Pikagi
ElectionsAddict Profile
ElectionsAddict

@ElectionsAddict

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Politics/Elections. Every D is better than any R. Supporter of ALL Democrats, Big tent party advocate, Pragmatic progressive, Hate purity tests. #VoteBlue

Joined May 2023
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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
3 months
My election theory First off, I have no way to actually prove it, but I think it’s one of very few possibilities that explains elections from 2016-2024, polls + also difference between Obama vs Trump/Biden years. Short answer: it’s “the resistance”, long answer, a thread 🧵 /1
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@ElectionsAddict
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@ElectionsAddict
15 days
Democrats are raising $1m every 10 minutes on ActBlue right now. This is insane.
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2 months
@twink758489962 You’re gonna be broke.
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5 months
@RepDavid @Garrett_Archer This U?
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8 months
@Teamsters Some person: “Let’s legitimize one of the most anti-union presidents elected by meeting with the guy who threatened our membership’s livelihoods” O’Brien: “That sounds great, let’s do it!” 🤦‍♂️
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15 days
@sciencerules69 Best be careful about your supply, you’ve still got 75 days to go!
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1 month
Why “they’re weird” messaging works. A thread 🧵 It’s honestly sheer brilliance. Tim Walz gets full credit for starting it, but whoever decided to run with it on the Harris campaign needs a 1000% raise. For multiple reasons. /1
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5 months
@VoidOfRoses @Dem_Soc_Dem_S Great example of “if you’re explaining, you’re losing”. Voters saw price increases, not good reason behind it (safer drinking water after finding hazards). That’s why it’s important inflation is cooling for Dems. People see price increases + are mad, they don’t care to learn why.
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6 months
@ChazNuttycombe One problem. Project 2025 replacing all 2020 people who said no to Trump because it was against the law with yes men and women for 2024 willing to let him do whatever. Pundits like yourself constantly downplaying the threat he represents to democracy is disservice to the country.
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1 month
In just the last 4 days, ActBlue has raised $200m. That’s more money than the prior 3 weeks combined. On day 4 alone (after Biden dropped out), they’ve raised more cash than any single day since October 2020. It’s a whole different election.
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15 days
@SupJesus333 At least Democratic donations are going to actual campaigns instead of lawyers for a convicted felon. But do sound off if it helps you feel better.
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6 months
@umichvoter Jim Justice will likely be another Shelley Moore Capito. Aka the best kind of GOP Senator Democrats could possibly hope for in one of the reddest states in the country. Occasionally breaks from the party, willing to compromise and govern. Couldn’t ask for more in a Republican.
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10 months
@gelliottmorris I just knew a win for Democrats tonight would somehow be framed as bad news for Joe Biden.
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5 months
@umichvoter When you understand Americans have a memory span shorter than a goldfish, this makes a lot more sense.
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8 months
This is a great example of why I strongly believe civics education should be mandatory for every child in the country. People don’t know how government fucking works. Like the barest of basics is federal (Biden, R House, D Senate) vs state (FL R Gov, R House, R Senate) control.
@mangosocialism
maria 🏳️‍⚧️
@mangosocialism
8 months
In 2020, I voted for Biden. Since then, my state banned gender-affirming care for minors, censored LGBTQ studies, and made it a criminal misdemeanor for me to use the women’s restroom at my college. We’re done hearing “vote harder.” It’s time to organize:
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5 months
Republicans spent millions of dollars, hundreds of hours on conservative tv/radio promoting RFK Jr to their audience, convincing themselves the anti-vax, conspiratorial candidate would be spoiler that would sink Biden to help elect Trump. Too late they’ve realized their mistake.
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@politico
POLITICO
@politico
5 months
Republicans are starting to worry about RFK Jr.
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15 days
@AJ_0739 Voters do and they’re voting with their wallets.
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15 days
@BBrownlove I can help you with that!
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11 days
First poll showing Harris with a positive favorable rating! These numbers move right before polls do.
