I don’t think they realize what they’ve just done. Republicans in Georgia have just angered & awakened a sleeping growing giant. That giant which usually sleeps through midterms is now wide awake. They’ve handed progressives the energizing & mobilizing midterm issue they needed!
Most fascinating data point I’ve seen in public this cycle is post debate
@ABC
poll: Harris at 45% support among white likely voters. Oh u don’t think 🧐 that’s all tht interesting? Well… if that 45% holds, it would be greater white support thn any Dem Pres candidate since 1976!
So let me get this right, if Beshear had lost it would’ve been Biden’s fault. But he won solidly annddd that’s not at all because of Biden right, but despite him 🤦🏾♂️ you people are absurd. So many of the so-called political strategists on tv are inane.
As discussed on
@KatyTurNBC
in many ways, more damage has been done to Biden by the melt down post debate than was done by his performance in the actual debate. We need to spend more of our time attacking the GOP - another week of this circular firing squad & we’re all doomed
This unfortunately will get covered as politics as usual instead of for how unconscionable it is for The Speaker to be debasing himself & the office while undermining the rule of law to help one demagogue. This will be seen as an important sign in the collapse of the Republic
It’s all panic mode, but data & reality check: new poll Bloomberg / Mng Consult shows Biden gaining in battleground (In MI & WI, Biden leads by 5 &3 points, respectively).Overall it’s still a toss up race in battlegrounds, maybe Dems should rally instead of attacking our own 🤷🏾♂️
This is literally a case study in how racism works subconsciously in real life. Literally! This is why I’m more likely to get shot unarmed in my car by a cop than a white mob storming The United States Capitol.
WATCH: Ron Johnson says he never "felt threatened" on 1/6 because "I knew those were people that love this country" but if "those were tens of thousands of Black Lives Matter and antifa protesters, I might have been a little concerned."
The media is far too complicit in normalizing Trump’s racism. It’s as if racism isn’t a big deal. And it’s the double standard for me that’s particularly galling-if Biden had said at a rally that he can only see Black people, there would have been a category 5 nonstop media storm
#PressConference
If we had this Biden on debate night none of this meltdown would be happening. He is clear tonight. He’s sharp & knowledgeable. And not for nothing, Trump COULD NEVER speak on this range of issues intelligently
Facts. And I continue to ponder why is it he’s constantly allowed this double standard. He’s benefited from being able to operate outside the norms & rules for decades, pretty much free from accountability. It’s the very encapsulation of privilege.
If the Democratic nominee for president showed up at Arlington National Cemetery, violated federal law for a campaign photo op, and their staffers got in a physical altercation when confronted, it would be the top news story from now until Election Day.
If it’s Sunday..
@MeetThePress
Thank you Congresswoman Cheney for putting country first. We can disagree on policy but we all agree on fighting authoritarianism that threatens our democracy and freedoms
He is simply a kind & decent man. & it boggles my mind that so many Americans can have a less favorable opinion of this good man than Trump who is objectively a corrupt, selfish, immoral man who just yesterday was making fun of people who stutter. Deplorable
At 12 years old, Opal Lee's family home was burned down by white supremacists.
At 89, she walked from Texas to D.C. to get Juneteenth declared a federal holiday.
At 97, she was given back the land where her house once stood — and a new one is being built.
There’s something happening… last night this campaign moved in the direction of a movement. It vibrates different, its rhythm is different, it’s gaining cultural significance that resonates beyond conventional political metrics. It’s becoming a vibe. GOP has no answer for this
Vice President Harris: Donald, I do hope you'll reconsider to meet me on the debate stage. As the saying goes, if you got something to say, say it to my face
Given the astonishing 💰
@POTUS
raised in the window of the debate, much of it from new donors, the grassroots are clearly sending a signal NOT to leave the race: $33M since Thursday is a clear sign of confidence. So all this is really just a weak insiders & chattering class panic
With
@JoeBiden
now garnering a majority of white voters, a watershed, & winning seniors by better than 20 points... I don’t say this lightly, but we are witnessing the collapse of the modern Republican Party right before eyes under Trump
He can’t win right!? They point to the polling right? Well this is the 2nd poll (credible poll) in 2 days showing the Pres race in statistical deadlock two weeks after debate! Using polls to push Biden out feels like red wave 2020 bs all over again: Survey
CBS poll has Harris very much in line with Biden 2020 performance with Black voters. But don’t ride the
#Pollercoaster
people, stop focusing on the polls, they are all over the place, just have a voting plan and get your family & friends to the voting booth.
