Baseball Trade Values @BaseballValues Twitter profile

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Baseball Trade Values

1 month

Our scorecard for the 2024 Deadline: * Number of trades: 72 * Accepted by the model: 60 * Acceptance rate: 83.3% * Average value variance per deal: 3.7 More on the hits, misses, trends and lessons learned, from founder @johnbitzer2 :

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 year

Today the #Angels acquired RHPs Lucas Giolito ($6.6M median trade value) and Reynaldo Lopez ($1.3M) from the #WhiteSox in exchange for C Edgar Quero ($20.3M) and LHP Ky Bush ($9.8M). The deal is rejected by our model as an overpay by Los Angeles.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Yankees reportedly acquired IF/OF Jazz Chisholm ($33.6M surplus trade value) from the #Marlins in exchange for C Agustin Ramirez ($11.1M), IF Jared Serna ($5.6M) and UT Abrahan Ramirez (not yet in system). The deal is rejected by our model.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 years

Today the #Mariners acquired OF Teoscar Hernandez ($8.4M median trade value) from the #BlueJays in exchange for RHP Erik Swanson ($10.4M) and LHP Adam Macko ($5.4M). The deal is rejected by our model as an overpay by Seattle.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Cubs reportedly acquired 3B Isaac Paredes ($53.8M) from the #Rays in exchange for UT Christopher Morel ($22.7M) and RHPs Hunter Bigge ($0.2M) and Ty Johnson (not yet in system). The deal is rejected by our model as an underpay by Chicago.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Yankees reportedly acquired LHP Mark Leiter Jr. ($15.2M surplus trade value) from the #Cubs in exchange for RHP Jack Neely ($1.6M) and 2B Benjamin Cowles ($1.1M). The deal is rejected by our model as an underpay by New York.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Padres reportedly acquired RHP Jason Adam ($6.0M surplus trade value) from the #Rays in exchange for RHP Dylan Lesko ($9.7M), OF Homer Bush Jr. ($2.2M) and C J.D. Gonzalez ($2.2M). The deal is rejected by our model as an overpay by San Diego.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today's 3-team deal: To #STLCards RHP Erick Fedde ($19.0M surplus value) OF Tommy Pham ($1.1M) Net +$17.5M #Dodgers UT Tommy Edman ($2.6M) RHP Michael Kopech (-$0.7M) Net -$9.5M #WhiteSox IF Miguel Vargas ($7.0M) IF Alexander Albertus ($2.5M) 2B Jeral Perez ($1.9M) Net -$8.0M

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

9 months

Today the #Yankees acquired OFs Juan Soto ($23.8M trade value) and Trent Grisham ($10.1M) from the #Padres in exchange for RHPs Michael King ($33.4M), Drew Thorpe ($11.0M) Johny Brito ($4.9M) and Randy Vasquez ($5.9M) and C Kyle Higashioka ($1.8M). Deal is rejected by our model.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #BlueJays reportedly acquired LHP Yusei Kikuchi ($4.9M surplus trade value) from the #Astros in exchange for RHP Jake Bloss ($9.2M), 1B/OF Joey Loperfido ($6.1M) and 2B Will Wagner ($2.0M). The deal is rejected by our model as an overpay by Houston.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Orioles reportedly acquired LHP Trevor Rogers ($18.0M surplus trade value) from the #Marlins in exchange for 2B Connor Norby ($10.1M) and OF Kyle Stowers ($0.1M). The deal is rejected by our model as an underpay by Baltimore.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Dodgers reportedly acquired RHP Jack Flaherty ($9.3M surplus trade value) from the #Tigers in exchange for C Thayron Liranzo ($17.4M) and IF Trey Sweeney ($2.2M). The deal is rejected by our model as an overpay by Los Angeles.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Mets reportedly acquired RHP Huascar Brazoban ($8.3M surplus trade value) from the #Marlins in exchange for UT Wilfredo Lara ($0.5M). The deal is barely accepted by our model, but as a major underpay by New York.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 year