@USA_Polling
Polling USA
@USA_Polling
11 days
Net Favorables: Walz: +5% Harris: +3% Vance: -5% Trump: -9% Echelon Insights / Aug 25, 2024 / n=1031
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1 year
@OrganizerMemes These Biden-won districts that are ranked most competitive by nonpartisan rating outfits Cnalysis and DailyKos: HD21, HD22, HD57, HD65, HD71, HD82, HD84, HD89, HD97, SD16, SD17, SD24, SD27 and SD31. Or, to make it easier, just donate to them all 👇
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Join me and help Virginia Democrats win on November 7th!

Show your support with a contribution.

secure.actblue.com
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11 months
@Redistrict Just fyi, more Republicans turned out than Democrats in 2022 in basically every state, some by large margins, but instead of voting GOP, they voted for Dems. You should know this, but if you don’t, maybe ask why that is + consider what is chance of same thing happening in 2024.
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6 months
@TammyMurphyNJ @umichvoter Gained some respect for you doing this when it was clear the people of New Jersey wanted Andy Kim to be their next Senator. Kudos for not going through with a brutal, expensive and pointless campaign. Now let’s come together to flip NJ-07 in November!
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1 year
@BahlestKimmie @SarcasmoDeMiami @LVozzella You’re really not going to like the skeletons that come out of the Republican closet if reporters decided to dig into it.
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3 months
After Trump was elected in 2016, Democrats of all stripes were enraged and more importantly, engaged, in not just the power of the presidency, but sending a message in every single election from top of the ticket to the bottom. The mindset changed to “I have to do something”. /4
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4 months
You’re welcome. @OrganizerMemes
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@TimRyanFan
TimRyanFan 🥥🌴🇺🇸
@TimRyanFan
4 months
Someone make that “which message will resonate with voters meme” where one side is the Democrat that wants to build more housing and the other side is Kristi Noem who’s like pro-puppy killing
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11 months
@BenDempsey18 @ThePlumLineGS @mehdirhasan If you’ve read 1984 + think it’s worthy of banning then you’re wishing to ban one of most important, influential books ever created. Give up facade, you don’t care about porn, you just hate there’s a book that lets people know what propaganda is + how easy it is to succumb to it.
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3 months
@Thorongil16 Even Republicans think Texas is turning blue soon.
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5 months
@Acyn January 6th says hi, @SenMikeLee
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23 days
@umichvoter Blue NC believers, assemble. It’s our time.
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3 months
As example of what I’m talking about, prior to 2016, did you ever hear of anyone writing single postcard to single voter to GOTV? Now 1 person is writing 100’s by themselves. There’s no accurate way to measure impact, but millions being involved + millions raised adds up fast. /7
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20 days
@NickTagliaferro Will never not be true.
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4 months
@umichvoter Of course, because now they finally have the polls they need to keep Trump ahead in the average.
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11 months
@KThomasDC Once a Republican always a Republican I guess eh Steve?
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5 months
@007Nuke @DKThomp Taking cities with most homicides + comparing is impossible to cherry-pick. Besides that point, there’s 22 pages of cities to look at. Almost all declined for murders. You should be happy, but instead are so invested in hating Biden/Dems you will dismiss objectively good news.
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15 days
@StretfordX 100%, but I should tell you that while we can safely assume most donations are going to Harris-Walz due to the convention (duh), the ActBlue ticker tracks total donations to all campaigns and Dem causes. So we don’t know how much her campaign is raising until FEC reports come in.
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4 months
5,730 voters could have saved us from this.
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3 months
People started to register voters, write letters + postcards, text bank, phonebank, knock doors and donate, anything they could to help elect Democrats. Many whom had never participated before. The response was overwhelming. Organizations were flooded with volunteers and cash. /6
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6 months
@Timodc @RepJamesComer I was waiting for the other shoe to drop on this and I wasn’t disappointed with your second tweet.