#PressConference
commander in Chief on full display now, in fact
@JoeBiden
is 2knowledgeable & in 2much command of facts & issues 🥱nothing to see here for folks who tuned in to see demise.
Now maybe we’ll start attacking & driving a narrative against Trump with the same focus
Enough with all the polling. Polls are being misused to drive whatever narratives they want (see red wave 2022). The media should be reporting on the differences between candidates. This focus on polling is lazy & not helpful to voters. Give voters useful info
#MeetThePress
I don’t understand how this can be when every other news story is about how Dems are losing ground with every demographic group & how immigration is dooming Dems & how Independents are leaning GOP & how Biden is dragging the Party down 🤔🙄
NEW: Voters are gaining trust in
@KamalaHarris
after a string of high-profile events, the latest Bloomberg News-Morning Consult poll found.
We explored why it’s happening:
So another day & another poll tht doesn’t feed Biden is crashing & Trump is surging narrative media frenzy. Shocking, voter who weren’t inclined to vote Trump before aren’t now convinced! Again the fundamental dynamics of this race remain much the same
Today, we're making three changes to our Electoral College Ratings.
AZ: Lean R to Toss Up
NV Lean R to Toss Up
GA: Lean R to Toss Up
@amyewalter
on the presidential campaign reset:
@JoeBiden
is objectively the most effective & accomplished Pres in our lifetime. He’s been able to get huge bipartisan Bills & reestablish our standing in the world while successfully navigating our economy through the pandemic storm. It’s steady leadership not reality tv chaos
Exactly. There are real policy & value differences between the candidates that should be unpacked by the media but instead we’ll be discussing the new NYT poll all week - it’s all clickbait. It’s all disappointing. The 5th estate is failing us & democracy is weaker because of it
Quit the clickbait and get back to issues.
@Sulliview
calls out the “destructive obsession” with
@JoeBiden
’s age. “I wonder whether people are as aware of Trump's authoritarian plans as they are of Biden's age? And I think the answer to that is pretty clearly no," she argues.
I know you don’t want a poll buuuttttt…Actually our polls show Biden’s Black support growing as the stakes of the race are more amplified and sporadic voters begin to turn their attention to the stakes and the choices before them
🗣️ ask Black and Brown people who were supportive of the President before the debate if they are still supporting Joe Biden and tell me what they say.
All these hypotheticals are hurting my head. Can we just speak to the voters in person??
(And no I don’t want a poll, but
He should’ve been angry, it’s understandable. It wasn’t just a mere typical political hit job, it was a deeply personally offensive hit job that invoked his dead son. My goodness people! none of that had to do with the documents.
Biden was privately livid over the Hur report, particularly the claim he didn't remember when Beau died, according to two people. Before he took the stage at the House Democratic retreat, he angrily cursed about the language in the report.
@JonLemire
&me:
I was on set
#MeetThePress
when this interview was happening and my jaw dropped at how absurd and how unbelievably debasing a moment this was and beneath the dignity of The Speaker of The House
Mike Johnson says that it's “unnecessary” for 78 years old Trump to release his medical records, because “everyone” can see he’s healthy:
“He doesn't require as much sleep as the average person. He's an unusual figure."
Indeed she
@JasmineForUS
is really good, so much so I recommended in this piece that Biden campaign make her a co-chair and please please send her into battle on the road for the campaign
Let me get this right… the guy who claims racism isn’t really a thing in America is claiming the root of these stories & questions is because of his race. Ok, got it! Convenient
This is spot on. This isn’t about Harris vs Trump because the debate made it abundantly clear who was in fact qualified & ready. This is really now a referendum on us! This is really about who we are as a country. This election will tell the world who we are.