Today the #Reds acquired LHP Sam Moll ($9.0M median trade value) and int'l bonus space (unknown) from the #Athletics in exchange for RHP Joe Boyle ($2.0M). The deal is accepted by our model as a major underpay by Cincinnati.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Brewers reportedly acquired RHP Frankie Montas (-$1.8M surplus trade value) from the #Reds in exchange for OF Joey Wiemer ($6.8M), RHP Jakob Junis (-$3.2M) and cash ($1.0M). The deal is accepted by our model, but as a major overpay by Milwaukee.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Orioles reportedly acquired RHP Zach Eflin ($17.4M surplus trade value) from the #Rays in exchange for IF Mac Horvath ($7.1M), RHP Jackson Baumeister ($2.7M) and OF Matthew Etzel ($1.9M). The deal is accepted by our model, but as a major underpay by Baltimore.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Orioles reportedly acquired LHP Gregory Soto ($0.8M surplus trade value) from the #Phillies in exchange for RHPs Seth Johnson ($5.2M) and Moisés Chace ($2.3M) The deal is barely accepted by our model, but as a major overpay by Baltimore.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

7 months

Master class by Justin Turner and his agent: he turns down his $13.4M player option with the Red Sox, triggering a $6.7M buyout. At that point he just needs another $6.7M to break even. Then he signs a $13M deal with Toronto, netting him a total of $19.7M for 2024.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Guardians reportedly acquired OF Lane Thomas ($5.7M surplus trade value) from the #Nationals in exchange for LHP Alex Clemmey ($10.6M) and IFs Rafael Ramirez Jr. ($3.3M) and José Tena ($1.7M). The deal is rejected by our model as an overpay by Cleveland.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 year

Today the #Astros acquired RHP Kendall Graveman (-$4.7M median trade value) from the #WhiteSox in exchange for C Korey Lee ($1.6M). The deal is accepted by our model as a major overpay by Houston.

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835

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 years

Today the #BlueJays reportedly acquired OF/C Daulton Varsho ($74.5M median trade value) from the #DBacks in exchange for C Gabriel Moreno ($53.7M) and OF Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($5.6M). The deal is accepted by our model as a minor overpay by Arizona.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

8 months

Today the #Braves reportedly acquired LHP Chris Sale (-$5.7M surplus trade value) and cash (reportedly $17M) from the #RedSox in exchange for IF Vaughn Grissom ($17.1M). The deal is accepted by our model as a major overpay by Atlanta.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 years

The #Mariners have reportedly acquired RHP Luis Castillo ($41.2M trade value) from the #Reds in exchange for IFs Noelvi Marte ($36.5M) and Edwin Arroyo ($22.8M) and RHPs Levi Stoudt ($3.7M) and Andrew Moore ($0.1M). The deal is accepted by our model as a major overpay by Seattle

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Braves acquired DH Jorge Soler (-$15.0M surplus trade value) and RHP Luke Jackson (-$4.3M) from the #SFGiants in exchange for LHP Tyler Matzek (-$0.7M) and IF Sabin Ceballos ($0.9M). The deal is rejected by our model as an overpay by Atlanta.

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749

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 year

Today the #Phillies reportedly acquired RHP Michael Lorenzen ($3.3M median trade value) from the #Tigers in exchange for 2B Hao-Yu Lee ($7.8M). The deal is accepted by our model as a moderate overpay by Philadelphia.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 year

Today the #Dodgers acquired RHPs Lance Lynn (-$0.4M median trade value) and Joe Kelly (-$0.6M) from the #WhiteSox in exchange for RHPs Nick Nastrini ($7.6M) and Jordan Leasure ($0.1M) and OF Trayce Thompson ($0.4M). The deal is rejected by our model as an overpay by Los Angeles.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

10 months

The #Dbacks have reportedly acquired IF Eugenio Suarez ($8.2M median trade value) from the #Mariners in exchange for RHP Carlos Vargas ($1.4M) and C Seby Zavala ($0.5M). The deal is accepted by our model as a major overpay by SEA.

