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Election Time

@ElectionTime_

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250,000+ subs, YouTube's largest election-focused channel. 🔴LIVE 2024 election coverage on YouTube 11/5. @Georgetown @Polymarket

Washington, DC
https://t.co/U9kh72A0pa
Joined December 2020
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@ElectionTime_
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3 days
I was 100% accurate in predicting Joe Biden's 206-232 electoral vote victory in 2020. Today, I have Trump winning the 2024 election with 312 electoral votes. 2024 Election Forecast 🟥Trump 312✅ 🟦Harris 226 Trump is on tack to win all 7 swing states and potentially even the
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@ElectionTime_
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14 days
TRUMP SKYROCKETS, NOW LEADS BY 16% ON POLYMARKET 2024 Election (Odds to Win) 🟥Trump 57.7% 🟦Harris 41.9% Trump has taken a commanding lead and has become the clear favorite to win this election.
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17 days
TRUMP TAKES A BIG LEAD IN THE POLLS 2024 Election Map Based On Polls 🟥Trump 302 (270 to Win) 🟦Harris 236 Trump leads in 6 of 7 swing states. He only needs 3 or 4.
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20 days
#BREAKING : TRUMP TAKES THE LEAD IN MICHIGAN RealClearPolitics now has Trump winning 296 electoral votes. The former president will likely also flip Wisconsin and Nevada soon.
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24 days
TRUMP SURGES IN NORTH CAROLINA 2024 Election in North Carolina 🟥Trump 51% (+4) 🟦Harris 47% RMG Research | September 25-27 | 780 LV
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2 months
This is my 2024 Election Forecast. Trump is on track to win 312 electoral votes. As for Harris, she will perform worse than every Democrat since Michael Dukakis in 1988. According to this projection, Trump will flip Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan, and
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28 days
This is my 2024 Election Forecast, as of October 1. Trump is on track to win the presidency with 312 electoral votes. As for Harris, she will perform worse than every Democrat since Michael Dukakis in 1988. According to this projection, Trump will flip Nevada, Arizona,
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1 month
#1 MOST ACCURATE POLLSTER: TRUMP ON TRACK TO WIN BIG Michigan: 🟥Trump +3.4 Pennsylvania: 🟥Trump +2.9 Wisconsin: 🟥Trump +1.5 Arizona: 🟥Trump +1.2 Georgia: 🟥Trump +0.6 North Carolina: 🟦Harris +2.4 Nevada: 🟦Harris +2.8 AtlasIntel was the most accurate pollster in the 2020
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11 days
Kamala is no longer laughing.
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2 months
TRUMP LEADS IN NEWEST PENNSYLVANIA POLL 2024 Election in Pennsylvania 🟥Trump 48% (+2) 🟦Harris 46% Without Pennsylvania, Harris has essentially no realistic pathways to 270 electoral votes. 889 LV | September 4-6 | co/efficient
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1 month
BREAKING: Trump takes back the lead in @Polymarket 's 2024 Election Forecast. 2024 Election 🟥Trump 287 🟦Harris 251
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25 days
This is the 2024 Election Map Based on Current Polling Averages. 2024 Electoral College 🟥Trump 281 ✅ 🟦Harris 257 For the first time ever, polling averages predict a Trump victory.
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19 days
#BREAKING : TRUMP’S LEAD ON @POLYMARKET EXPANDS TO 12%.
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29 days
TRUMP LEADS BY 3% IN PENNSYLVANIA 2024 Election in Pennsylvania 🟥Trump 48% (+3) 🟦Harris 45% Trafalgar Group | September 26-29 | 1,090 LV
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18 days
TRUMP SURGES, LEADS BY 6% IN NEVADA 2024 Election in Nevada 🟥Trump 49% (+6) 🟦Harris 43% The Wall Street Journal/Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | September 28-October 8 | 600 LV
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28 days
Vance is the clear winner of the Vice Presidential Debate. Debate Winner 🟥Vance 66% (+22) 🟦Walz 34%
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16 days
23 days until the election... TRUMP LEADS BY 10% ON @POLYMARKET 2024 Election (Odds to Win) 🟥Trump 54.7% 🟦Harris 44.7% This is his largest lead since August 3. With the election just weeks away, Trump is surging at the perfect moment.