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4 months
@BidenHQ The way dictators have succeeded in turning democracies into a dictatorships in history is by telling the people exactly what they’re going to do beforehand and voters shrug it off, downplay or ignore it. Don’t make the same mistake.
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3 months
We don’t really think about fact that billions being raised is brand new thing, because we’ve gotten so used to it always being there, but the before + after is staggering. To get the best overall picture, let’s compare its’ best Dem year before Trump to worst Dem year after. /9
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3 months
@__Guntar__ Don’t make me tap the sign 👇
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3 months
Thus, the loosely termed “resistance” sprung up. Both in new organizations and old ones gaining more people to get involved in registering, persuading and turning out voters early and on Election Day outside the normal campaign infrastructure that is always limited in scope. /5
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1 year
@lxeagle17 That sound you just heard is Democratic candidates, their campaign staff, ad makers, activists, groups and party officials popping tens of thousands of champagne corks.
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1 month
@Lemommeringue Bad constituent service = one way ticket to job loss.
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3 months
As you can see, the difference is astonishing. I’m not going to go through every single Democratic organization, because quite frankly that would take years and hundreds of tweets, but here’s a few more. Unions are Democrats biggest supporters, so let’s compare 2012 to 2020. /10
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15 days
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@BudKennedy
Bud Kennedy / #ReadLocal
@BudKennedy
16 days
Trump’s lead over Kamala Harris down to 5 points in Texas; Ted Cruz only leads Colin Allred by 2, and it’s within the margin of error. New ⁦ @UHouston ⁩ poll today in ⁦ @startelegram ⁩
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3 months
They held purple/blue states + seats easily, from federal to local. Other than presidential years, Democrats did very poorly, leading to biggest GOP majorities in decades + complete control over all, but darkest blue states. Then coalitions changed, but something else did too. /3
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3 months
Let’s go back to the Obama years first and what changed between now and then. Democrats only cared about the presidency, but Republicans cared about all levers of power. That’s why the GOP was inches away from a 2/3 legislature majority to rewrite the constitution. /2
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13 days
There’s going to be Trump-Trump-Harris voters in 2024. Probably more than we expect.
@RpsAgainstTrump
Republicans against Trump
@RpsAgainstTrump
14 days
Bob and Sharon Reed watched Ms. Harris’s speech on their farm in the hills of central Pennsylvania. Both of them voted for Mr. Trump in past elections and both of them liked some of his policies, if not his personality. They came away from Ms. Harris’s speech feeling a little
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9 months
@_lucillesherman @tencor_7144 Seriously, just the very best people.
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7 months
@Olivianuzzi This U?
@GodlessLib_CB
James Moody
@GodlessLib_CB
7 months
@admcrlsn She doesn’t have access anymore.
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4 months
If you still think Nikki Fried and crew at FL Dem State Party aren’t putting in the work to make state competitive, this is highest number of contested elections by Democrats in State Senate + State House since at least 1990’s when they had majority. Just 7 districts uncontested!
@90For90
90 For 90
@90For90
4 months
@daniellehawkgnv Great job Danielle, @PhillipJerez , & @nikkifried !! 140 state LDs are on the ballot in 2024: 120 HDs & 20 SDs. @MargieStein1 only has 6 HDs & 1 SD remaining unrecruited. Stay tuned. More candidates are stepping forward after the weekend Dem gathering in Orlando. @jacobogles
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5 months
@jmart @StevenTDennis I’m not going to justify this nonsense narrative from media so desperate for Trump to return with my eyeballs given author hasn’t paid 1 second of attention to Biden’s campaign which has outreached more to Republicans than progressives. But anything for those clicks am I right?
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3 months
If you’ve stayed with me through this monster thread, thank you for reading! Whether you agree or disagree with me, I hope you enjoyed it and appreciate the time and effort it took to put this thing together for everyone. Please like and share it if you found some value! 😊 /fin
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3 months
In case you don’t know, these 3 judges who made this ruling are on the ballot in November. You can make them pay for this decision by losing their jobs. Democrats Bonnie Lee Goldstein, Christine Weems and DaSean Jones are running to protect your rights + freedoms. Support them!