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647

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 years

Today the #Phillies reportedly acquired LHP Gregory Soto ($2.1M median trade value) and 2B Kody Clemens ($1.5M) from the #Tigers in exchange for IF Nick Maton ($8.0M), OF Matt Vierling ($7.2M) and C Donny Sands ($1.6M). The deal is rejected by our model as an overpay by PHI.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 years

The #Phillies have reportedly acquired OF Brandon Marsh ($32.5M median trade value) from the #Angels in exchange for C Logan O'Hoppe ($21.0M). The deal is accepted by our model as a major overpay by Los Angeles.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 months

Today the #Brewers reportedly acquired RHP Aaron Civale ($11.8M surplus trade value) from the #Rays in exchange for IF Gregory Barrios ($1.8M). The deal is rejected by our model as an underpay by Milwaukee.

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571

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

4 months

Today the #Padres reportedly acquired IF Luis Arraez ($5.3M surplus trade value) from the #Marlins in exchange for OFs Dillon Head ($8.9M) and Jakob Marsee ($5.7M), 1B Nathan Martorella ($4.2M) and RHP Woo-Suk Go ($0.7M). Deal is rejected by our model.

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556

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 years

Today the #Orioles reportedly acquired LHP Cole Irvin ($15.0M median trade value) and RHP Kyle Virbitsky ($1.2M) from the #Athletics in exchange for SS Darell Hernaiz ($2.7M). The deal is rejected by our model as an overpay by Oakland.

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543

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Phillies reportedly acquired RHP Carlos Estévez ($2.5M surplus trade value) from the #Angels in exchange for RHP George Klassen ($4.5M) and LHP Samuel Aldegheri ($3.1M). The deal is accepted by our model as a moderate overpay by Philadelphia.

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547

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

8 months

Today the #SFGiants acquired LHP Robbie Ray (-$43.2M surplus trade value) from the #Mariners in exchange for OF Mitch Haniger (-$29.7M), RHP Anthony DeSclafani (-$1.1M) and cash (reportedly $3M). The deal is accepted by our model as a major overpay by San Francisco.

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535

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 years

The #Padres have reportedly acquired LHP Josh Hader ($15.5M median trade value) from the #Brewers in exchange for LHP Taylor Rogers ($5.4M), UT Esteury Ruiz ($4.7M), LHP Robert Gasser ($2.4M) and RHP Dinelson Lamet (-$1.4M) The deal is accepted by our model as an underpay by SD

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518

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 years

After trading away most of their top prospects today, the Padres' farm is now ranked last in baseball in our model. On the bright side, they now have Juan Soto.

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478

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

9 months

Today the #Yankees reportedly acquired IF Jorbit Vivas ($8.9M surplus trade value) and LHP Victor Gonzalez ($0.8M) from the #Dodgers in exchange for SS Trey Sweeney ($3.8M). The deal is accepted by our model as a a moderate overpay by LAD.

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483

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

6 months

Today the #Padres reportedly acquired RHP Dylan Cease ($42.4M surplus trade value) from the #WhiteSox in exchange for RHPs Drew Thorpe ($18.5M), Jairo Iriarte ($10.6M) and Steven Wilson ($4.4M) and OF Samuel Zavala ($11.0M). The deal is accepted by our model.

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470

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 year

Today the #Rangers reportedly acquired RHP Max Scherzer (-$16.4M median trade value) and cash (reportedly about $36.5M) from the #Mets in exchange for SS Luisangel Acuña ($20.1M). The deal is accepted by our model.

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460

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 year

Today the #Marlins reportedly acquired 1B/3B Jake Burger ($20.6M median trade value) from the #WhiteSox in exchange for LHP Jake Eder ($8.6M). The deal is rejected by our model.

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419

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

8 months

Today the #Cubs reportedly acquired IF Michael Busch ($17.2M surplus trade value) and RHP Yency Almonte ($0.4M) from the #Dodgers in exchange for RHP Jackson Ferris ($5.2M) and OF Zyhir Hope (not yet in system). The deal is rejected by our model.

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409

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 year

Today the #Rays reportedly acquired RHP Aaron Civale ($26.4M median trade value) from the #Guardians in exchange for 1B Kyle Manzardo ($21.2M). The deal is accepted by our model as a moderate overpay by Cleveland.

