Morris Chen, lead portfolio manager of the exchange-traded fund $DCRE, discusses with Bloomberg TV's
@EricBalchunas
,
@kgreifeld
and
@scarletfu
commercial real estate credit’s “clawing back to normalization” amid a return of investors and capital allocations to the asset class.
Morris Chen, lead portfolio manager of the DoubleLine Commercial Real Estate ETF $DCRE discusses the fund and his outlook for a bottoming process in the months ahead as private credit and new issuance of CMBS enter the market with Bloomberg's
@kgreifeld
and
@EricBalchunas
.
Ken Shinoda, co-PM of $DMBS, notes index MBS funds own a lot of pricey, low-coupon bonds.
“To extract relative value in MBS, you have to go out of the index.”
The team is finding value in higher-coupon mortgages, CMOs and private-label RMBS.
Join
@DLineCap
Portfolio Managers Ken Shinoda and Morris Chen for an in-depth discussion and Q&A on DoubleLine Commercial Real Estate ETF $DCMB and DoubleLine Mortgage ETF $DMBS Monday, May 22, 2023, live on
@TwitterSpaces
.
The CAPE ratio,
@RobertJShiller
says, explains “about 25% of the variability of (stock market) prices, but it does tell us useful information, and it can make a substantial difference in your long-run portfolio if you stay out of high-CAPE companies, sectors, countries.”
$DCPE
$DCMB ETF Portfolio Manager Morris Chen explains to Bloomberg News’
@kgreifeld
why now is “a perfect time” to exploit negative sentiment to mine the opportunities in high quality, low duration commercial real estate debt.
#bonds
#CRE
#CMBS
.
@etf_central
's lead ETF analyst interviews
@DLineCap
's Morris Chen and reports April 12 on the investment process and results of $DCRE, the sole exchange-traded fund dedicated to investment in commercial real estate debt via active management.
Appearing on
@BloombergTV
's ETF IQ show, $DCMB Portfolio Manager Morris Chen describes the historically wide yield spreads, low interest rate sensitivity and credit enhancement available in high grade commercial mortgage credit.
#bonds
#CRE
#CMBS
“If the bond market is right on the inflation forecast,”
@DLineFunds
Jeffrey Sherman says, “there is a really good opportunity to yield something that’s significantly more than inflation, which is something we haven’t seen in many years.”
.
@DLineCap
Deputy CIO Jeffrey Sherman discusses fed funds (the Fed should cease hiking through summer), pressures on the banks, high-grade bonds for yield and hedging recession, and portfolio composition of DoubleLine ETFs.
$DBND $DCMB $DMBS
With inflation outpacing bond yields,
@DLineFunds
CEO Jeffrey Gundlach says, “You have to get more active, to have more arrows in your quiver.”
Opportunistic Bonds “invests across the spectrum of fixed income sectors globally but primarily in the U.S.”
$DBND
Jeffrey Sherman on the risk of market cap-weighted bond indexation:
“The larger indebted a company is, or the government is, the larger percentage of exposure you have. That’s really antithetical to credit quality.”
$DBND
#bonds
#debt
#macro
#ETFs
Portfolio Managers Ken Shinoda and Vitaliy Liberman, on the floor of the
@NYSE
, discuss the DoubleLine Mortgage ETF $DMBS, which actively invests in high-quality residential mortgage-backed securities, allocating between Agency mortgage-backed securities and non-Agency MBS.
One of the keys to bond portfolio allocation is to move in increments, says
@DlineFunds
Jeffrey Gundlach.
“We're looking down the road about 18 months to two years, looking for the value proposition to earn out over that time period and then rotate.”
$DBND
“The goal of the Fed right now,”
@DLineCap
's Jeffrey Sherman says, “is to have tighter financial conditions, which means more volatility. It means higher interest rates, and it also means more volatility in credit spreads.”
Watch:
At the open of trading on May 25, the DoubleLine Shiller CAPE® U.S. Equities ETF (or the “Equities ETF”) will begin trading under the ticker symbol $CAPE.
“The Cape ratio is a predictor of markets,” says Dr.
@RobertJShiller
, Sterling Professor of Economics at Yale University.
“When it's too high, markets tend to go down and when it's too low, it, they tend to go up.”
$DCPE
@NYSE
Morris Chen, head of
@DlineCap
's CMBS & CRE Debt team, on the floor of the
@NYSE
discusses his active management of the DoubleLine Commercial Real Estate ETF $DCMB, the only exchange-traded fund that offers active investment management in CMBS.