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2 months
TRUMP LEADS HARRIS BY 3% NATIONWIDE. 2024 General Election 🟥Trump 49% (+3) 🟦Harris 46% If Trump wins the popular vote by even 1%, he is almost sure to win the election. 1,893 LV | August 15-21 | Rasmussen Reports
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2 months
This is the 2024 election map based on the newest poll from all 50 states. Trump is on track to win 302 electoral votes, clinching a second four-year term. He's well positioned to flip Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, while the only swing state Harris wins
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24 days
TRUMP TAKES THE LEAD IN MICHIGAN 2024 Election in Michigan 🟥Trump 49% (+1) 🟦Harris 48% Mitchell Research & Communications | September 30 | 709 LV
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TRUMP TIES HARRIS IN VIRGINIA, poll of 1,000 adults. 2024 Election in Virginia 🟥Trump 45% 🟦Harris 45% Research America | September 3-9 | 1,000 A
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29 days
TRUMP RETAKES THE LEAD IN THE REALCLEARPOLITICS ELECTORAL MAP.
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#1 MOST ACCURATE POLL: TRUMP +3 IN POPULAR VOTE 2024 Popular Vote 🟥Trump 51% (+3) 🟦Harris 48% AtlasIntel | October 12-17 | 4,180 LV
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18 days
TRUMP SMASHES HARRIS IN NEW RCP 2024 ELECTION MAP 2024 Election 🟥Trump 302 🟦Harris 236 Harris is losing in every swing state except Wisconsin, which will flip to Trump soon.
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27 days
TRUMP LEADS BY 2% IN MICHIGAN 2024 Election in Michigan 🟥Trump 47% (+2) 🟦Harris 45% Trafalgar Group | September 28-30 | 1,086 LV
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2 months
TRUMP LEADS HARRIS BY 4% NATIONALLY 2024 General Election 🟥Trump 49% (+4) 🟦Harris 45% @Rasmussen_Poll , who conducted this poll, have consistently been among the most accurate in both 2016 and 2020. 1,885 LV | August 8-14 | Rasmussen Reports
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17 days
NEW YORK TIMES POLL HAS TRUMP LEADING BY 5% IN ARIZONA 2024 Election in Arizona 🟥Trump 51% (+5) 🟦Harris 46% The New York Times/Siena College | October 7-10 | 808 LV
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TRUMP LEADS BY 25% IN THE 2024 ELECTION 2024 Election (Odds to Win) 🟥Trump 62.5% (+25) 🟦Harris 37.5% Polymarket, 10/21
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7 days
THIS IS HUGE: Trump surges to take the lead in the popular vote. 2024 Popular Vote 🟥Trump 47% (+2) 🟦Harris 45% Previous Poll (10/6): 🟦Harris +2 Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 21 | 1,273 LV
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23 days
TRUMP’S ODDS TO WIN THE ELECTION CONTINUE TO SURGE 2024 Election (Odds to Win) 🟥Trump 50.8% 🟦Harris 48.4%
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22 days
TRUMP LEADS BY 8.2% ON @POLYMARKET , HIS LARGEST LEAD SINCE AUGUST 3. 2024 Election (Odds to Win) 🟥Trump 53.8% (+8.2) 🟦Harris 45.6% The Trump comeback has officially begun!
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TRUMP LEADS BIG IN PENNSYLVANIA 2024 Election in Pennsylvania 🟥Trump 50% (+3) 🟦Harris 47% Rasmussen Reports | October 9-13 | 1,072 LV
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2 months
This is my updated 2024 Election Forecast. Trump is on track to win with 297 electoral votes. As for Harris, she will lose every swing state except Michigan. According to this projection, Trump will flip Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. He is also within
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2 months
TRUMP SKYROCKETS IN ARIZONA ON @Polymarket Odds of Winning 🔴Trump 64% (+27) 🔵Harris 37% On August 18, Trump and Harris both had a 50% chance to win. Now, Trump’s odds top Harris’ by 27%.
