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Chietigj Bajpaee Profile
Chietigj Bajpaee

@Chietigj

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Sentient humanoid, IR scholar, Political analyst, PhD, Hindu Jedi, trekkie, amateur astronomer, @chathamhouse , @CHAsiaPacific

London
Joined June 2014
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
4 months
Contrary to claims that a likely third term Modi government would mark the death of Indian democracy, my article in the @SCMPNews argues that recent developments show that India's democracy is more robust than initially perceived: #indiaelection2024
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
3 months
While India claims to follow a foreign policy of multi-alignment, Vietnam has put this into practice having hosted the leaders of China, the US and Russia. I contrast the geopolitical and geo-economic achievements of both countries in the @Diplomat_APAC :
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
1 year
My piece in The @guardian argues that while there is no definitive evidence of #India 's complicity in the killing of a Sikh separatist leader in Canada, recent #IndiaCanadaTension points to the emergence of an increasingly assertive Indian foreign policy.
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
8 months
The Indian Foreign Minister’s recent visits to Iran and Russia highlight #India 's potential as a bridging power. But does New Delhi have the ambition to play a mediating role in key global flashpoints? I discuss this in @NikkeiAsia : @CHAsiaPacific
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
4 months
My article in the Lowy Institute 'The Interpreter’ examines #India ’s role in Asia’s evolving security architecture amid the gradual de-securitization of the #Quad and the rise of new regional initiatives from which India is excluded, ( #Squad , #AUKUS ):
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
7 months
Ahead of the second anniversary of the war in Ukraine, the Indian Foreign Minister noted that India should be “admired” for maintaining “multiple options” in its relations with Russia and the West. But is this sustainable? I argue not in @WarOnTheRocks :
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
5 months
India’s eastward engagement as part of its ‘Look/ Act East’ Policy reflected a shift in its worldview after the Cold War. India's westward engagement towards the Middle East signifies another shift in its foreign policy. I discuss this in @WarOnTheRocks :
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
2 months
Can India rise without the region? My article in @Diplomat_APAC argues not given the need for India to regionalise before it globalises while facing an unstable neighbourhood that threatens to spill-over into India.
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
4 months
India may have reached ‘peak Modi’, but we have not yet reached ‘peak India’. Despite being re-elected for a third consecutive term, India's election has dented brand Modi while reaffirming India's democratic + secular credentials. I discuss in @Telegraph :
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
9 months
My @ChathamHouse ‘Expert Comment’ argues that recent #IranPakistan hostilities remain relatively self-contained as both countries focus on neutralising #Balochistan insurgencies within their own borders rather than targeting each other: @CHAsiaPacific
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
7 months
An interesting and insightful discussion on #India ’s economy at the @ChathamHouse Global Trade conference. India’s #demography , #identity and #digitization are its strengths but these are also issues that present challenges to the country’s economic outlook: #CHTrade
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
2 months
While the situation in #Bangladesh continues to unfold, here are a few initial thoughts:
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
4 months
As India’s election results come in, it is evident that the race is much tighter than initially anticipated. This reaffirms my point that Indian democracy is far more robust than initially perceived:
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
4 months
While a BJP-led government still remains the most likely outcome, it will be more beholden to coalition partners. Falling well short of its 400 seat target may also dent the Modi brand as I argue in my latest @ChathamHouse expert comment:
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
3 months
Indian PM Narendra Modi's Russia visit coincided with multiple air strikes on Ukraine and comes ahead of a NATO Summit. This highlights the challenge of sustaining India's longstanding commitment to "strategic autonomy" in a climate of growing geopolitical polarization.
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
8 months
The dust has yet to settle on #PakistanElection , but there is greater clarity on the country’s foreign policy trajectory. My @ChathamHouse ‘Expert Comment’ discusses this with a focus on Islamabad's relations with China, India, the US, and Afghanistan:
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
4 months
As the world's largest electoral exercise reaches its climax, I had the pleasure of hosting a @ChathamHouse event that discussed India's election, the state of its democracy, relations with neighbours and India’s global role. Watch the recording here:
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
2 months
After weeks of turmoil in #Bangladesh , my @ChathamHouse 'Expert Comment' with @patricks_CH discusses the political, economic and security challenges facing the country and the broader geopolitical implications for India, South Asia and the West:
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
7 months
As India prepares to go to the polls in the world’s largest electoral exercise, what is the state of Indian democracy? I discuss this in my interview on @BBCRadio4 ’s ‘Briefing Room’ with @DAaronovitch :
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
11 months
An honour and a privilege to meet Dr S Jaishankar, India’s External Affairs Minister, not once but twice in one month (in London and Delhi). An added bonus was giving him a copy of my book and having him sign a copy of his excellent book, ‘The India Way’:
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
3 years
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine alludes to the importance of legacy as a key driver of foreign policy behaviour. My article in @E_IR analyses legacy considerations in the context of China’s approach towards Taiwan. #RussiaUkraine , #ChinaTaiwan , #Legacy
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
6 months
For an Aussie perspective of the #IndiaElections2024 , listen to the following Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) podcast series where I discuss the state of Indian democracy as it goes to the polls:
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
10 months
Building on this analysis, I discuss how Bangladesh’s elections will impact regional geopolitical dynamics between China and India in an interview for the @SCMPNews :
@CHAsiaPacific
Chatham House Asia-Pacific
10 months
'Developments in Bangladesh are a microcosm of the challenges and opportunities facing other emerging economies' ⬇️Read more from @Chietigj & @patricks_CH as they discuss the impact of opposition & worker protests ahead of the 🇧🇩 general election in Jan.