While Bloomberg Commodity Index has doubled over the past 2 years,
@DLineCap
's Jeffrey Gundlach says “commodity cycles are very long-lived, and they can go on for many, many years. Commodities have clearly started to outperform risk assets like equities.”
On The Inside ETFs Podcast,
@DLineFunds
Deputy CIO Jeffrey Sherman describes areas in securitized credit with loss-adjusted yields offering the potential to replace stocks in the risk part of investors’ portfolios.
$DBND $CAPE
#stocks
#bonds
#credit
.
@DLineFunds
Deputy CIO Jeffrey Sherman discusses the exchange-traded funds DoubleLine Opportunistic Bond and DoubleLine Shiller CAPE® U.S. Equities as well as investing amid slowing growth, high inflation and a Fed on the inflation warpath.
$DBND $CAPE
The DoubleLine Mortgage ETF $DMBS and the DoubleLine Commercial Real Estate ETF $DCMB exchange-traded funds invested in fixed income securities actively managed by DoubleLine, have begun trading on the NYSE Arca exchange.
For investment grade fixed income,
@DLineCap
's Jeffrey Sherman still sees “some dangers in the rates market because the front of the curve still needs to reprice upward. I don’t think the Fed is done with this hiking regime.”
$DBND
#inflation
#rates
#FOMC
As the commercial real estate market bottoms with some properties pricing at haircuts of 30% to 60% in the months ahead, $DCRE lead Portfolio Manager Morris Chen expects “a lot of dry powder on the sidelines” will “step back into the market.”
Jeffrey Sherman on
@DLineFunds
actively managing credit and risk-off sectors in core-plus bond portfolios:
“By combining those exposures, we think you can have a smoother experience over time and the potential to generate higher returns.”
$DBND
Learn how an equally weighted index can help you fade market distortions caused by dominant megacap companies.
@DLineCap
Deputy CIO Jeffrey Sherman shares insights on how $DFVE can mitigate risks and provide broader exposure to the U.S. economy.
👉
In an April 26 webcast,
@DLineFunds
Jeffrey Gundlach covers the Fed’s “tricky balancing act,” gauges of how far behind the Fed is on inflation, the prospect a negative growth adjustment after stimulus-fueled spikes in consumer spend and asset allocation.
$DMBS invests primarily in high-quality residential mortgage-backed securities, allocating between Agency and non-Agency securities.
Portfolio managers are Jeffrey Gundlach, Ken Shinoda and Vitaliy Liberman.
One of the areas of fixed income credit under stress today,
@DLineCap
Deputy Chief Investment Officer Jeffrey Sherman says, is the leveraged loan market. These borrowers have sent their cost of debt rise by 500 basis points.
DoubleLine Shiller CAPE® U.S. Equities ETF each month locates the S&P 500’s 5 cheapest sectors based on their CAPE ratios relative to historical averages, then kicks out the sector with the worst 1-year return in an effort to avoid value traps.
$CAPE
.
@DLineCap
is honored to ring the closing bell today at the
@NYSE
to celebrate the launch of our two newest ETF's: DoubleLine Mortgage ETF, $DMBS and DoubleLine Commercial Real Estate ETF, $DCMB.
DoubleLine, Baby!
On portfolio mixes of Agency and non-Agency RMBS, Ken Shinoda says, “You can’t just sit in a static allocation. You have to be nimble and be in the right sectors at the right time. That’s been our strategy at
@DLineCap
for many, many years.”
$DMBS
.
@DLineCap
Deputy CIO Jeffrey Sherman discusses on The Inside ETFs Podcast w/ Douglas Yones,
@NYSE
head of Exchange Traded Products, opportunities and risks in fixed income, inflation and recession risks, and $DBND and $CAPE.
#macro
#markets
#ETFs
#rates
At
@DLineCap
, risk integration, Samuel Lau notes, “allows us to build portfolios that are designed to do well across multiple markets scenarios,” including rising and falling interest rates and positive and negative periods for risk assets.
$DBND
@BloombergTV
Even sans more hikes, Sherman warns today’s feds funds rate puts pressure on banks.
“It wakes people up to realize they’re not getting market rates in their deposits. Janet Yellen will sell you T-bills all day long with a five handle on them.”
.
@DlineCap
's Jeffrey Sherman: the market has reset the opportunity set for active investing in residential mortgage-backed and commercial mortgage-backed securities.