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@kylegriffin1
Kyle Griffin
@kylegriffin1
3 months
The Texas Supreme Court just upheld the state's near-total abortion ban — ruling against a group of women who were denied medically necessary abortions. The Court said the ban's exception for women facing "life-threatening conditions" is sufficiently broad enough to withstand
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10 months
@NikkiHaleyFan02 @NewsWire_US Please Republicans, believe every word of this. Spend millions informing voters how much you want to ban abortion. Do it. Dems would be so owned.
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15 days
Harris lead by 25!!! points among Latino voters in Arizona. Biden only won them by 19 points in 2020 and still managed to flip the state blue. VERY good sign for her.
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@politico
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@politico
16 days
Harris leads Trump among Hispanic voters in Arizona
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16 days
The political talent gap between Democrats and Republicans is the size of the Grand Canyon after years of Democratic focus in winning down ballot elections. That investment is paying off big time. And the entire Dem political bench is about to hit campaign trail. ALL of this 👇
@stuartpstevens
Stuart Stevens
@stuartpstevens
16 days
I’ve spent a lot of my life sizing up political talent. The secret of success as a political consultant is working for candidates who are going to win anyway. The talent disparity between the Dem and R parties is like nothing I’ve seen. What happened? R’s became more white,
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3 months
Republicans on other hand, had full fledged million + army of volunteers going out to talk to voters. That allowed them to turnout unlikely voters, persuade undecided + swing voters and make the election a nail biter. A field ground campaign can add up to 3% for a candidate. /21
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3 months
While there’s no way to gauge what new organizations did prior to Trump being elected (because they didn’t exist), let’s look at a few before and after differences for organizations that Democrats became involved with, that did exist before, starting with a behemoth: ActBlue. /8
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10 months
@JacobWalters39 If your best result on election night of winning MS by 5 makes you celebrate your party’s success maybe you should set your standards higher. Just saying.
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4 months
@lxeagle17 @matthewstoller I don’t think this is a guy you should waste 1 second on. He’s not arguing in good faith.
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3 months
How about an organization dedicated specifically to recruiting and training candidates to run for office? Yup, Democrats have that now too! Run For Something formed in 2017 and is an organization focused on downballot races all the way to School Board and City Council. /16
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1 month
1) No matter what we try to tell swing or non political voters, they NEVER believe “this is bad” could actually happen. That’s why voters were shocked + outraged after Dobbs. They didn’t think abortion could be banned. They still won’t believe us about Project 2025. /2
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3 months
The other 2 years Democrats underperformed were during the once a century pandemic that ground world to a halt. In 2020 there was no in person campaigning from any of these groups, Democrats or even Joe Biden’s campaign, which knocked 0 doors in the election. That matters. /20
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3 months
This is happening across every single Democratic supportive group between Obama years and now. Now imagine how fast that adds up. But it’s not just raising money that’s changed either. It’s the activism that money can create, like registering voters. Look at Voto Latino. /14
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3 months
Democrats throughout history have had a not so secret weapon with their ground game powering them to a popular vote majority in 9 of the last 10 presidential elections, a remarkable record that any political party would be jealous of. The only year the GOP got one was 2004. /22
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3 months
The same thing occurs again: an enormous increase between the two election’s spending. Vote Vets was formed in 2006. It’s a liberal veterans group that endorses Democratic veteran candidates and targets veteran voters to GOTV. Contrast its first presidential year to 2020. /11
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4 months
Pour one out for Republicans who wasted $460k trying to get JMS as their Democratic opponent. Instead, they now face Janelle Bynum, the Democrat who beat Lori Chavez-DeRemer not once, but twice, in a row.