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
11 months
After 2 weeks in #india and 30 meetings with government officials, business leaders, journalists and think-tanks, it is clear that India is a country on the move. Challenges and opportunities go hand in hand, but India matters more to the world than the world or India realise
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
1 year
Following Beijing’s recent cartographic aggression along the disputed border with #India , my article in @E_IR examines the proclivity for Indian officials to exercise restraint in their discourses on the #China threat’. #indiachina , #discourse :
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
3 months
My interview on @BBCRadio4 discussing #BangladeshProtests (from 47:30 onwards):
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
4 months
Regardless of India's election outcome, there will be a high degree of policy continuity. Rather than looking at the policies of a right-wing BJP or left-wing Congress gov't, the key watchpoint is the strength of the mandate. See my @ChathamHouse piece:
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
3 months
A pleasure discussing Indian foreign policy, India-Canada relations and geopolitical developments in the Indo-Pacfic with the Canadian Minister of Foreign Affairs @melaniejoly :
@CanadianUK
CanadianUK
3 months
In London, Minister Joly also met with the Commonwealth Secretary General, the Rt Hon Patricia Scotland KC, to discuss the road to CHOGM, and held a discussion with international thought leaders on today’s rapidly shifting geopolitical dynamics.
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
4 months
What does a third-term Modi government say about the country's foreign policy? I recently participated in a documentary on this (before the election result was announced, although the analysis remains valid, reflecting India’s foreign policy continuity):
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
11 months
My review of @K__2010 ’s excellent book examining the institutional strategies employed by #asean -led forums in managing great power relations in the #SouthChinaSea . #China #maritime
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
5 months
While the West likes to tout India's democratic credentials as a key pillar of engagement, New Delhi's emphasis on democratic process rather than principle risks fuelling a gap between #India and the West. I discuss this in an article in @NikkeiAsia :
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
2 months
Developments in Bangladesh also hold lessons for broader South Asia. With almost 40% of the region’s population below the age of 18 there is a risk of the demographic dividend becoming a demographic burden in the absence of sufficient economic and employment opportunities (6/6)
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
3 months
A pleasure to host former @RBI governor and @intlmemefund chief economist Raghuram Rajan on #india ’s economic outlook following the recently concluded #election
@CHAsiaPacific
Chatham House Asia-Pacific
3 months
It was a pleasure to host Professor Raghuram Rajan, former Governor for @RBI and Chief Economist for @IMFNews , for a closed discussion @ChathamHouse this morning where he discussed some of the key structural challenges facing the Indian economy.