"There was a woman on that stage last night who could absolutely be the President of the United States. And there was a man who should not be. And so what are we [as a country] going to do?" — Jon Meacham on the contrast in the 2024 election
How is it anything but treason? How is a call to state leg officials to come to DC to discuss nullifying the vote not treason? How is showing up to this meeting to even discuss reversing the people’s will not an act of treason? Let’s call this what it is-these are acts of treason
I'm not a young guy. That's no secret. But, here's the deal: I understand how to get things done for the American people.
Here’s the first ad of our spring media campaign.
Wow this is a really good speech
#DNCConvention2024
by
@HillaryClinton
grounded in the women’s struggle of the past with an eye on the future and moving forward 👏🏿 👏🏿 👏🏿 the best speech I’ve ever heard HRC give
Another day being spent driving negatives abt Biden frm within while mass deportation & nationwide abortion bans by the GOP aren’t even news topics 🤦🏾♂️ in the end… they want it to be one way, but it’s the other way (Marlo voice)
Interesting
@QuinnipiacPoll
headline: “Biden opens up lead over Trump” isn’t getting much media attention 🤔 I guess it doesn’t fit the set-in media narrative of doom & gloom abt
@JoeBiden
re-elect🤷🏾♂️
And it’s even worse than that - the alternatives run on avg 3 point better than Biden… that means in reality they don’t statistically really run any better than Biden and Harris. FOH shameful 🤦🏾♂️
If you’re a “senior Democrat” that feels this way, you should absolutely retire and make space for true leadership that refuses to resign themselves to fascism.
This kind of leadership is functionally useless to the American people. Retire.
In another sign that should be troubling for GOP broadly, SC now for the first time has over a million registered people of color. As we’ve seen Ga become a seriously competitive state recently, next up is SC. Keep an eye on this state, national Dems should not ignore SC
Don’t get too high or too low on the ups and downs of polls right now because they will continue to change as the campaigns will be spending over a billion dollars to change them
Dozens of aging bridges in 16 states will be replaced or improved with the help of $5 billion in federal grants announced Wednesday by President Joe Biden’s administration, the latest beneficiaries of a massive infrastructure law.
I don’t want this to get lost in all the post
#Debatenight
analysis… Trump rambled angrily on for several minutes tonight about immigrants eating people’s cats and dogs. No, no we are not going to move on from that like it’s not completely fvckin batshit insane! No.
Exactly. Nov 3rd 2011 NYT ran an article headline: “Is Obama Toast?”
Spoiler - he wasn’t. He had a compelling story to tell & in many way Biden actually has an even better story to tell abt the econ & American strength & leadership in the world at this pivotal moment
#calmdown
It's the second half of the president's third year. His approval numbers have hit dangerous lows; his disapproval number is over 50%. Biden? No. Obama 2011.
#NABJ24
Trump interview was a freakin mess. He doesn’t answer questions but filibuster with exaggerations &lies. And he insults & disrespects the reporters along the way… A hot mess & pointless. This was not helpful at all for Black voters but it helps Trump with his base.
In 2016 I tried to tell progressive leaders & Democratic members of Congress that the rise of Trump was about racial aversion & backlash to the election of Obama - I even had data to back it up! I got pretty roundly shunned & marginalized for speaking then what they realize today
It was never sustainable.Trump enjoyed bounce but the fundamental dynamics of the race-
the underlying problems of each candidate was only reinforced not altered by debate. But like “red wave”, there’s a polling narrative being driven thts not totally supported by actual polling
Polls this week, Biden-Trump. Trump's lead appears to be gone:
50%-48% NPR/Marist
44%-42% GW/YouGov
47%-46% Split Ticket/DfP
47%-46% Clarity
50%-50% Emerson
46%-46% WaPo
42%-43% R & W
42%-43% Bendixen/Amandi
41%-42% Big Village
42%-44% Morning Consult
40%-43% Econ/YouGov 1/
How is someone who has never won NOT EVEN a plurality of the vote, who the majority of voters will never support, who has one of the highest unfavorable ratings ever & is currently tied in polls even after Biden survived an attempted Party coup by elites inevitably? Absurd spin
The right wants you to feel like trump is inevitable but trump is only inevitable if you give up. There are more people who want normal democracy to continue, if those people vote Trump loses.
