Listen, I get that Dalvin Cook is running in gaping holes. I get it. But…
Watching the juice, quickness, and speed that Dalvin Cook has vs Najee Harris is quite alarming.
Who's this year's Puka Nacua⁉️
People will point to Puka's extreme Yards Per Route Run (YPRR) and try to find the next guy.
I'm here to burst that bubble:
🔹Non 1st/2nd rounders
🔹YPRR >/= 3.25
🔹Draft year w/ final season college stats
I have an announcement…. Stop saying your bold prediction is Antonio Brown will lead the Bucs in production.
It’s not bold if it’s everyone’s bold prediction.
In 19 games between 2022/23, the receiving yards battle between Rome Odunze & Jalen McMillan was:
🔹Odunze 11
🔹McMillan 8
*it was tied 6-6 in 2022*
We should probably pay a little attention to McMillan
2022 SF Rookie Dynasty Rankings
Hall
Burks
London
GWilson
Walker
Skyy
Bell
Jameson
Pickett
Rachaad
Olave
Pickens
Wan'Dale
Dotson
Watson
Cook
Malik
Ridder
Pierce
Allgeier
Brian Robinson
Tolbert
Metchie
After that just take a bunch of RBs
Nobody wants to hear it, and it's hard to swallow the pill and execute, but:
The process move with 1.02s is probably to keep trading back and land at the 1.05 and take either the QB that falls or this stud 👇 👇
Top 10 Draft Picks to post a 25+ PPG Season before their Senior Year
[ Ja’Marr Chase ]
[ Amari Cooper ]
[ Michael Crabtree ]
[ Drake London ]
[ Justin Blackmon ]
[ Malik Nabers* ]
Malik Nabers is the WR1 in MOST Classes
One of my favorite things to do is mull a trade idea and spruce it up in my head for days then propose it only to have it rejected and never think about it again.
Blended together 2023 WOPR & PFF Rec Grade and comparing to Age
🔴Cornerstone
🔵Elite Young
⚪️Elite Old
🟢Old and productive
🟣Young and Promising
🟡Young - but need to show something (section on right: optimistic)
Not Circled: Worthless
Perfect WR Prospect in its *simplest* form:
🔹1st/2nd Round Draft Capital
🔹Career AVG YPTPA >2.5
🔹Super Alpha
- BMI: > 26.5
- Height: > 71.5 in
WR that meet this criteria since 2010 pictured.
🚨2022 class has a WR to add to this group😲
I’m deeming a perfect prospect with the criteria below:
💎 1st/2nd round
💎 RYPTPA > 2.5
💎 Super Alpha
> 26.5 BMI
> 71.5 inches
Pictured: since 2010 draft class
2022 adds Treylon Burks and Drake London
Testing the market, here are 1 for 1s I have been rejected on for Burks today:
Diontae Johnson
Chris Godwin
Marquise Brown
Also:
Drake London + 24 2nd
The people that have Burks have absolutely zero interest in moving him as anything but a top 15 WR.
Blended together 2022 WOPR & PFF Rec grade and comparing to Age.
🔴- Elite Young
🔵- Elite Middle age
⚪️- Elite Old
🟡- Promising Young - Need to take a step
🟣- Solid young/middle - need to take a step
🟢- Old Solid - need more from them
Gray- Young and prob not good
My Rashee Rice take is that I don’t think he’s overly talented.
Low aDot, gimmicky profile, I wouldn’t generally like, but given that he’s with Patty I’ll allow it and I’ll say I’m at market on him.
He’s WR24ish and in a tier with other rookies like Addison and JSN for me.
Everyone will have 'their guy' from the WR class from this group:
Brian Thomas Jr
Xavier Worthy
Ladd McConkey
Troy Franklin
Adonai Mitchell
(Insert others that get round 2 DC)
My guy is Xavier Worthy
I hate to be the bearer of bad news but I think our Aiyuk shares might need to be sold if Deebo gets traded.
This market value is about to turn up to an outrageous level.