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1 month
SHOCK POLL: Trump leads BIG, per the New York Times (A+) Arizona 🟥Trump 50% (+5) 🟦Harris 45% Georgia 🟥Trump 49% (+4) 🟦Harris 45% North Carolina 🟥Trump 49% (+2) 🟦Harris 47% The New York Times/Siena College | September 17-21 | ~700 LV (each)
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21 days
TRUMP LEADS BY 14% IN FLORIDA, PER NEW YORK TIMES POLL 2024 Election in Florida 🟥Trump 55% (+14) 🟦Harris 41% The New York Times/Siena College | September 29-October 4 | 617 LV
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LEFTIST POLLSTER: TRUMP WILL WIN THE POPULAR VOTE 2024 Popular Vote 🟥Trump 48% (+1) 🟦Harris 47% If Trump wins the popular vote, or even gets close, it will be nearly impossible for Harris to cross 270 electoral votes. Quinnipiac University | September 19-22 | 1,728 LV
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TRUMP LEADS HARRIS BY 2% IN MUST-WIN PENNSYLVANIA 2024 Election in Pennsylvania 🟥Trump 49% (+2) 🟦Harris 47% InsiderAdvantage | October 7-8 | 800 LV
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TRUMP EXPANDS HIS LEAD IN ARIZONA TO 4% 2024 Election in Arizona 🟥Trump 50% (+4) 🟦Harris 46% RMG Research | September 30-October 2 | 783 LV
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24 days
TRUMP LEADS BY DOUBLE-DIGITS IN TEXAS 2024 Election in Texas 🟥Trump 51% (+10) 🟦Harris 41% CWS Research | September 4-9 | 504 LV
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2 months
Republican odds to win the Senate sit at 72%.
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2 months
NEW POLYMARKET ODDS HAVE TRUMP UP BIG IN PENNSYLVANIA Chance of Victory in PA 🔴Trump 54% +8 🔵Harris 46%
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27 days
TRUMP TAKES THE LEAD IN WISCONSIN 2024 Election in Wisconsin 🟥Trump 47% (+1) 🟦Harris 46% This is a state Harris cannot afford to lose. For context, 2020 polling averages said Biden would win Wisconsin by 7%; he eventually won it by <1%. Trafalgar Group | September 28-30 |
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20 days
TRUMP SURGES IN MICHIGAN, LEADS BY 4% 2024 Election in Michigan 🟥Trump 51% (+4) 🟦Harris 47% Previous Poll: 🟦Harris +5 🎊FOLLOW ME FOR MORE UPDATES LIKE THIS! Quinnipiac University | October 3-7 | 1,073 LV
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12 days
TRUMP REACHES NEW HEIGHTS Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania are all Trump states now. Nevada remains the only tossup on Polymarket.
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TRUMP LEADS IN NEW YORK TIMES POLL AGAIN 2024 Presidential Election 🟥Trump 47% (+1) 🟦Harris 46% In the EIGHTH New York Times poll in a row, Trump leads among registered voters. The New York Times/Siena College | September 11-16 | 2,437 RV
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18 days
Polymarket Shows Trump with a COMMANDING Lead.
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2 months
Trump’s lead on @Polymarket expands to 4%.
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TRUMP LEADS IN NEW PENNSYLVANIA POLL 2024 Election in Pennsylvania 🟥Trump 50% (+2) 🟦Harris 48% If Trump can win the keystone state by 2%, there is no doubt he will win the election. InsiderAdvantage | September 14-15 | 800 LV
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NEW: TRUMP ALSO TAKES THE LEAD IN WISCONSIN 2024 Election in Wisconsin 🟥Trump 49% (+2) 🟦Harris 47% Last Poll: 🟦Harris +1 Quinnipiac University | October 3-7 | 1,073 LV
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20 days
TRUMP FLIPS WISCONSIN AND MICHIGAN ON @POLYMARKET He now leads in every swing state except Nevada.