So the
#CBC
just announced one of the most sweeping, important pieces of legislation ever on criminal justice reform & what some folks are focused on is them wearing Kente cloth... seriously!? No...You'll can't be serious right now.
Many of us already understood. Trump cannot, and will not garner over 48% in an election w/turnout over 55%, his best route to winning is subtraction so he needs a repeat of 2016 where 3rd party voting disperses the majority coalition against him lowering his floor to victory
Yeah I just don’t understand how GOP keeps underperforming when all the cherry picked polling tells us Dems are in real trouble! 🤷🏾♂️ &this is particularly unbelievable in a place like Alabama being that Trump/GOP is SURGING with Black voters according to the cherry picked polls 🙄
WARNING: These are just real election results, not headline-worthy polling data certified by the New York Times. Respected network pundits will disregard these actual votes and await the next batch of contrived polls.
Exactly. Because journalism is failing us. Unpacking how Trump’s views & policies would actually impact the country & the world is tougher than simply repeating the same superficial storyline
Why are we not seeing dozens and dozens of "news analysis" pieces exploring whether Trump's appalling threat to abandon NATO countries will hurt him politically?
This poll indefensible. & we need a conversation abt the ethics of media driving narratives frm this data. THEY note this poll is outlier but yet they r creating storylines frm it! That’s a bad decision.If a poll is skewed beyond credibility, don’t publish
Nothing to see here, just good and effective government policy with no drama. But of course that’s not exciting. Good ole effective gov doesn’t sell in today’s reality tv like political media market place.
Yep, sure sure Biden is doing a terrible job, just terrible. 🙄
This is important. Understand, too often the point now isn’t to help us actually understand policy, the point of these things is to make news. It’s nuanced, but important and we must call it out in order to pull journalism back to a place where it’s helpful to mainstream voters
I took notes to keep track of the questions in the Kamala interview.
Only 4 questions weren’t a GOP attack or talking point in the form of a question.
How does this type of interview help voters understand her policies at all?
They only need a couple more points out of these communities & I’m telling u right now, Dems lack of communicating & engagement w/ a segment of the more low info & disgruntled Black electorate is a problem - seeing it in focus groups across the country.
Seldom do u see this level of consistent disconnect between reality & perception on such a broad massive scale as we do on currently on prices. It speaks to the outsized power now of media to drive and sustain a false narrative despite mounds of evidence of it being false.
59% of Americans think gas prices have been rising in recent weeks. According to GasBuddy, prices are down roughly 14 cents from a month ago and a quarter from a year ago.
(
@mcarmichael
@ipsosus
)
#Harris2024
Team has raised more than $100 million between Sunday and Monday evening. 62% of them are first-time donors! Folks that’s just
#extraordinary
I haven’t seen this kind of grassroots enthusiasm & excitement since 2008. This could be special. Let’s keep it going.
BREAKING: President Biden just dropped his first ad of 2024. President Biden makes abundantly clear freedom is on the line. Retweet to make sure everyone sees.
“I Choose Freedom”
That refrain that the VP is using should become for
#Harris2024
what Hope & Change was in 2008. It perfectly fits the moment, it’s inspiring, and is authentic to the candidate. Put it on everything! Go. You’re welcome.
I've covered politics and worked in the news media for 35 years. The last 3 weeks have been the most self-destructive, the most damaging to democracy, the most unethical three weeks for the political media I've ever observed. There are exceptions but it's nearly universal.
Incumbents going into convention time in toss-up is nothing new in recent years despite current self-defeating performative melt down by Dem elites
(Gallop) Pre RNC convention Aug 27th 2012
•Obama 46%
•Romney 47%
(Gallop) Pre DNC July 21st 2004
•Bush 46%
•Kerry 47%
I’m shocked,shocked 🙄 that yet again like they did with Bush,Obama, and now Biden, Republicans would rather weaponize immigration than pass reforms that would help solve the problem. But as I’ve said time & again they politically wish to drive fear. This is politics over country
This might be the best press release statement in history by
@JoeBiden
campaign
“At the Biden campaign, we are proudly anti-puppy-killing and don’t think those who murder puppies are ‘terrific.’”