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@DecisionDeskHQ
Decision Desk HQ
@DecisionDeskHQ
4 months
Decision Desk HQ projects Janelle Bynum wins the Democratic primary for Oregon's 5th Congressional District. #DecisionMade : 11:16pm ET
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3 months
As I mentioned earlier, it’s not just the old organizations getting a boost, it’s new ones that didn’t exist before also. Let’s take a look at some. Swing Left, March For Our Lives, Black PAC and Indivisible were all nonexistent before 2016. This is their impact in elections. /15
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3 months
The Democratic outside group constellation for helping win elections isn’t done growing either. Here’s only some of the groups that have formed after Joe Biden was first elected in 2020: Justice Unites Us, Dirt Road Democrats, The States Project and Leaders We Deserve. /17
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The final year of underperformance for Democrats was 2021, again, a pandemic year where voter activities were very limited and these organizations were hamstrung from operating with their full force. You can’t run campaigns solely online because you miss crucial voters. /23
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8 months
@jessicaschulb @Taniel DOJ is independent and Biden has no control over their decisions.
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18 days
@NunesAlt When Andrew Yang, AOC, Adam Kinzinger and Joe Manchin all unite behind candidate, you have something truly special being created. Also, let’s not forget this strength has translated into election wins. Winning or over performing 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2022 + 2023 not accident.
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1 year
@BahlestKimmie @SarcasmoDeMiami @LVozzella 1) Not unethical, has nothing to do with elected office. 2) Not immoral, that’s completely subjective based on one’s personal opinion. 3) I’ll give you credit for actually being consistent in your beliefs even though I disagree with you.
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3 months
Let’s get obvious out of way. In 2016, when Democrats underperformed, all these organizations didn’t exist or didn’t have reach they do now because Democrats didn’t care as much (or at all) other than maybe casting a ballot every 4 years. After 2016, that permanently changed. /19
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3 months
The League of Conservation Voters is a massive organization for all sorts of environmental causes that endorses and supports Democrats. To give a conservative estimate, let’s see the difference between a presidential election year and midterm election year from 2012 to 2018. /12
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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
5 months
@_fat_ugly_rat_ That would entirely depend on how long a time frame you’re talking about. 2024? Not likely 2028? Possibly 2032? Probably But that also assumes the current party coalitions stay the same, which is a completely unknown future factor.
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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
3 months
And who can forget the pro-choice juggernaut Emily’s List that supports pro-choice Democratic women candidates. They formed way back in 1985, but have really grown exponentially recently, to a point they now dwarf their GOP counterpart which is the SBA. Compare 2012 to 2020. /13
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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
3 months
While the Obama years had far more ticket splitting, since Trump ran for president, special election results have more closely followed partisanship, with fewer voters crossing over to other party’s candidates. That means less rural Democrats and suburban/urban Republicans. /24
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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
1 month
Now that it’s clear Kamala Harris has united the party from left to right, the media are having a collective sad that they aren’t able to publish their pre-written “Dems in disarray” stories they had planned. It couldn’t be more obvious.
@fakedansavage
Dan Savage
@fakedansavage
1 month
Democrats cheated themselves out of the protracted and bruising nomination process that would've divided the party and then delivered a badly wounded candidate to the general election to face Donald Trump in the fall. Total self own on the part of the Democratic Party.
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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
9 months
This thread is a great example of exactly why every election from the very top of president to the very bottom of your local council person matters a lot and you should vote for every single election. This doesn’t happen if Republicans have control in Michigan.
@Taniel
Taniel
@Taniel
9 months
Dems won full control of Michigan in the midterms, for the first time in 38 years. Then? In the last few weeks, Michigan adopted into law a big range of voting rights reforms. Let me count 7 different ways. ⬇️
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ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
5 months
He lost to a woman who: - Supports a total abortion ban - Is against same sex marriage - Says this on immigration In a Biden +12 district. Can probably move this race to Safe D.