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381

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

7 months

Today the #Orioles reportedly acquired RHP Corbin Burnes ($33.3M surplus trade value) from the #Brewers in exchange for LHP D.L. Hall ($18.9M), SS Joey Ortiz ($13.6M) and a Competitive Balance Round A Pick ($4.0M). The deal is accepted by our model.

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377

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 years

Today the #MNTwins reportedly acquired RHP Pablo López ($38.8M median trade value), IF Jose Salas ($20.5M) and OF Byron Chourio ($0.1M) from the #Marlins in exchange for UT Luis Arraez ($26.6M). The deal is rejected by our model as an overpay by Miami.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #RedSox reportedly acquired RHP Quinn Priester ($4.4M surplus trade value) from the #Pirates in exchange for IF Nick Yorke ($3.8M). The deal is accepted by our model.

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362

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 years

As reported, today's three-team deal: ATL: Sean Murphy, $51.3M median trade value MIL: William Contreras, $37.3M; Payamps, $0.0M; Yeager, not yet in system OAK: Muller, $7.1M; Ruiz, $4.9M; Salinas, $2.5M; Tarnok, $2.2M; Piña, -$2.6M ($14.3M total) Deal rejected by the model.

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346

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 years

Based on our estimates, the Reds now have the 7th-best farm system in baseball; the Mariners' farm is 27th, post-Castillo trade.

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341

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

By our modeling, Toronto is receiving *significantly* more for half a season of Kikuchi (4.75 ERA, 3.64 FIP, 2.3 fWAR) than Chicago received for a year and a half of Erick Fedde (3.11 ERA, 3.76 FIP, 2.7 fWAR). The Blue Jays' excellent trade deadline continues.

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Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 years

More on Arraez: We've noticed the Twins' front office drives a hard bargain. They have a clear pattern of getting teams to overpay. They've come out ahead on paper on multiple trades recently, including the Berrios deal, Cruz/Ryan, Gray/Petty, Urshela/Donaldson, and this one.

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324

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Padres reportedly acquired LHP Tanner Scott ($5.5M surplus trade value) and RHP Bryan Hoeing ($0.1M) from the #Marlins in exchange for LHP Robby Snelling ($10.6M), RHP Adam Mazur ($8.0M) and 3Bs Graham Pauley ($6.0M) and Jay Beshears ($1.1M). Rejected by our model.

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327

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

It feels like a piece of this trade is missing, a prospect of value going from St. Louis to Chicago to make the Fedde side of this deal make more sense. But as it stands, this looks like a heist by the Cardinals, and questionable for both the Dodgers and the White Sox.

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317

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

3 years

The #BlueJays have reportedly acquired RHP José Berrios ($42.9M median trade value) from the #MNTwins in exchange for UT Austin Martin ($42.6M) and RHP Simeon Woods Richardson ($22.3M). The deal is rejected by our model as an overpay by Toronto.

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301

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

7 months

Today the #Royals reportedly acquired RHP John Schreiber ($9.7M surplus trade value) from the #RedSox in exchange for RHP David Sandlin ($2.0M). The deal is accepted by our model, but as a major overpay by Boston.

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314

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

10 months

Today the #Guardians acquired RHP Scott Barlow ($4.6M median trade value) from the #Padres in exchange for RHP Enyel de los Santos ($11.5M). The deal is accepted by our model as a major overpay by Cleveland.

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309

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

9 months

Our modeling estimates 10 years of Shohei Ohtani at $533.8 million. Of course, Ohtani is a unicorn, and this contract blows that estimate out of the water.

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311

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

7 months

Based on our modeling, we expected an 11-year extension for Bobby Witt Jr. to be worth $287.9M - or, right in line with his actual $288.7M deal with the #Royals .

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293

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 year

Today the #Padres reportedly acquired LHP Rich Hill ($0.5M median trade value) and 1B Ji-Man Choi (-$0.2M) from the #Pirates in exchange for LHP Jackson Wolf ($2.2M), OF Estuar Suero ($3.4M) and 1B Alfonso Rivas ($0.1M). Deal is accepted as a moderate overpay by San Diego.