Proud to have worked this historic campaign for such a remarkable, strong, courageous leader & change agent. Few believed in her when she was back of the pack in the crowded primary but her story resonated with an electorate looking for change & a leader who will get thing done!
It’s 2016 all over again. I’m a pollster, STOP with all this poll coverage! tell voters the policy and issue differences between the candidates, stuff that’s actually useful to voters.
The press coverage of the 2024 race is starting to look a lot like 2016. Poll-driven coverage, focused on the horserace, is once again creating a dangerous false equivalence between Biden's age and Trump's crimes.
Which is the bigger news story: investigation finding Biden did nothing illegal dealing w/gov documents, but he allegedly doesn’t remember when his son died OR the frontrunner for the GOP basically telling Russia that if you attack our NATO allies as Pres he wouldn’t defend them
It’s never those who scream,shot, & call names tht solve problems. It’s the adults in the room who calmly have 2walk the line between all sides in order 2 bring those in conflict together &get results.This is diplomacy not TikTok. 👏🏿
@JoeBiden
This is very good - connecting not voting to long term and immediate real negative policy consequences because of the courts. Not voting only puts your interest further behind (it hurts you!) and so does your whining 3rd Party protest vote. You decide.
Not voting in this election doesn’t help Black people or advance a progressive agenda. It gives Trump and his anti-Black Republican judges control over your life for the next 2-3 decades.
Check out my new
@WordInBlack
column here:
I look forward to all the follow up stories this week about how Trump who can’t garner a majority in actual elections or polls, coupled with numerous indictments is a uniquely weak candidate and dooming the GOP
Yes,& if u go underneath the surface of the data u find many of those w/the most wrong & cynical view of the econ are also frequent Fox views. It’s really a case study in the power of modern media manipulation. &my hypothesis is tht if Trump wins the econ will instantly be great
the craziest thing about this election is that we have a very good economy -- the best in the world -- and so many people feel/act/pretend that it's bad
I've been saying for years that Trump has destroyed much of the political press. They parrot his talking points, let him set the narrative, and hold Democrats to a standard that he is free from. Even asking the question was journalistic malpractice
Holy cow. Seth Meyers spent 90 seconds on his show last night reminding his viewers everything that Donald Trump has said I done & it is absolutely perfect. This is how it’s done & we need so much more of it. Watch & share this.
Right now in North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Ohio our canvassers are talking to Black voters about what will motivate them to the polls this November. The first thing they ask about Pres. Joe Biden is “What has he done?” We just dropped a new ad to bring the receipts.
Today, the
#SCOTUS
put itself absolutely on the ballot this Fall. It’s time to reform the courts. Dramatic times call for dramatic action. The court must be expanded & they brought it on themselves with the help of Mitch McConnell
This is such an important and powerful point - so many voters get disillusioned thinking their vote doesn’t make a difference or isn’t connected to what actually happens in Washington. This is an example of their vote having power & an impact on moving an agenda they support
Because you marched, organized, and voted, we passed the most significant gun safety legislation in 30 years. But let's be clear — we have more work to do.
Today, I am proud to share that I will oversee the first-ever White House Office of Gun Violence Prevention.
A lot of talk about Black men and their voting behavior lately in the media... from the narratives being pushed you'd think Black men are embracing Trumpism instead of working to protect their communities from the white nationalism most Black voters feel Trump represents
I suspect if every vote is indeed counted
@AndrewGillum
will probably be Gov - folks please contact Election Supervisor 👇🏾if you cast a provisional ballot in Florida
Every voice must be heard in this race! If you voted a provisional ballot, make sure your vote gets counted by contacting your County Supervisor of Elections by 5 PM TODAY.
And yet again the media will be primarily focused on Biden’s age. As if Biden simply being old with no credible ethics issues is somehow equivalent to Trump’s clear cognitive problems along with 90+ criminal counts & an attempt to overthrow an election. Make it make sense
Montage of 32 clips from Trump’s two speeches yesterday where he mispronounced words, got confused, mixed up names, forgot names, and babbled insane nonsense.
