates basically every negative trend of capitalism, weaving in some of my personal experience along the way. 🧵

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2 months

This is Fei-Fei Li and her self-described “long-term friend and colleague” Marc Andreessen, co-founder of the venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz (a16z).[1] Li is often called the “godmother” of AI.[2] ...

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1 year

@OgTeabelly Not a fan of mayor Pete

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2 years

In my debut for @voxdotcom , I discuss why my year of pescetarianism was a moral mistake. The evidence for fish sentience is way stronger than I previously believed: some fish have passed the self-recognition test, team up w/ other species to hunt...

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2 months

Anthropic's letter may be a critical factor in whether CA AI safety bill SB 1047 lives or dies. The existence of an AI company at the frontier saying that the bill actually won't be a disaster really undermines the 'sky is falling' attitude taken by many opponents. 🧵

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5 months

I don't watch Jeopardy. How common is it for them to editorialize in their clues?

@ESYudkowsky

Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️

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I did not expect Jeopardy to just come out swinging like this (NOT FAKE)

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though it seems like a clear violation of the spirit of the voluntary commitments at least. Other new stuff: SamA and other execs begged Ilya to come back, he seemed like he would, then execs rescinded the offer. These details aren't super surprising, but it's by far the...

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@slatestarcodex Hi Scott! I actually read your entire post on this back when it came out bc I found it fascinating. I don't have the time rn to go as deeply into this as I'd like, but a few thoughts: - What about the precedent set by a successful suit? Find a corrupt govt, get them to agree to

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piece, as a hypothetical relayed to me by someone who used to work at OpenAI, but then it turns out it actually already happened, according to this reporting. Bc all of this is governed by voluntary commitments, OpenAI didn't violate any law...

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4 months

So I remember @a16z relaying this howler to the UK House of Lords, but I did not realize that @ylecun , @ID_AA_Carmack , and other technical folks signed their name to the same claim in a letter to Biden! I really don't know how you could possibly take them seriously after this.

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1 month

110+ employees and alums of top-5 AI companies just published an open letter supporting SB 1047, aptly called the "world's most controversial AI bill." 3-dozen+ of these are current employees of companies opposing the bill. Check out my coverage of it in the @sfstandard 🧵

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based on his appearance on Dwarkesh Podcast. Next is some straight business gossip: Greg Brockman reportedly annoyed people so much that Sam asked him to leave. Brockman has been the exec most steadfastly loyal to Sam...

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5 months

If you're considering working at McKinsey, watch this (to the end)! Proud to have played a small part in this great video about my old employer's impact on the working class. It's surprisingly fun, and I even learned some new things!

@MorePerfectUS

More Perfect Union

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NEW: There’s a secret, parasitic consulting firm at the heart of nearly every industry in America. They’re responsible for the worst corporate “best practices” — lay-offs, safety cuts, price-gouging. We uncovered how McKinsey is waging a secret war on the working class.

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most we've heard about the situation. I guess it's a bit surprising they initially tried to bring him back given that he publicly lost confidence in the CEO. We also got some new details about John Schulman's dissatisfaction. Schulman seems very serious about AI safety...

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2 months

@ryanlong03 Feels like they shoulda done something better with that chance

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17 days

Last bit: the new funding deals have not closed. This could explain the timing of the departures of Mira Murati and the other two execs. Abruptly losing your CTO and two other senior people could spook investors. Idk what is motivating these choices, but if Murati wanted to...

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2 years

Longtermism has gotten a lot of flak from the Left, but deep down, socialism and longtermism are not incompatible. My latest in @jacobin makes the case for why leftists should do more to prioritize the many generations yet to come.🧵

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I recently appeared on @CBSSunday to talk about my time at McKinsey and the ways in which the elite consulting firm does harm in the world. I was also featured in the excellent new book When McKinsey Comes to Town by @waltbogdanich and @PekingMike . 🧵

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17 days

This is obviously speculative, but it explains the situation pretty well IMO. She and the other execs could have stuck it out for 2 more weeks so the deals closed, or told Sam privately and announced after the deals closed. The fact that they didn't is noteworthy.

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5 years

NYT silently edited their article that claims Bernie's math doesn't add up, removing a possible explanation for the gap. This explanation is the one offered by Bernie on his site, which the reporter linked.

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@gasull Multiple tweets in the thread touch on this? The new govt is trying to get out of a deal struck by the old govt

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17 days

hurt Sam, leaving without warning right now is a pretty effective way of doing it. Murati did push for Sam's reinstatement after the coup, but she also raised concerns about Sam's behavior to the board: ...

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@slatestarcodex One more thought: I think if you're trying to do novel, controversial deals that undermine traditional notions of sovereignty with sketchy regimes and the deal backfires, seems like a risk you were consciously running!

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2 years

My experience at McKinsey radicalized me. I realized that the adults in the room were perfectly happy to enable atrocities. It’s easy to hide behind spreadsheets and slide decks, distancing yourself from the consequences of your work. I’m grateful for the reporting of...