“We can buy AAA rated assets in RMBS and CMBS that yield 3, 3.5%"
$DBND
#bonds
#ETFs
The DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF each month identifies the five sectors of the S&P 500 with the most attractive relative CAPE Ratios, eliminates the one of with the worst 12-month return, and invests in the remaining four.
$DCPE
“If inflation stays elevated,”
@DLineCap
's Jeffrey Sherman says, “the Fed will continue to be inflation fighters, and that’s what really propels us having that higher probability of a recession next year.”
$DBND $CAPE
#FOMC
#Powell
#rates
#growth
Investment writer
@AaronLevitt
reviews $DMBS and $DCMB, DoubleLine's exchange-traded funds focused on residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities, respectively.
Levitt says the two ETFs “could be big winners over the long haul.”
$DCMB invests in senior commercial real estate debt through investment grade commercial mortgage-backed securities.
Portfolio managers are Morris Chen, Mark Cho and Robert Stanbrook.
After screening the Barclays Fortune 500 Equal Weighted Total Return Index for companies that trade publicly and meet liquidity criteria, $DFVE has an investable universe of 450 individual stocks, about 120 of which are not in the S&P 500.
Of “the three biggest drivers of home prices,” $DMBS PM Ken Shinoda notes (1) affordability has worsened due to higher mortgage rates and home prices. But the lack of (2) supply relative to (3) demand is “supportive of housing in the long run.”
Ken Shinoda, co-portfolio manager with Jeffrey Gundlach and Vitaliy Liberman of $DMBS, discusses non-Agency residential mortgage-backed securities (non-Agency RMBS) and the housing market with
@ShermanShowPod
's Jeffrey Sherman and Samuel Lau on April 10.
@DLineFunds
Given the poor if improved yield to duration ratio of the Bloomberg Aggregate Bond Index,
@DLineFunds
Deputy CIO Jeffrey Sherman warns that indexing bond portfolios “is a dangerous proposition.”
$DBND
Jeffrey Sherman thinks of DoubleLine Opportunistic Bond ETF $DBND as “a substitute for those who don’t want to be just at the mercy of the issuance of the government and the investment grade corporate bond market.”
#bonds
#ETFs
#rates
#HY
#IG
#CLOs
#MBS
“I do think this market has benefited from a baby-out-with-the-bathwater dynamic,” $DCRE lead Portfolio Manager Morris Chen says of the commercial real estate sector.
“Going forward, you’ll likely continue to see some form of that as well.”
.
@DLineFunds
Opportunistic Bond ETF, Jeffrey Sherman says, has a tilt toward pockets of the credit market where spreads compensate that risk with 40% of the portfolio in Treasuries and Agency mortgage-backed securities.
$DBND
#bonds
#rates
While some housing markets face further depreciation, $DMBS portfolio manager Ken Shinoda notes some metros have already flatlined while others such as Buffalo enjoy sustained appreciation as immigration offsets higher mortgage rates.
“The old saying in the market is that the Fed hikes until something breaks, and we did see a break in the system back in March,” Jeffrey Sherman tells
@BloombergTV
.
“We saw what it did to the banking system.”
.
@DLineFunds
, Ken Shinoda notes, actively manages the portfolio mix of “Agencies and non-Agencies together, weighting more toward credit when spreads are really wide, less toward credit when spreads are really tight.”
$DMBS
#housing
#rates
#MBS
#mortgages
The DoubleLine Fortune 500 Equal Weight ETF (ticker symbol DFVE) and the DoubleLine Commodity ETF (DCMT) began trading today on the
@NYSE
Arca exchange. The launches of $DFVE and $DCMT bring the number of DoubleLine ETFs to six.
$DBND $CAPE $DMBS $DCRE
$DCMT seeks to outperform the Bloomberg Commodity Index via contract selection, overweighting commodities with high roll yields and commodity exposures approximating those in the Barclays Backwardation Tilt Multi-Strategy Index.
Effective Feb. 1, 2024, the ticker symbol of the actively managed DoubleLine Commercial Real Estate ETF, which trades on the
@NYSE
Arca exchange, will change to $DCRE from $DCMB.
#CMBS
#CRE
With its equal-weighted positions in individual stocks, $DFVE, Samuel Lau says, provides “more balanced and diversified exposure” than market cap-weighted strategies whose returns have depended on extended runups by a few mega-cap names.
Since its inception in 2011, the Barclays Backwardation Tilt Multi-Strategy Index,
@DLineCap
Portfolio Manager Samual Lau notes, has outperformed the Bloomberg Commodity Index on both an absolute basis and a risk-adjusted basis.