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TRUMP EXPANDS HIS LEAD ON @POLYMARKET 2024 Election (Odds to Win) 🟥Trump 50.1% (+0.9) 🟦Harris 49.2% Trump also has a clear lead in North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona. Harris doesn't have a clear lead in any swing state.
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ACCURATE POLL: TRUMP LEADS BY 3% IN GEORGIA 2024 Election in Georgia 🟥Trump 50% (+3) 🟦Harris 47% RMG was spot on in predicting the results of the 2021 Georgia Senate Runoff Elections. RMG Research | October 7-10 | 731 LV
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TRUMP HOLDS DOMINANT LEAD IN FLORIDA 2024 Election in Florida 🟥Trump 53% (+6) 🟦Harris 47% ActiVote | September 17-October 6 | 400 LV
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THIS IS CRAZY: IT IS NOW A 60-40 RACE IN FAVOR OF TRUMP. 2024 Election (Odds to Win) 🟥Trump 59.7% 🟦Harris 40.1% Trump's surge continues on Polymarket with 20 days to go until Election Day.
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🚨TRUMP ODDS SURGE TO NEW HEIGHTS ON @POLYMARKET . 🚨
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This is my Mid-October 2024 Election Forecast. Trump leads in all 7 swing states, and the races in Minnesota and Virginia are tightening. Harris' momentum is truly dead, and Trump is on the rise with 19 days to go until the election.
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TRUMP LEADS IN ANOTHER ACCURATE PENNSYLVANIA POLL 2024 Election in Pennsylvania 🟥Trump 46% (+3) 🟦Harris 43% Tralfalgar Group | October 17-19 | 1,084 LV
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TRUMP TAKES THE LEAD IN WISCONSIN 2024 Election in Wisconsin 🟥Trump 50% (+1) 🟦Harris 49% Patriot Polling | October 12-14 | 803 RV
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#NEW : POLYMARKET ODDS SHOW TRUMP EVEN MORE LIKELY TO WIN GEORGIA Chance of Victory (Georgia) 🔴Trump 57% ✅ 🔵 Harris 43%
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TRUMP RETAKES THE LEAD ON @POLYMARKET 2024 Election (Odds to Win) 🟥Trump 50% (+1) 🟦Harris 49%
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TRUMP LEADS BY 7% IN TEXAS 2024 Election in Texas 🟥Trump 49% (+7) 🟦Harris 42% The New York Times/Siena College | September 29-October 4 | 617 LV
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TRUMP HOLDS A COMMANDING 2% LEAD IN ARIZONA 2024 Election in Arizona 🟥Trump 51% (+2) 🟦Harris 49% ActiVote | October 3-8 | 1,000 LV
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NEW YORK IS IN PLAY, new poll finds. 2024 Election in New York 🟦Harris 52% (+12) 🟥Trump 40% A state Biden won by 23%, New York is becoming increasingly competitive. Harris will likely pull off the worst Democratic performance in the Empire State since 1988. Siena College |
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TRUMP LEADS BY 4% IN NORTH CAROLINA 2024 Election in North Carolina 🟥Trump 50% (+4) 🟦Harris 46% Trump is at the crucial 50% mark and is on track to winning the tar heel state for a third time in a row. 612 LV | August 26-27 | SoCal Strategies
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SHOCK POLL: Trump leads Harris in nearly every swing state. Arizona 🟥Trump 49% (+2) 🟦Harris 47% Georgia 🟥Trump 49% (+1) 🟦Harris 48% Michigan 🟥Trump 48% (even) 🟦Harris 48% Nevada 🟥Trump 47% (even) 🟦Harris 47% North Carolina 🟥Trump 50% (+3) 🟦Harris 47% Pennsylvania
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TRUMP LEADS IN ANOTHER NATIONAL POLL 2024 General Election 🟥Trump 49% (+1) 🟦Harris 48% 1,031 LV | August 23-25 | Echelon Insights
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BREAKING: Trump retakes the lead in the @RCPolitics 2024 Top Battlegrounds polling average. 2024 Top Battlegrounds 🟥Trump 47.9% (+0.2) 🟦Harris 47.7% For context: Biden led by 2.3.% in the final 2020 Battlegrounds average. Clinton led by 1.1% in 2016.