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283

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 year

Today the #Marlins reportedly acquired RHP David Robertson ($0.3M median trade value) from the #Mets in exchange for IF Marco Vargas ($3.3M) and C Ronald Hernandez ($0.8M). The deal is accepted by our model as a minor overpay by Miami.

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283

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Rangers acquired C Carson Kelly ($2.3M surplus trade value) from the #Tigers in exchange for C Liam Hicks ($1.2M) and RHP Tyler Owens ($0.9M). The deal is accepted by our model.

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283

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Mets reportedly acquired OF Jesse Winker ($3.1M surplus trade value) from the #Nationals in exchange for RHP Tyler Stuart ($2.0M). The deal is accepted by our model.

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271

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

We're waiting for the cash to be reported in the Eloy Jiménez deal, but otherwise, that's it from us for today. Thank you to all who have followed along! Stay tuned in the coming days/weeks for analysis of what worked, what didn't and what changes we may consider for the model.

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273

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

7 months

Today the #Mariners acquired 2B Jorge Polanco ($9.4M surplus trade value) from the #MNTwins in exchange for OF Gabriel Gonzalez ($11.0M) and RHPs Justin Topa ($7.0M), Darren Bowen ($0.4M) and Anthony DeSclafani (-$1.1M), and cash (reportedly $8.0M) Deal is rejected by the model.

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269

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

8 months

Today the #Mariners acquired 1B/OF Luke Raley ($10.1M surplus trade value) from the #Rays in exchange for 2B Jose Caballero ($4.8M). The deal is accepted by our model as a moderate overpay by Tampa Bay.

2

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265

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Royals acquired RHP Michael Lorenzen ($1.6M surplus trade value) from the #Rangers in exchange for LHP Walter Pennington ($0.4M). The deal is accepted by our model.

1

14

266

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

What we're seeing so far in the trade market: consistent overpays for good relievers, while bats are going for fair value or below. That doesn't mean things will stay that way. Markets often correct as top assets are removed and lesser inventory remains.

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263

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

The model likes Leiter for his peripherals, Statcast numbers and remaining three years of cheap team control. Compared to the prices for rental arms, and even similar controllable arms like A.J. Puk and Jason Adam, this seems like a heist by the Yankees.

3

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262

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 year

Today the #BlueJays reportedly acquired RHP Jordan Hicks ($2.4M median trade value) from the #StlCards in exchange for RHPs Sam Robberse ($2.8M) and Adam Kloffenstein ($0.9M). The deal is accepted by our model.

1

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257

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Mariners acquired OF Randy Arozarena ($7.3M surplus trade value) from the #Rays in exchange for RHP Brody Hopkins ($5.2M), OF Aidan Smith ($2.5M) and a PTBNL. The deal is tentatively accepted by our model, pending the PTBNL.

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255

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

4 years

The #Rays acquisition of RHP Chris Mazza ($0.2M trade value), LHP Jeffrey Springs ($0.0M) and cash ($0.1M) from the #RedSox in exchange for C Ronaldo Hernandez ($13.8M) and IF Nick Sogard ($0.1M) is rejected by our model as an overpay by Tampa Bay.

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240

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Rangers reportedly acquired LHP Andrew Chafin ($0.7M surplus trade value) from the #Tigers in exchange for RHPs Joseph Montalvo ($2.1M) and Chase Lee ($0.4M). The deal is accepted by our model.

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249

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Diamondbacks reportedly acquired LHP A.J. Puk ($8.2M surplus trade value) from the #Marlins in exchange for 1B/3B Deyvison de los Santos ($8.0M) and OF Andrew Pintar ($2.5M). The deal is accepted by our model.

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251

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #RedSox acquired RHP Lucas Sims ($0.1M surplus trade value) from the #Reds in exchange for RHP Ovis Portes ($0.5M). The deal is accepted by our model.

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239

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Phillies reportedly acquired LHP Tanner Banks ($10.9M surplus trade value) from the #WhiteSox in exchange for IF William Bergolla ($7.1M). The deal is accepted by our model as a minor underpay by Philadelphia.

