Charles Dereeper Markets @CharlesMarkets Twitter profile

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

6 months

#cocoa still in parabolic mode That is the game with commodities Flat for years, then +500% in only 1 year... then it bursts and goes back to the beginning

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

7 months

What is coming exactly ? It is never good when the #SP500 disconnect too much from the #reservebanks level Is it a correction of the stock markets ? Or worst, a recession and a jump for the reserve banks ?

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

7 months

Senator Tommy Tuberville sold almost everything since one month From Ferrari #race to Apple #AAPL intel Amgen microsoft and varied blue chips In the last 3 years, senator trader Tommy moved 1083 positions for 30M$... What does he know ?

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

7 months

#liquidity FED against #SP500 Here we go again like in 2018 and 2019 What will be the next "big thing" to justify huge injections again ?

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

7 months

#SP500 against #liquidity #Fed Loopback = 500 weeks SP500 is not in excess like in the end of 2018 or jan 2020 or the end of 2021. There is still room for more bull action Against #M2 and #reservebank

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

7 months

#tsla 4 years and ... 0 gain Long term investment is so hard How to accept to put money in a thing and get no result at all after 4 years ??? I admire the ones who can do that

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

7 months

The 10 most high ranking rate stocks among analysts Since the previous highest high for #sp500 (january 2022) i compare the performances with 1 - SP 500 = +10% 2 - the #magnificent7 = +27% 3 - the most high ranking rate stocks = +135%

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

7 months

I sold #aapl one year ago at 170$ Did i miss something ? Youpssss... not sure The strategy of momentum is like a dance with the bull energy. Never sleep with a slow runner People judged me severely. One year later, where are they ? Who lost his time ? Who was too early ?

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

7 months

#Cocoa in parabolic mode Demand usual but offer and production super low = historic squeeze

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

5 months

QQQ (purple) against Gold (orange color) and Big Cap Value (black bar chart) For the first time, we have a serious break (red arrow) #VTV is it the winner to buy in the next couple of months during a correction of tech. #QQQ could visit more than a lean -5% deep

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

5 months

#cnh #jpy Yuan against yen Monetarist war is pursuing between the two giant exporters Japan devaluated almost 50% since 2020. Huge... If china doesnt answer it, pile of cash will be throw out the country, in btc, gold, us techno stocks...

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

7 months

Mexico #EWW stock markets have a great future Since the wild geopolitic climat change parameter show up, all the industries are relocating to mexico 1 - First partner for trade 2 - Strong currency against US dollar 3 - Inflows in the stock market = +61% in the last 3 years

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

7 months

#buyback february FIS Fidelity National Information $500 Mln DPZ Domino`s Pizza $1.0 Bln XP XP 2.5 Mln EBAY eBay $2.0 Bln TJX TJX Companies $2.5 Bln ODP ODP Corporation $1 Bln VTRS Viatris $1.0 Bln TOTAL MONTH #buybacks = $18,43 Bln #qqq with ROC 18 weeks since 2007

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

5 months

#yen against dollar Who wants to buy the 34 years old support ? Who wants to trust BoJ ?... ... Or the politicians hungry to export the production they can t sell to the dead japaneses (negative demographic)

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

6 months

Excess of momentum doesnt mean better reversion to average We have 6 cases of intense bull momentum during 22 weeks since 1999 for #qqq Only one ended up with bear market or significative correction 4 cases were flat or sideways The last case will be april 2024 Lets see

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

6 months

Who has enough huevos to buy the dip of #cocoa ? Or buy the break out of the highest high for ever since 50 years ? Walking The road for quick profits to 10.000$ ? Or burst the bubble ?

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

5 months

What a surprise hahaha #yen is killed to save japan marketshare in the world trade I ve never change my mind Full dollar at 5.25% by year

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

8 months

14 weeks increase over the last 15 weeks. This is the record to beat which has stood for 95 years Response within 48 hours for 15 weeks up over the last 16 weeks #sp500

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

5 months

Who wants to be paid 0.30% by year for 2 years in a row ? Nobody if someone else offer 5.25% in the same moment The #yen has a dark futur Not a good partner for savers

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

7 months

#gld breakout bull of gold Nothing has changed Time to short the next (number 15...) failure again Hope is the most ugly desease of human being The matrix is a vice, the belief is vanity, the currency with interest rate is the real power

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

6 months

#diamond prices are down again near 5 years low 5 years with +27% for cpi And -12% for diamond Almost -40% lost by investors Is it the good time to invest with a long term view ?

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

7 months

The 10 most loved stocks by hedge funds Since the previous highest high in #sp500 (january 2022), i compare the performances for 1 - SP 500 = +10% 2 - the #MagnificentSeven = +29% 3 - the 10 most loved = +41%

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

6 months

#ISM against #sp500 yearly The blue line lead the orange one since 15 years Ism manufacturing has no predictive power

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

5 months

The relative #EPU #SPY monthly timeframe Peru break 3 months ago the spread with US stocks and show some strength Interesting how it preceded the breakout of the trend line

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

7 months

Interest rate only cant offer a true vision about economics Why dont we put the level of #deficit budget inside the list of triggers ? How a #recession can be possibly appear when so much money is injecting everywhere in the us by the Biden administration ?

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

5 months

Indicator Halloween #sp500 Sell in may & buy the day of the demons and dead The explanation is just the seasonality of the #buyback And we need to remember that the level of 10 years yield and the level of profits push or brake the volume of buyback 180 rolling days chart

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

8 months

#ipgp #buyback 300M$ february 13

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

7 months

The link between #sp500 #Moneysupply #M2 and reserve banks Loopback = 6 years SP500 is little bit optimistic A correction in March doesnt sound crazy

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

8 months

ROC 16 Weeks #QQQ There is no guarantees a high reading = mean reversion and correction 8 cases (16 cases total) since 1999 ended with higher value for QQQ = 50% rate of success Thats the only sure thing we can have for everything on long term analysis : 50% rate !

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

7 months

4 assets / weekly rotation / 1 holding I like the idea to rotate US stock markets against #GOLD But... life and global macro are more complicated I choose 2 more assets to get a better soup ==> almost +17% CGAR with -15% drawdown 2008 included

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

8 months

#diamonds collapse find support Time to buy ?

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

5 months

For people who still have a brain connected Inflation UP means COPPER up There are NO CORRELATION between inflation CPI US and gold. Try the data instead of guessing et listening gold bugs Let s see #cper Oh what a surprise... CPER break up against GOLD #gld 2020 bis...

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

5 months

Markets are they betting for the coming back of inflation ? #xlb materials are showing strength against #SP500 April monthly timeframe was almost a break of the highest high Interest rate #fedfund are not gonna lower any time soon

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

7 months

#vrsk #buyback 1 Bln$ announced 2 21 2024 Total february buybacks = 7,93Bln$

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

7 months

#HYG / #IEF spread against #SP500 Loopback = 4 years Bonds and stock market agree about the trend...

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

8 months

#ALKS #buyback 400M$ february 15

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

8 months

#nvr #buybacks 750M$ february 14

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Charles Dereeper Markets

@CharlesMarkets

6 months

#Diamond prices are the weakest asset in the last 10 years By experience, prices rotate always. Cycles are the norm With #cbdc coming in 2030, it is not impossible we could witness in 2034 a better ranking for diamonds as asset, in comparaison with the actual winners

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