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27 days

Saunders, like many others at the top AI companies, think artificial general intelligence (AGI) could come in “as little as three years.” He cites OpenAI's new o1 model, which has surpassed human experts in some challenging technical benchmarks for the first time...

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2 months

My latest in @thenation is on the unhinged reaction to the first major AI safety bill that actually might happen...

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4 months

Damn, mic drop moment from a departing OpenAI employee. “How do you expect to be trusted with [the responsibility to develop AGI safely] when you failed at the much more basic task” of not threatening “to screw over departing employees"?

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2 months

What does hundreds of thousands of dollars of corporate campaign contributions buy you? Members of Congress parroting industry talking points under Congressional letterhead, at least. There’s a serious problem with almost every single part of this letter 🧵

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8 months

Reporting from the protest at OpenAI

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2 years

Today, the New Yorker published a profile of @willmacaskill , one of the founders of effective altruism. I first heard about EA through a podcast interview with Will in 2017. The ideas felt like an extension of intuitions I felt as long as I could remember...

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2 years

A number of people have claimed that Peter Thiel is an adherent or supporter of longtermism or effective altruism. This is false. 🧵 Thiel spoke at the Effective Altruism Summit in 2013+14, but hasn’t been involved in any capacity since[1] (1/6)

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27 days

OpenAI has “repeatedly prioritized deployment over rigor. I believe there is a real risk they will miss important dangerous capabilities in future AI systems.”... Written testimony: Live video:

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4 months

Leopold Aschenbrenner told his side of the story for why OpenAI fired him. If accurate, this is wild! Overall, it sounds like he was targeted for being a squeaky wheel (not signing the SamA letter, raising security issues w/ the board, talking about AGI being a govt project...

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“When I was at OpenAI, there were long periods of time where there were vulnerabilities that would have allowed me or hundreds of other engineers at the company to bypass access controls and steal the company’s most advanced AI systems including GPT-4.” This is consistent...

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@RandolphCarterZ It seems like there's a real tension between sovereignty and creating the incentive for foreign investment. idk if I have a wholly coherent view on this, but I think suing (for a far smaller amount) might be appropriate.

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2 years

Perhaps the strongest endorsement of the effective altruism community is how clean the only bathroom was 4 hours into a bumping EAG afterparty

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This is all coming out in the final days before @GavinNewsom has to decide on SB 1047, the AI safety bill that has riven Silicon Valley. His comments indicated he was leaning toward a veto, but a lot has happened since then (big Hollywood stars coming out in force for...

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with claims made by Leopold Aschenbrenner, who alleges OpenAI found a pretense to fire him after he complained about cybersecurity vulnerabilities to the board:

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Leopold Aschenbrenner - China/US Super Intelligence Race, 2027 AGI, & The Return of History

The trillion dollar cluster...

www.dwarkeshpatel.com

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@GavinNewsom the bill, which I just covered for the Verge and now these revelations about OpenAI).

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Hollywood is coming out in force for California’s AI safety bill

SAG-AFTRA has emerged as a major AI regulation voice.

www.theverge.com

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2 years

Wild to be the most read story on Vox right now! Especially since it's a ~3k word piece largely about fish sentience.

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4 months

OpenAI's latest board member ran the NSA and oversaw a massive increase in offensive cyberattacks.[1,2] Bc of this, he's probably one of the most knowledgeable people in the world on cyberdefense, but this also represents a major step toward OpenAI integrating itself into...

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19 days

I did not have "Trump family member tweets a 150 page essay on superintelligence" on my 2024 bingo card.

@IvankaTrump

Ivanka Trump

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Leopold Aschenbrenner’s SITUATIONAL AWARENESS predicts we are on course for Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) by 2027, followed by superintelligence shortly thereafter, posing transformative opportunities and risks. This is an excellent and important read :

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SCOOP: The CA Chamber of Commerce used a wildly biased push poll to try to get legislators to vote against SB 1047. It didn't work. The Assembly just passed the first-of-its-kind AI safety bill, which is now one step away from Newsom's desk. A lot more unreported...

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4 months

@ID_AA_Carmack @a16z @ylecun What does proofreading mean in this context? What exactly did you read and agree to have your name attached to?

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2 years

The funny thing about living in an EA group house is that the roommate working at Twitter didn't have anything close to the craziest week.

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27 days

There was a large hack at OpenAI last year. We only found out about it recently...

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5 months

By far the most interesting thing about today’s NYC @PauseAI protest outside of @Microsoft were the reactions from passersby. Most people ignored it (as expected), but all the engagement I saw was supportive. The most common objection was that AI doom was inevitable. One guy...

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@GarrisonLovely

Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

7 months

OpenAI is increasingly behaving like a normal company (e.g. reinstating the hyper-successful founder/CEO, not publishing an embarrassing report), but what they're doing is far from normal. Their top employees think that the work they're doing could literally drive humanity

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@GarrisonLovely

Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

14 days

Watching a bunch of e/accs gloat about Newsom's veto of sb 1047 as if their shitposting had anything to do with it... It's hard to think of a more politically incompetent and intrinsically unpopular group of people. This happened bc of Big Tech and Nancy Pelosi.