It’s not a secret that he wants to be a dictator. That’s really not in question. What’s mind boggling is how uninterested the coverage of this seems to be. Fascinating case study of a democracy with a choice between freedom & authoritarianism… & 47% are choosing dictatorship!
BREAKING: The Time reporter who interviewed Trump is now saying Trump told him he wanted to consolidate power in an authoritarian manner. Retweet so all Americans know about Trump’s dangerous plans.
I believe this is intentional. Unfortunately, some are routinely now using polling to drive narratives that manipulate public opinion/perceptions to their benefit. With 3rd support shrinking, Trump is going to lose solidly, but results will be attacked…they’re playin long game
Let's remember, the takeaway from 2022 was that the polls were actually pretty accurate, once you filtered out the partisan pollsters. Yet Nate Silver is using these partisan pollsters to drive a narrative that is being echoed by the Trump campaign as an act of desperation.
I am completely sick of this inaccurate narrative about Dems needing Trump voters.Did Trump win a majority in PA?-no,Wisc?-no,Fld?-no,how bout Mich?-no! The electoral path to victory is not Trump voters.Maybe stop younger 3rd party erosion & those 2 mil+ Obama voters who sat out!
Why would voters know much about any actual issue or policy position? The press doesn’t have time for that. Look there will be yet another poll soon about Biden’s age that they must write headlines about… all week
This is maddening: New polling conducted by Dems finds that an alarmingly small percentage of voters surveyed are familiar with Trump's most blatant authoritarian threats, such as his "dictator" quote.
This is bad. But it's also an opportunity. 1/
Link:
This is so remarkable and important. Kudos to the doctors/ researchers here who will save people from this very terrible disease. These doctors are real world heroes
My jaw dropped,” says
@DoctorAliRezai
as he reviewed the surprising results from his Alzheimer's trial. Before and after images show that the brain plaque – which disrupts the communication between brain cells – was significantly reduced.
Sure from criminal justice reform to student loan debt to historic low unemployment to unprecedented environmental legislation he’s delivering on our key issue agenda items but, but he’s old & & I guess I’m unhappy with him so I’m voting 3rd Party because well, I’m a simpleton 🤷🏾♂️
Too many lives have been upended because of our failed approach to marijuana.
So today, the
@TheJusticeDept
is taking the next step to reclassify marijuana from a Schedule I to a Schedule III drug under federal law.
Here's what that means:
A simply staggering story that should be a headline of historic proportions. It’s a culture of lies & corruption that should never have access to power
Lev Parnas, a former associate of Rudy Giuliani who was convicted of fraud and campaign finance crimes in 2021, said Wednesday that former President Donald Trump and his allies had lied about President Joe Biden and his family’s ties to corruption in Ukraine to gain an advantage
This is important. Like I’ve argued before,when polling broadly misses the mark it’s because they’ve not predicted the electorate accurately. This Harris surge effect could mean that many polls with a strict likely vote will underestimate by perhaps a point or so Harris’ support
The Harris Effect - in the 13 states that have updated voter files since July 21st, we are seeing incredible surges in voter registration relative to the same time period in 2024, driven by women, voters of color, and young voters.
The vast majority of Black people won’t be distracted by Trump’s little Chick-fil-A photo op. In the state of Georgia, 92 percent of Black women voted for Biden. And when Trump lost the state, he tried to throw out hundreds of thousands of Black votes in Atlanta. We see you! 👀
Exactly! I really don’t understand this generation of staffers, some of the stuff that is constantly leaked out to the press is mind bugling & for what?
#STFU
Damn, y’all (Dems) just can’t help yourselves. You must really enjoy finding things to pick at about each other. Typical inside DC post-decision BS. Take the win with the
@GovTimWalz
pick and STFU!
#NotHelpful
Dem messaging here really writes itself to young voters: the GOP held the US economy hostage & threatened to plunge the world into recession in order to make sure you didn't get college debt relief. Vote accordingly.