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2 months
After the 1st Trump-Harris Debate, Trump continues to lead in my 2024 Election Forecast. He is on track to win 312 Electoral Votes. The Former President will win all 7 swing states: Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia. Harris'
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11 DAYS TO GO... TRUMP IS DOMINATING OVER HARRIS 2024 Election (Odds to Win) 🟥Trump 61.5% (+22.8) 🟦Harris 38.7% He continues to lead in all 7 swing states.
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2020's most accurate pollster shows Trump leading by 3% nationwide. 2024 Popular Vote (AtlasIntel) 🟥Trump 51% (+3) 🟦Harris 48% Per Nate Silver, a Trump +3 popular vote scenario would give him a 99% chance at winning the electoral college. Odds of Winning 🟥Trump 99.9%
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A+ POLL: Trump will win Arizona. 2024 Election in Arizona 🟥Trump 50% (+1) 🟦Harris 49% Marist College | September 19-24 | 1,264 LV
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#BREAKING TRUMP IS THE FAVORITE ON @Polymarket AGAIN! This comes after Harris released her first economic policy proposals, which have been received negatively by observers on both sides.
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A+ POLL: Trump will win Georgia. 2024 Election in Georgia 🟥Trump 50% (+1) 🟦Harris 49% Marist College | September 19-24 | 1,220 LV
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TRUMP LEADS IN NEW MICHIGAN POLL 2024 Election in Michigan 🟥Trump 47% (+1) 🟦Harris 46% If Michigan goes to Trump, he will likely win at least 310 electoral votes and secure the presidency for a second time. 600 LV | August 23-26 | EPIC-MRA
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#BREAKING TRUMP LEADS EVERYWHERE IN NEW SWING STATE POLL Arizona 🟥Trump 49% (+1) 🟦Harris 48% Georgia 🟥Trump 48% (even) 🟦Harris 48% Michigan 🟥Trump 47% (even) 🟦Harris 47% Nevada 🟥Trump 48% (+1) 🟦Harris 47% North Carolina 🟥Trump 49% (+1) 🟦Harris 48% Pennsylvania
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TRUMP LEADS BY 3% IN ARIZONA IN NEW POLL 2024 Election in Arizona 🟥Trump 51% (+3) 🟦Harris 48% Trump is on track to flip this sun belt state that he lost by a narrow 0.3% margin in 2020, showcasing his resurgence. 720 LV | August 25-28 | Emerson College/The Hill
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TRUMP LEADS BY 2% IN ARIZONA 2024 Election in Arizona 🟥Trump 48% (+2) 🟦Harris 46% Trafalgar Group | October 10-13 | 1,090 LV
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TRUMP LEADS HARRIS IN **PENNSYLVANIA** 2024 Election in Pennsylvania 🟥Trump 47% (+1) 🟦Harris 46% @Rasmussen_Poll , who conducted this poll, was among the most accurate in 2020. Their final poll predicted a Biden +3 victory in Pennsylvania, very close to his eventual 1.2% win
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2 months
🚨SHOCK POLL: TRUMP LEADS BY 3% NATIONWIDE POST-DEBATE 2024 General Election 🟥Trump 51% (+3) 🟦Harris 48% AtlasIntel (A+) | September 11-12 | 1,775 LV
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2 months
TRUMP’S ODDS ARE THE HIGHEST SINCE JULY Odds of Winning 🟥Trump 60.1% (highest since 7/30) 🟦Harris 39.7% Per Nate Silver’s 2024 Election Forecast.
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2 months
TRUMP LEADS IN 4 OF 6 KEY SWING STATES ON POLYMARKET New betting odds show Trump is favored to win 66% of the key swing states that will determine the election.