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@tencor_7144
Political Election Projections
@tencor_7144
5 months
Projection: The AL-02 Republican primary will be won by Caroleene Dobson, upsetting Round 1 first-place finisher Dick Brewbaker
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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
13 days
@umichvoter As we saw in the GA-06 special election, then runoff, then general election 2017-2018, too much resources + campaigning can activate your opposition voters too, not just your own supporters. Sometimes quieter campaign, especially in red areas, really is best election strategy.
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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
10 months
@umichvoter Would love to know his reaction when he finds out Trump wants a Muslim ban.
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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
29 days
Just saying that if Harris is believed to be like Obama, who managed to flip Indiana!!! in his first run, then we should start considering the 2024 battleground may be larger than we currently think.
@axios
Axios
@axios
29 days
Swing voters compare Harris to Obama in Wisconsin focus group
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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
8 days
@BMeiselas She knows she’s going to win.
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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
3 months
We only have a few months left (can you believe election is less than 5 months away!) until we find out whether this explanation holds true for 2024 general elections and if it does, Democrats should be very pleased based on the election results so far. I’m eager to find out! /38
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ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
8 days
I don’t have ounce of sympathy for media complaining Harris doesn’t talk to press when they use times she does to rattle off false GOP talking points + asks to respond. They only care about creating horse race, both sides, not truth. That’s not journalism, but it is press today.
@CalltoActivism
CALL TO ACTIVISM
@CalltoActivism
8 days
YES!! Kamala Harris NAILS her answer after Dana Bash falsely says the economy was better under Trump. Trump “crashed the economy” with COVID mismanagement Kamala says.
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1 month
Average voter never thinks it could get worse, that it will continue being good because nothing bad ever happens to them. That’s why they swing wildly. “Everything will be good as it was, now I’ll choose what issue to work on for which party I support”. That is entire mindset. /3
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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
4 months
In case you missed it last night (because normal people were asleep), Anchorage, Alaska has tossed it’s far right MAGA mayor after only a single three year term in favor of a Democratic endorsed independent by double digits.
@AKpublicnews
Alaska Public Media News
@AKpublicnews
4 months
Breaking: Suzanne LaFrance is poised to be Anchorage’s first elected female mayor. Early election results show her leading incumbent Mayor Dave Bronson by nearly 10%.
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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
7 months
@umichvoter Because the media is focused on “Biden is old” and not covering what Trump insanely says with wall to wall coverage. This will change.
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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
4 months
Holy crap, have Democrats actually learned the key lesson from 2016? This is exactly why donating to a campaign is the best donation you can make.
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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
15 days
@sciencerules69 Oh, he’s salty lmao 🤣
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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
3 months
Now you know about small sliver of massive political campaign infrastructure dedicated to helping Democrats win elections that’s grown from nothing or expanded from previous levels, but what about this is answer to how elections turned out from 2016-2024? I’m getting to it! /18
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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
1 year
@DLCC @RafterForRep Next up? Virginia!
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Join me and help Virginia Democrats win on November 7th!

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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
3 months
There isn’t much special election polling conducted period + what we do have is almost entirely for congressional races, so there’s a very limited dataset, which may or may not skew the special election polling average. What we do have points to the same phenomenon occurring. /25
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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
3 months
Trump admits he thinks the far right SCOTUS is in his back pocket. This should be news everywhere.
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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
1 month
By using weird, we produce visceral repulsion + can’t be waved off “they’re being partisan”. Goal is to get voters not to vote for GOP. We tried anti-democracy attacks, we tried “Trump unfit, danger to country”. What happened? Biden barely won 2020 in EC, GOP won House 2022. /4
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@ElectionsAddict
ElectionsAddict
@ElectionsAddict
3 months
Polls weren’t wrong per se, they would have been accurate if that was the electorate. But they screened out voters who cast ballots. Because of huge number of groups, Democrats expanded electorate, getting unlikely voters to vote early, which also aided GOTV on Election Day. /36
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