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239

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 year

Today the #Rangers reportedly acquired LHP Jordan Montgomery ($7.4M median trade value) RHP Chris Stratton ($1.0M) from the #STLCards in exchange for RHP Tekoah Roby ($4.7M), IF Thomas Saggese ($2.4M) and LHP John King ($0.1M). The deal is accepted by our model.

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231

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

3 years

The #Mariners have acquired RHP Diego Castillo ($20.8M median trade value) from the #Rays in exchange for 3B Austin Shelton ($6.3M) and RHP JT Chargois ($0.6M). The deal is rejected by our model as an overpay by Tampa Bay.

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230

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #SFGiants reportedly acquired OF Mark Canha (-$1.8M surplus trade value) from the #Tigers in exchange for RHP Eric Silva ($0.5M). The deal is accepted by our model as a minor overpay by San Francisco.

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229

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 years

Today the #MNTwins reportedly acquired OF Michael Taylor ($2.8M median trade value) from the #Royals in exchange for RHP Steven Cruz ($0.4M) and LHP Evan Sisk ($0.1M). The deal is accepted by our model as a minor overpay by Kansas City.

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228

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

This is a head-scratcher for Tampa Bay. Bigge and Johnson aren't nothing, but the trade is largely a swap of Paredes and Morel, and Paredes has been a significantly better player (9.4 career fWAR compared to 2.9 for Morel).

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221

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

9 months

Today the #Braves acquired OF Jarred Kelenic ($19.4M median trade value), LHP Marcos Gonzales (-$8.8M) 1B Evan White (-$13.6M) and cash (unknown) from the #Mariners in exchange for RHPs Cole Phillips ($3.2M) and Jackson Kowar ($0.0M). Accepted by our model, pending cash value.

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213

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Royals reportedly acquired RHP Lucas Erceg ($8.5M surplus trade value) from the #Athletics in exchange for RHPs Mason Barnett ($2.7M) and Will Klein ($2.4M) and OF Jared Dickey (not yet in system). Deal is tentatively accepted by our model, pending Dickey's addition.

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212

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 year

Today the #Cubs reportedly acquired 3B Jeimer Candelario ($6.1M median trade value) from the #Nationals in exchange for LHP D.J. Herz ($2.8M) and SS Kevin Made ($2.2M). The deal is accepted by our model.

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210

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 years

Today the #Marlins reportedly acquired RHP Matt Barnes (-$6.7M median trade value) and cash (reportedly around $1.0M) from the #RedSox in exchange for LHP Richard Bleier ($0.8M). The deal is accepted by our model as a major overpay by Miami.

7

15

202

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 year

Today the #Angels reportedly acquired 1B CJ Cron (-$1.1M median trade value) and OF Randall Grichuk (-$1.1M) from the #Rockies in exchange for RHPs Jake Madden ($2.0M) and Mason Albright ($0.8M). The deal is accepted by our model as a moderate overpay by LAA.

4

16

208

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Phillies acquired OF Austin Hays ($0.6M surplus trade value) from the #Orioles in exchange for OF Cristian Pache ($1.5M) and RHP Seranthony Dominguez (-$0.7M). The deal is accepted by our model.

2

11

208

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 years

The #Padres have reportedly acquired LHP Sean Manaea ($14.1M median trade value) and RHP Aaron Holiday ($0.2M) from the #Athletics in exchange for IF Euribiel Angeles ($2.4M) and RHP Adrian Martinez ($0.5M). The deal is rejected by our model as an underpay by San Diego.

5

20

197

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 years

The #Phillies have reportedly acquired IF Edmundo Sosa ($6.6M median trade value) from the #STLCards in exchange for LHP JoJo Romero ($0.0M). The deal is barely accepted by our model, as a major overpay by the Cardinals. Sosa is out of options, so St. Louis was hamstrung.

9

25

197

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 years

#Padres have reportedly acquired Juan Soto ($165.6M MTV) and Josh Bell ($5.7M) from the #Nationals in exchange for CJ Abrams ($47.1M), Robert Hassell ($38.7M), Mackenzie Gore ($29.6M), James Wood ($25.6M), Jarlin ($2.5M), Eric Hosmer (-$35.2M). The deal is rejected by our model.

5

36

198

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 year

Today the #Pirates reportedly acquired LHP Bailey Falter ($7.8M median trade value) from the #Phillies in exchange for UT Rodolfo Castro ($1.8M). The deal is accepted by our model as a moderate overpay by Philadelphia.

3

20

187

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 years

The #Phillies have reportedly acquired RHP David Robertson ($2.5M median trade value) from the #Cubs in exchange for RHP Ben Brown ($2.4M). The deal is accepted by our model.

1

19

183

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Both are 25 years old. Morel does have one more year of team control than Paredes, and will be cheaper (Paredes is a Super 2 and will see his arbitration salaries climb in years 3 and 4). But the talent gap is too large for the salary difference to bridge.

6

7

186

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

4 months

This is just a miss by the model. Arraez was at $30.7M prior to our May 1st value update. The model reacted too strongly to his slow start, in a small sample. We'll take a look and adjust accordingly.

6

8

184

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

Today the #Royals reportedly acquired SS Paul DeJong ($0.8M surplus trade value) from the #WhiteSox in exchange for RHP Jarold Rosado (not yet in system) The deal is tentatively accepted by our model, pending Rosado's addition.

3

13

184

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 months

Some are speculating the return for #Tigers ace Tarik Skubal could rival that of the 2022 Juan Soto blockbuster. Skubal is very valuable, but we don't expect him to be quite at that level - our model estimates his surplus trade value at $100.1M, compared to $165.6M for 2022 Soto

12

13

185

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

9 months

Today the #Dodgers reportedly acquired RHP Tyler Glasnow ($14.1M or $24.1M surplus trade value, depending on 2028 option), OF Manuel Margot (-$2.5M) and cash ($4.5M) from the #Rays in exchange for RHP Ryan Pepiot ($25.3M) and OF Jonny DeLuca ($4.8M) Gap is either $15.0M or $5.0M

2

9

180

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

9 months

Today the #RedSox reportedly acquired OF Tyler O'Neill ($5.7M surplus trade value) from the #STLCards in exchange for RHPs Nick Robertson ($1.6M) and Victor Santos ($0.4M). The deal is accepted by our model as a minor overpay by STL (or, minor underpay by BOS).

2

15

179

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 year

Today the #Rays acquired RHPs Manuel Rodriguez ($3.9M median trade value), Adrian Sampson ($0.0M) and int'l bonus space (unknown) from the #Cubs in exchange for RHP Josh Roberson ($0.3M). The deal is accepted by our model as a minor overpay by Chicago.

4

18

174

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 year

Today the #Marlins acquired 1B Josh Bell (-$11.1M median trade value) from the #Guardians in exchange for IFs Jean Segura (-$7.1M) and Kahlil Watson ($7.8M). The deal is rejected by our model.

3

12

174

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 month

State of the trade market on deadline day: Still seeing quite a few overpays, indicating an imbalance between supply and demand, even for mid-level talent. We expect more today. Based on our modeling, 78.6% of the deals so far have been fair, which is a bit below the norm.

3

9

173

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

1 year

Today the #Dbacks reportedly acquired RHP Paul Sewald ($9.0M median trade value) from the #Mariners in exchange for OF Dominic Canzone ($3.1M), IF Ryan Bliss ($2.1M) and UT Josh Rojas ($0.4M). The deal is accepted by our model as a minor underpay by Arizona.

7

17

168

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 years

The #Yankees have reportedly acquired RHPs Frankie Montas ($28.1M MTV) and Lou Trivino (-$1.0M) from the #Athletics in exchange for LHPs Ken Waldichuk ($9.9M) and JP Sears ($4.8M), RHP Luis Medina ($6.9M) and 2B Cooper Bowman ($1.2M). Deal is accepted as a minor underpay by NYY.

3

26

167

Baseball Trade Values

@BaseballValues

2 years

The #Yankees have reportedly acquired OF Andrew Benintendi ($8.1M median trade value) from the #Royals in exchange for RHPs Beck Way ($4.6M) and Chandler Champlain ($0.8M) and LHP TJ Sikkema ($2.0M). The deal is accepted by our model.

2

27

166