My pre-NFL draft WR tiers with some draft capital assumptions baked in:
1) Treylon Burks
2) Garrett Wilson, David Bell, & Drake London
3) George Pickens, Jameson Williams, & Justyn Ross
4) Chris Olave, Wan'Dale Robinson, Skyy Moore, & Jalen Tolbert
What a day!! Wrote an article and then check my email at the end of the day to find this 🤩
First timer here, can’t wait to take part in
#SFB11
! Thank you,
@ScottFish24
!
Now I really need to dig further into this article from
@ffShaneB
Since 2009 WR drafted in rounds 1-5:
- 35 WR 5’10 or shorter. 4 hits ➡️11.4%
- 43 WR 5’10.01-5’11.9. 8 hits ➡️18.6%
- 107 WR btw 6’0-6’2. 30 hits ➡️28.0%
- 53 WR >6’2 and 17 hits ➡️32.1%
🗣This is descriptive not predictive. Do with it as you please📣
Cont..
It’s going to be perpetually sad when rebuilders draft RB early 1st and contenders draft WR late 1st and the gap between the ‘have’ and the ‘have nots’ widens.
THREAD: 80% hit rate for dynasty WR is possible!! As this is my first tweet, I had to catch your attention off the bat so stick with me here. First off, this was inspired by
@dynogametheory
from this tweet .
The basic anatomy of a Top-24 Dynasty Wide Receiver.
MT
Nuk
Godwin
Adams
T Hill
Amari
DJ Moore
M Evans
Golladay
Sutton
JuJu
A Rob
Chark
Diggs
OBJ
Boyd
DK
AJ Brown
Julio
Gallup
Ridley
Keenan
Deebo
Kupp
This is the data set used.
Let’s take a look...
WR drafted in rounds 1-3 since 2010 with:
🔸YPTPA wt’d for yr 2/3 > 2.50
🔸RAS > 9.00
Looks like we will be adding Quentin Johnston & Jaxon Smith-Njigba to this list.
Jameson Williams is a strange dynasty player right now.
- Contenders don’t really want him
- Rebuilders would prefer to have draft picks
Not sure who is buying right now. Yet his KTC price is a top 20 WR.
There have been 17 WR drafted in the 1st or 2nd round since 2015 under 6’0.
Not one of them has had a top 24 season to this point. Brandon Aiyuk is the only one that looks like a sure bet. (Aiyuk measured 5’11 7/8)
Here’s the full list:
Being below the line here seems scary.
Laviska Shenault
Parris Campbell
N’Keal Harry
Bryan Edwards
Jalen Reagor
All really jump out. Then there is Quentin Johnston staring me in the eyes.
College First Down/Target % and YPRR, notable WRs since ‘17
Raw production + “value” receiving
J. Waddle: 55.7%
J. Smith-Njigba: 55%
J. Chase: 53.5%
C. Lamb: 53.5%
D. Smith: 52.5%
M. Brown: 51.9%
C. Olave: 50.7%
M. Harrison Jr: 50.4%
J. Jefferson: 50.3%
🚨My WR criteria for each height range🚨
Green = 'Meets Threshold'
Red = 'Does not meet Threshold'
Note the final column is my WR formula score. To compare to 2014-2020, check the next tweet.
Should we remove Senior year stats from non-early declare WR? The answer is, yes.
Here is why ⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️
(You may need a PhD to decipher this - The next tweets have my criteria for each height range)
1/4
2022 season WOPR x YPRR for WR
🔹Tee Higgins (due to leaving early 3x?)
🔹Pickens/Dotson👎
🔹DJ Moore😊
🔹Amari Cooper - decent old guy buy
🔹Deebo/Godwin similar usage (Burks right between them but didn't have 400 snaps)
- Rookies are in Red
This RB class could not be anymore boring.
1) Najee
2) Javonte
3) Etienne
Don’t burn picks on later round RB in this class. If you are on the clock and Michael Carter or Trey Sermon are the ‘consensus pick’ find a RB needy team and trade that pick to them.
Sub 6'0 WR Criteria
Step 1: 1st/ 2nd Round Draft Capital
Step 2: Throw out scat backs turned WR
Step 3: BOA </= 20
Step 4: BMI > 26.25
Step 5: College DOM Rating > 35%
Step 6: AVG MS Rec Yards >26.5%
Hit rate 8/11= 72.7%
Final thing then I'll let you go, we can get saucy here: