Sharp sports picks from a finance guy. Free alpha for props, parlays and sharp action; more content coming soon (NBA, MLB, NFL, MMA/UFC, NCAA College Baseball).
NBA Props I Like (10/23) 🏀:
Part 1
Jaden Ivey over 15.5 points
Aaron Nesmith under 16.5 PRA
Tobias Harris over 21.5 points + rebounds
Tobias Harris over 15.5 points
Cameron Johnson over 14.5 points
Dennis Schroder over 13.5 points
Bobby Portis over 21.5 PRA
@carlymersky
Nope. Kicker issues and wide receiver drops. Can’t blame everything on Daniel Jones when he played good enough to win (except for week 1). Also playcalling could have been better.
NFL Props I Like (9/8), Week 1🏈:
Continued (Part 1)
Tyreek Hill Anytime Touchdown
De'Von Achane over 22.5 receiving yards
Drake London over 61.5 receiving yards
Pat Freiermuth over 26.5 receiving yards
Pat Freiermuth over 2.5 receptions
Justin Jefferson over 6.5 receptions
@whitesox
Can you give an estimated time for resuming ASAP or just call the game? Don't you have on-staff meteorologists? This is ridiculous for professional baseball and
@MLB
should investigate these issues
NFL Props I Like (9/14), Week 2 🏈:
Continued (Part 4)
Jameson Williams over 45.5 receiving yards
Mike Evans over 4.5 receptions
Mike Evans Anytime Touchdown
Chris Godwin over 62.5 receiving yards
Rachaad White under 47.5 rushing yards
Jonathan Taylor Anytime Touchdown
MLB Baseball (7/26) ⚾️:
Guardians vs Phillies under 8 total
Braves vs Mets under 7.5 total
Marlins vs Brewers under 7.5 total
Mariners vs White Sox under 7 total
Dodgers vs Astros under 8.5 total
Cubs vs Royals under 9 total
Orioles -1.5 (run line)
Twins -1.5 (run line)
NFL Props I Like (9/21), Week 3 🏈:
Part 1
Chris Olave over 64.5 receiving yards
DeVonta Smith over 5.5 receptions
DeVonta Smith over 70.5 receiving yards
Jamaal Williams over 17.5 rushing yards
Malik Nabers over 63.5 receiving yards
Jerry Jeudy over 41.5 receiving yards
NFL Props I Like (9/8), Week 1🏈:
Continued (Part 3)
Rhamondre Stevenson over 50.5 rushing yards
Rhamondre Stevenson over 13.5 rushing attempts
Caleb Williams over 239.5 passing yards
Tony Pollard over 11.5 receiving yards
Khalil Shakir over 3.5 receptions
NBA Props I Like (3/13) 🏀:
Cade Cunningham over 22.5 points
Chris Paul over 23.5 PRA
Vasilije Micic over 10.5 points
Luka Doncic To Triple Double +140
DeMar DeRozan over 23.5 points
Bam Adebayo under 33.5 PRA
Keegan Murray under 20.5 PRA
Mikal Bridges under 26.5 PRA
NBA Props I Like (3/5), Part 1 🏀:
Paolo Banchero over 20.5 points
Kelly Olynyk over 24.5 PRA
Kelly Olynyk over 19.5 points + rebounds
Dejounte Murray under 37.5 PRA
Jayson Tatum under 28.5 points
Jarrett Allen under 31.5 PRA
Andrew Nembhard under 10.5 points
@OnPointMMA
Yes, please stop. We need a live audience and better matchmaking. UFC is getting too complacent; back in 2019, they used to barnstorm all over the US and globally for events.
NFL Props I Like (9/8), Week 1🏈:
Continued (Part 2)
Justin Jefferson over 81.5 receiving yards
Malik Nabers over 5.5 receptions
Malik Nabers over 59.5 receiving yards
Adam Thielen over 3.5 receptions
Adam Thielen over 37.5 receiving yards
NFL Props I Like (9/21), Week 3 🏈:
Part 3
Jalen Nailor over 35.5 receiving yards
Nico Collins over 5.5 receptions
Najee Harris over 14.5 rushing attempts
Jaylen Warren over 6.5 rushing attempts
Pat Freiermuth over 2.5 receptions
Pat Freiermuth over 24.5 receiving yards
NFL Props I Like (9/26), Week 4 🏈:
Thursday Night Football, Part 1
Malik Nabers over 6.5 receptions
Malik Nabers Anytime Touchdown
Malik Nabers over 71.5 receiving yards
Wan'Dale Robinson over 34.5 receiving yards
Rico Dowdle over 13.5 receiving yards
NFL Props I Like (10/5), Week 5 🏈:
Part 1
Allen Lazard over 33.5 receiving yards
Jordan Addison over 36.5 receiving yards
Tyler Conklin over 26.5 receiving yards
Diontae Johnson over 61.5 receiving yards
Diontae Johnson over 5.5 receptions
Chuba Hubbard over 62.5 rushing yards
NFL Props I Like (9/23), Week 3 🏈:
Monday Night Football
James Cook Anytime Touchdown
James Cook over 61.5 rushing yards
Mike Gesicki over 2.5 receptions (FanDuel -128)
Austin Ekeler over 17.5 receiving yards
Austin Ekeler over 2.5 receptions
Simone Fontecchio over 10.5 points
Alex Caruso over 8.5 points
Pascal Siakam under 31.5 PRA
Jaden Ivey under 23.5 PRA
Kevin Durant over 29.5 points
Gary Trent over 14.5 points
Grayson Allen over 13.5 points
MLB Baseball (3/31) ⚾️:
Tigers vs White Sox under 8 total
Twins vs Royals under 9 total
Orioles -1.5 spread
Diamondbacks -1.5 spread
Reds -1.5 spread
Guardians -1.5 spread
NBA Props I Like (2/15) 🏀:
Draymond Green over 23.5 PRA
Vince Williams over 17.5 points + assists
Deandre Ayton over 23.5 points + rebounds
Jaren Jackson Jr under 5.5 rebounds
Jaren Jackson under 31.5 PRA
NBA Props I Like (3/26) 🏀:
Anthony Davis over 24.5 points
Austin Reaves over 17.5 points
Austin Reaves over 28.5 PRA
De’Aaron Fox over 26.5 points
De’Aaron Fox over 37.5 PRA
Bam Adebayo under 19.5 points
Zion Williamson over 25.5 points
Jalen Williams over 17.5 points
MLB Baseball (5/28) ⚾️:
Cardinals vs Reds under 9.5 total
Nationals vs Braves under 8.5 total
Cubs vs Brewers under 8 total
Athletics vs Rays under 8 total
Royals vs Twins under 7.5 total
Blue Jays -1.5 (run line)
Yankees -1.5 (run line)
Phillies -1.5 (run line)
NFL Props I Like (9/14), Week 2 🏈:
Continued (Part 5)
Jonathan Taylor over 18.5 rushing attempts
Brian Thomas over 38.5 receiving yards
Tank Bigsby over 8.5 rushing attempts
Jordan Mason over 74.5 rushing yards
Deebo Samuel over 4.5 receptions
NFL Props I Like (9/8), Week 1🏈:
Continued (Part 4)
Stefon Diggs over 4.5 receptions
Tank Dell over 3.5 receptions
Davante Adams over 66.5 receiving yards
Davante Adams over 5.5 receptions
Kenneth Walker over 65.5 rushing yards
Kenneth Walker over 15.5 rushing attempts
NCAA College Baseball (2/25, Part 3) ⚾️:
Cal Poly vs Texas under 12.5 total
High Point vs Ole Miss under 14.5 total
Nebraska vs Grand Canyon under 13 total
Georgia Southern vs Mississippi State under 14.5 total
NFL Props I Like (9/14), Week 2 🏈:
Continued (Part 6)
Jordan Mason over 17.5 rushing attempts
Deebo Samuel over 55.5 receiving yards
Jauan Jennings over 20.5 receiving yards
Rhamondre Stevenson over 16.5 rushing attempts
Rhamondre Stevenson over 60.5 rushing yards
NBA Props I Like (3/6), Part 1 🏀:
John Collins over 26.5 points + rebounds
D'Angelo Russell over 17.5 points
Alperen Sengun under 35.5 PRA
Ayo Dosunmu over 23.5 PRA
Jalen Johnson under 30.5 PRA
Paolo Banchero over 34.5 PRA
@The_Gildz
Nico Collins and Adonai Mitchell.
Also you could bump up Malik Nabers to 1250+ yards since it seems like he will have a significant target share.
Parlay
#2
Steve Erceg (moneyline) vs Matt Schnell
+
Eryk Anders (moneyline) vs Jamie Pickett
+
Vitor Petrino (moneyline) vs Tyson Pedro
+
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs Loik Radzhabov, fight to start round 2 (Yes)
+116 combined odds
NFL Props I Like (9/12), Week 2 🏈:
Thursday Night Football
James Cook over 18.5 receiving yards
Jaylen Waddle over 4.5 receptions
Tyreek Hill Anytime Touchdown
Keon Coleman over 43.5 receiving yards
Keon Coleman over 3.5 receptions
NBA Props I Like (2/29) 🏀:
Giannis over 27.5 points
Jalen Suggs over 10.5 points
Nic Claxton under 10.5 rebounds
Bam Adebayo under 34.5 PRA
Alperen Sengun under 37.5 PRA
Jusuf Nurkic over 24.5 PRA
MLB Baseball (5/16) ⚾️:
Mets vs Phillies under 9 total
Rays vs Red Sox under 8 total
Pirates vs Cubs under 8.5 total
Athletics vs Astros under 9 total
Reds vs Dodgers under 7.5 total
MLB Baseball (9/13), Part 1 ⚾️:
Mets vs Phillies under 8.5 total
Orioles vs Tigers under 8 total
Royals vs Pirates under 8.5 total
Marlins vs Nationals under 8 total
Red Sox vs Yankees under 8.5 total
Cardinals vs Blue Jays under 8 total
Rays vs Guardians under 7.5 total
MLB Baseball (4/24) ⚾️:
Red Sox vs Guardians under 8 total
Phillies vs Reds under 8 total
Brewers vs Pirates under 8.5 total
Dodgers vs Nationals under 9.5 total
Tigers vs Rays under 8 total
Athletics vs Yankees under 8.5 total
Yankees -1.5 (run line)
Braves -1.5 (run line)
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg (Rio de Janeiro, Brazil), 5/4
Parlay
#1
Michel Pereira (moneyline) vs Ihor Potieria
+
Iasmin Lucindo (moneyline) vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz
+
Joaquim Silva vs Drakkar Klose, over 1.5 rounds
+105 combined odds
NCAA College Baseball (3/12), Part 2 ⚾️:
West Virginia vs Marshall under 13.5 total
Winthrop Eagles vs Charlotte under 13 total
Murray State vs Kentucky under 15 total
Missouri vs Kansas under 15 total
Sam Houston vs Texas A&M under 13.5 total
NFL Props I Like (9/28), Week 4 🏈:
Part 4
Diontae Johnson over 61.5 receiving yards
Andy Dalton over 227.5 passing yards
Kyren Williams over 19.5 rushing attempts
Kyren Williams over 77.5 rushing yards
Tutu Atwell over 37.5 receiving yards
NBA Props I Like (3/9) 🏀:
Ayo Dosunmu over 21.5 PRA
Cade Cunningham over 22.5 points
Mikal Bridges under 29.5 PRA
Jusuf Nurkic over 3.5 assists
John Collins over 10.5 rebounds + assists
Aaron Gordon over 23.5 PRA
Immanuel Quickley over 13.5 rebounds + assists
Parlay
#4
Julio Arce (moneyline) vs Herbert Burns
+
Caolan Loughran (moneyline) vs Angel Pacheco
+
Bill Algeo (moneyline) vs Kyle Nelson
+116 combined odds
NBA Props I Like (3/4) 🏀:
Josh Giddey under 19.5 PRA
Deni Avdija over 14.5 points
Deni Avdija over 24.5 PRA
Mikal Bridges under 31.5 PRA
Kyle Kuzma over 23.5 points
Ayo Dosunmu over 21.5 PRA
Parlay
#5
Julio Arce (moneyline) vs Herbert Burns
+
Caolan Loughran (moneyline) vs Angel Pacheco
+
Bruno Silva (moneyline) vs Chris Weidman
+130 combined odds
NFL Props I Like (9/9), Week 1🏈:
Monday Night Football
Breece Hall Anytime Touchdown
Breece Hall over 64.5 rushing yards
Breece Hall over 15.5 rushing attempts
Christian McCaffrey over 15.5 rushing attempts
Allen Lazard over 16.5 receiving yards
NFL Props I Like (9/21), Week 3 🏈:
Part 7
Jameson Williams over 3.5 receptions
Kyler Murray over 31.5 rushing yards
James Conner over 15.5 rushing attempts
Marvin Harrison over 63.5 receiving yards
Ezekiel Elliott under 32.5 rushing yards
Derrick Henry over 15.5 rushing
NBA Props I Like (4/4) 🏀:
Jalen Johnson over 20.5 points + assists
Jalen Johnson over 12.5 rebounds + assists
De'Aaron Fox under 25.5 points
Jalen Green over 36.5 PRA
Joel Embiid over 25.5 points
NBA Props I Like (3/23) 🏀:
Tre Jones over 21.5 PRA
Fred VanVleet over 12.5 rebounds + assists
John Collins under 16.5 points
Taylor Hendricks under 9.5 points
Alex Caruso over 9.5 points
Alex Caruso over 17.5 PRA
NBA Props I Like (3/17) 🏀:
Simone Fontecchio over 13.5 points
Isaiah Stewart under 19.5 PRA
Jayson Tatum under 9.5 rebounds
Immanuel Quickley under 34.5 PRA
Immanuel Quickley under 26.5 points + rebounds
Straight Plays
Veronica Hardy (moneyline) vs JJ Aldrich -120
Alex Caceres (moneyline) vs Sean Woodson +195
Joaquin Buckley (moneyline) vs Nursulton Ruziboev -135
Parlay
#2
(Early)
Assu Almabayev (moneyline) vs CJ Vegara
+
Robelis Despaigne (moneyline) vs Josh Parisian
+
Mateusz Gamrot vs Rafael Dos Anjos, over 2.5 rounds
+112 combined odds
NFL Props I Like (9/28), Week 4 🏈:
Part 6
Javonte Williams over 14.5 receiving yards
Javonte Williams over 2.5 receptions
Saquon Barkley Anytime Touchdown
Saquon Barkley over 18.5 rushing attempts
Saquon Barkley over 77.5 rushing yards
Dallas Goedert over 52.5 receiving yards
MLB Baseball (7/19) ⚾️:
Baseball is back!
Phillies vs Pirates under 8.5 total
Rays vs Yankees under 8 total
Tigers vs Blue Jays under 7.5 total
Cardinals vs Braves under 7.5 total
Orioles vs Rangers under 7.5 total
White Sox vs Royals under 9 total
Royals -1.5 (run line)
NBA Props I Like (4/3) 🏀:
Chet Holmgren over 16.5 points (also like the over 17.5 points prop)
Jaren Jackson over 20.5 points
Jalen Duren over 13.5 points
Jalen Duren over 24.5 points + rebounds
Luke Kennard over 11.5 points
Aaron Nesmith under 18.5 PRA
NBA Props I Like (Part 4):
Franz Wagner under 20.5 points
Jalen Suggs under 17.5 PRA
Markelle Fultz under 16.5 PRA
Note: Some of these bets may have their lines moved depending on the sportsbook.
MLB Baseball (6/21) ⚾️:
White Sox vs Tigers under 7.5 total
Mariners vs Marlins under 7.5 total
Rays vs Pirates under 9 total
Royals vs Rangers under 8 total
Red Sox vs Reds under 9 total
Nationals vs Rockies under 11 total
Dodgers -1.5 (run line)
Orioles -1.5 (run line)
NFL Props I Like (9/21), Week 3 🏈:
Part 8
Derrick Henry Anytime Touchdown
Jordan Mason over 94.5 rushing yards
Jordan Mason over 20.5 rushing attempts
Kyren Williams over 15.5 rushing attempts
Patrick Mahomes over 267.5 passing yards
Rashee Rice over 75.5 receiving yards
NFL Props I Like (9/14), Week 2 🏈:
Continued (Part 9)
James Connor over 13.5 receptions
Kyren Williams over 17.5 rushing attempts
Colby Parkinson over 29.5 receiving yards
Rashee Rice over 67.5 receiving yards
Ja’Marr Chase over 6.5 receptions
NFL Props I Like (9/26), Week 4 🏈:
Thursday Night Football, Part 2
Jake Ferguson over 40.5 receiving yards
Devin Singletary over 15.5 receiving yards
Devin Singletary over 2.5 receptions
Jalen Tolbert over 2.5 receptions
Jalen Tolbert over 27.5 receiving yards
Additional Props
Jaylen Waddle over 62.5 receiving yards
James Cook over 14.5 rushing attempts
Let’s hope we get clarity on the Dolphins running back situation.
NFL Props I Like (9/14), Week 2 🏈:
Continued (Part 7)
Rhamondre Stevenson over 2.5 receptions
Jacoby Brissett under 184.5 passing yards
Rhamondre Stevenson Anytime Touchdown
Malik Nabers over 66.5 receiving yards
Jayden Daniels over 193.5 passing yards
NFL Props I Like (9/28), Week 4 🏈:
Part 7
Jahan Dotson over 2.5 receptions
Chris Godwin over 65.5 receiving yards
Marvin Harrison over 72.5 receiving yards
Amare Cooper over 51.5 receiving yards
D'Onta Foreman under 31.5 rushing yards
Tre Tucker over 34.5 receiving yards
@PFF_Fantasy
Nope. New coach and potentially a new QB so too many unknowns without the guarantee of getting the touches expected of a first-round pick.
NBA Props I Like (2/23, Part 1) 🏀:
Maxey over 25.5 points
Tyus Jones over 8.5 assists
Giannis under 46.5 PRA
Giannis under 11.5 rebounds
Vince Williams over 12.5 points
Vince Williams over 24.5 PRA
Bogdanovic over 19.5 PRA
Giddey under 22.5 PRA
Jaren Jackson Jr under 32.5 PRA