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@GarrisonLovely

Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

4 months

This is far from a consensus view and should not be stated so confidently. The historian Philip Zelikow, who led the 9/11 Commission, said, “I think had the United States not built an atomic bomb during the Second World War, it's actually not clear to me when or possibly...

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@GarrisonLovely

Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

27 days

“No one knows how to ensure that AGI systems will be safe and controlled.” Not news to anyone following this field, but an important point to convey to the Senate...

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@GarrisonLovely

Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

15 days

In 2023, Pelosi's husband owned between $16 million and $80 million in stocks and options in Google, Amazon, Microsoft, and Nvidia. Her office told me, "Speaker Pelosi does not own any stocks, and she has no prior knowledge or subsequent involvement in any transactions."

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@SpeakerPelosi

Nancy Pelosi

15 days

AI springs from California. Thank you, @CAgovernor Newsom, for recognizing the opportunity and responsibility we all share to enable small entrepreneurs and academia – not big tech – to dominate.

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@GarrisonLovely

Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

1 month

🚨EXCLUSIVE: The National Organization for Women (NOW), SAG-AFTRA, and Fund Her have each sent letters to @GavinNewsom urging him to sign CA AI safety bill, SB 1047, into law.🚨 I obtained the letters, which are published here for the first time.🧵

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@GarrisonLovely

Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

1 year

@paddy_Plastique I'm sorry to hear that. After that story came out, a friend of mine still there asked me "are we the baddies?"

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Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

8 months

Honored to land the cover story for @jacobin 's AI issue! Whether you're new to the topic or work in the field, I think you'll get something out of it. I spent 5 months digging into the AI existential risk debates and the economic forces driving AI development 🧵

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@GarrisonLovely

Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

14 days

The story of SB 1047 is long and complicated but the gist is very simple. By and large, the AI industry does not want to be regulated. It especially doesn’t want to be liable for harms caused by its AI models. They can't say this explicitly, so they make different args instead...

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@GarrisonLovely

Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

2 years

Are effective altruists and leftists natural enemies? Are these two approaches to improving the world irreconcilable? I dive deep on these questions in a new podcast ep with @FreshMangoLassi , a lefty career advisor at the EA org @80000Hours ...

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@GarrisonLovely

Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

13 days

Just look at the trend lines: by 2027 every single American will work at Anthropic.

@ShakeelHashim

Shakeel

13 days

Big get for Anthropic: one of OpenAI's first employees and a long-time Google AI scientist.

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@GarrisonLovely

Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

5 months

Seems bad.

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@GarrisonLovely

Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

5 years

I used to be a big @sapinker fan. I've read 5 of his books and reviewed 1. I now believe he is biased and ideological writer and thinker, but one who doesn't recognize it. This takedown from @NathanJRobinson and @curaffairs is fantastic.

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@GarrisonLovely

Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

2 months

When OpenAI published their letter opposing SB 1047, the CA AI safety bill, they didn't mention the bill's whistleblower protections at all, which is noteworthy given their... troubled history on the matter... OpenAI whistleblower Daniel Kokotajlo just published a response...

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@DKokotajlo67142

Daniel Kokotajlo

@DKokotajlo67142

2 months

@shiringhaffary See attached letter. William and I are disappointed but not surprised by OpenAI trying to kill SB 1047. (I support it, mostly for its whistleblower protections)

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Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

4 months

Leopold's series is clearly argued, but has a number of very big, very load-bearing assumptions. Having just dug into how much data contamination affects LLM perf on various tests, especially things like high school tests, this claim stuck out to me as too strong...

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@GarrisonLovely

Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

5 years

Soon after I published this episode, Bernie's campaign ran out of numbers to call in Iowa... coincidence? I leave it to you to decide.

@meagankday

Meagan Day

5 years

I went on @Glovely1 's podcast and we had a 🔥 conversation about Bernie and various aspects of the presidential race (some controversial, if controversy appeals to you). If you need something to listen to, you could do way worse than this!

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Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

1 year

@its_santrio @ballesteros_312 Literally what I wear everyday

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Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

2 months

There are basically no arguments in this statement against SB 1047 from Pelosi, just appeals to authority, who themselves have been parroting industry talking points and disinformation, which I and others have extensively documented...

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@GarrisonLovely

Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

1 year

This is wildly off base. There are plenty of good criticisms of EA, but this isn’t one of them. EAs have cared about AI risk for a long time because there are really compelling arguments for worrying about it. AI risk is in the news because AI capabilities have been...

@ProfNoahGian

Noah Giansiracusa

1 year

Reeling from the reputational damage SBF caused to EA, this became somewhat of an existential risk to the EA movement itself: nukes are too obvious, mosquito nets are too small, putting AI x-risk on the map was the path to show the world the enormous value EA offers society.

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Garrison Lovely

@GarrisonLovely

11 months

6.5 years ago, I pledged to give away 10%+ of my lifetime income to effective charities and am so glad that I did. This is the best write-up on why you should consider doing the same. There is an enormous amount of suffering in the world, and so much of it is preventable.

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