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7 days
TRUMP LEADS BY A WHOPPING 4% IN GEORGIA 2024 Election in Georgia 🟥Trump 47% (+4) 🟦Harris 43% University of Georgia | October 7-16 | 1,000 LV
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6 days
HUGE NEWS: HARRIS' LEAD ON RCP HAS DIPPED TO 0.2%. 2024 Popular Vote 🟦Harris 48.8% 🟥Trump 48.6% (RECORD HIGH) The election is over. Trump just won.
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5 days
TRUMP TAKES THE LEAD IN WISCONSIN, THIS IS CRUSHING FOR KAMALA 2024 Election in Wisconsin 🟥Trump 49% (+1) 🟦Harris 48% Emerson College | October 21-22 | 800 LV
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2 months
TRUMP LEADS IN NORTH CAROLINA, FOR THE 3RD POLL IN A ROW 2024 Election In North Carolina 🟥Trump 49% (+3) 🟦Harris 46% TIPP Insights | September 11-13 | 1,721 RV
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2 months
#NEW New Polymarket odds show Trump on track to winning Nevada. He has never won the Silver state in either 2016 or 2020. And Nevada has not voted for Republicans since 2004 with George W Bush, which would make it a first in 2 decades. 🟥Trump 53% (+5%) 🟦Harris 48%
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2 months
Trump leads in @Polymarket 's 2024 Election Forecast. Odds of Winning 🟥Trump 50% (+3) 🟦Harris 47% Trump is on track to win all but 2 swing states: Nevada, Arizona, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia.
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13 days
BREAKING: TRUMP TAKES THE LEAD IN NEVADA, NOW LEADS IN ALL 7 SWING STATES ON POLYMARKET
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9 days
TRUMP IS PLOWING HARRIS IN THE 2024 ELECTION Polymarket's new forecast has Trump winning ALL 7 swing states. He has a 60% chance of winning the presidency; Harris is at just 40%.
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2 months
#BREAKING : TRUMP LEADS IN ALMOST ALL SWING STATES ON POLYMARKET Trump leads in all but 2 swing states according to PolyMarket odds. Trump leads nationally by 2 points as well.
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2 months
TRUMP TAKES BACK THE LEAD IN ARIZONA & NEVADA ON @Polymarket This comes as Harris' economic plan is rejected by observers on both sides. It seems that the Harris train is beginning to lose steam, as Trump continues to gain back ground.
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22 days
Pennsylvania Voter Registration has been BOOMING 8,060 new democrat voters registered, whereas republicans gained a WHOPPING 15,890. Great news for Trump's campaign.
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2 months
#NEW : TRUMP SKYROCKETS TO 5 POINT LEAD IN BETTING ODDS ON POLYMARKET Chance of Victory via betting odds 🔴Trump 52% +5 🔵Harris 47%
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28 days
JD Vance won the debate.
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TRUMP LEADS BY 2% IN MICHIGAN 2024 Election in Michigan 🟥Trump 46% (+2) 🟦Harris 44% Trafalgar Group | October 18-20 | 1,090 LV
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2 months
The DNC has done nothing to improve confidence in the Harris-Walz ticket. 2024 Election Odds (+/- since DNC Day 1) 🟥Trump 51% (+3) 🟦Harris 48% (-2) Trump also took the lead in Nevada, Arizona, and Pennsylvania during the convention.
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2 months
Trump leads in 4 of 6 swing states on @Polymarket . Georgia - 🟥60% Trump win Arizona - 🟥55% Trump win Nevada - 🟥54% Trump win Pennsylvania - 🟥52% Trump win Wisconsin - 🟦56% Harris win Michigan - 🟦61% Harris win
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9 days
TRUMP IS ABOUT TO WIN THE POPULAR VOTE He leads in 4 of the last 5 national polls. Harris' average lead has shrunk to just 0.9%. If she wins the popular vote by this margin, she will certainly lose the electoral college.
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15 days
22 Days to Go... TRUMP LEADS IN 6 OF 7 SWING STATES ON POLYMARKET The only swing state Harris is ahead in is Nevada, where she has just a 51% chance of winning.
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Trump is now LEADING in Pennsylvania according to @Polymarket , and he is now the favorite to win.
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