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
2 months
The military’s actions will be an important watchpoint with Bangladesh experiencing 29 coups in its half-century history. This comes amid fissures in the country’s security forces with several former military officers voicing support for the anti-government movement (2/6)
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
2 months
Prime Minster Sheikh Hasina’s departure after 15 years in power threatens a reversion to the previous era of Bangladeshi politics, which would oscillate (often violently) between the country’s two major political parties – the Awami League and Bangladesh National Party (1/6)
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
2 years
My article in @Diplomat_APAC argues that while recent global developments have raised #India 's stature on the world stage, the real test of India's ability to fulfil its foreign policy aspirations will be the ability to sustain its reform momentum. #reform
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
3 months
A pleasure to join @KevinUKIBC for a @UKIBC podcast discussing the #India 's economic and geopolitical outlook after the Indian election, and the state of the UK-India relationship ahead of the upcoming #UK election: #Elections2024
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
9 months
#SouthAsia goes to the polls in 2023-24 with the choices these countries make having implications on #globalgovernance issues – from #debt sustainability to #climate , #extremism , great power relations #democracy . My article in @NikkeiAsia : @CHAsiaPacific
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
2 years
Thanks to @amritajash for her review of my book, 'China in India's Post-Cold War Engagement with Southeast Asia' in the @IDSAIndia 'Strategic Analysis' journal: #BookReview , #India , #China , #ASEAN , #SoutheastAsia , #Routledge ,
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
2 years
My article in @Diplomat_APAC argues that #Japan and #Germany rediscovered their geopolitical voice in 2022 as both countries sought to break free of their World War Two legacies amid efforts to develop more assertive foreign policy and defence postures:
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
2 months
There is a similarity to instabilities in #Bangladesh , #SriLanka and #Pakistan with all facing economic distress and weak democracies fuelled by external shocks, social media and demography. This holds lessons for the #GlobalSouth as I note in @SCMPNews :
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
7 months
A week of productive meetings in Washington, DC discussing relations between the world’s largest democracy and world’s oldest democracy. Both face elections amid challenging domestic political climates. Yet there is strong consensus on deepening the bilateral relationship:
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
2 years
My chapter in the #Routledge Handbook of Comparative Territorial Autonomies examines the interplay between broader geopolitical and domestic socio-political developments in the origins, evolution and trajectory of #Kashmir and wider #southasia region:
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
8 months
Happy to announce the (much cheaper) paperback edition of my book has been published, which examines the role of the ‘China factor’ in the evolution of India’s post-Cold War engagement with Southeast Asia. #LookEast , #ActEast , #IndiaChina : @Routledge_AS
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
2 months
New Delhi also justified its support for Hasina on the grounds of an ideological struggle in Bangladesh between secularists and religious extremists (often with Pakistan’s support), with the Awami League representing the former while opposition parties reflected the latter (5/6)
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
6 years
While Asian powers are demonstrating a greater willingness to assume the reins of regional leadership, this phenomenon has yet to fully emerge on the world stage. Case in point is their marginal role in the Middle East. My article @SCMP_News :
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
4 months
My article in @Tagesspiegel notes the potential for a growing trans-Atlantic rift on India amid disagreements over India’s relations with Russia and the state of its democracy. Underlying this is differing perceptions of India as a bulwark against China:
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
2 months
Externally, developments in Bangladesh have the most direct implications for neighbouring India, with the Hasina government being a long-time supporter of improving relations between Delhi and Dhaka (3/6)
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
2 months
This highlights a disconnect between the foreign policy priorities of India and the West. India helped shield Hasina from international criticism with the West focussing on democratic backsliding, while India welcomed a more stable and predictable political environment (4/6)
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
4 months
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
9 years
Signalling and spillover in the Sino-Indian relationship: http://t.co/hp6x778Feq
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
7 years
As India hosts ASEAN leaders during the upcoming Republic Day celebrations, India's ASEAN commitment reflects an ambition to create a bulwark against the emergence of a Sino-centric regional order. My paper at @LowyInstitute . #IndiaASEAN , #ActEast :
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
2 months
However, Modi’s trip will not change the reality of India's close relationship with Russia, which has been reflected in its position on the war (such as not endorsing a joint communique that was produced at the Ukraine Peace Conference in Switzerland in June) (3/5)
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
7 months
I had the pleasure of joining a panel on #India with @Lord_Bilimoria at a @Deloitte Academy event last week. Here is my short elevator pitch on India's business environment:
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
11 months
@jomalhotra
Jyoti Malhotra
11 months
Why Israel has no good options in ongoing conflict with Hamas in Gaza, Bronwen Maddox @bronwenmaddox , Director & CEO of @ChathamHouse tells @awaazsouthasia Founder-Editor Jyoti Malhotra @jomalhotra in #SouthAsiaMatters Watch :
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
7 years
Distinguishing the rhetoric from the reality of India's 'Look East'/ 'Act East' Policy. My article in the US-India Global Review: #lookeast , #acteast , #indiaasean :
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
10 years
My review of @MohanCRaja book, 'Samudra Manthan: Sino-Indian Rivalry in the Indo-Pacific': http://t.co/kfHwxKfCtv
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
3 months
How long can New Delhi continue to square the circle of maintaining close relations with both Washington, DC and Moscow (or for that matter Israel and Iran), especially if the conflicts in Ukraine or the Middle East escalate?
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
6 months
@AshokSharma_HK @ChathamHouse Yes of course, which is why I have also mentioned his reform and development-driven agenda, Hindutva and a more assertive foreign policy
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
6 months
@sreemoytalukdar I am not an analyst of US politics, but I am concerned about the state of US politics and Chatham House will do analysis on this ahead of the US election. It is possible to be concerned about two countries at the same time and discuss both positive and negative developments
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@Chietigj
Chietigj Bajpaee
3 years
The 2020 Sino-Indian border tensions have established a “new normal” for the bilateral relationship while setting the stage for renewed hostilities. Published article in @WarOnTheRocks : #china #india :
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