Kanti Bajpai @BajpaiKanti Twitter profile

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

India insists it won't "normalize" relations with China until the PLA returns all territories taken in 2020. Meanwhile, bilateral trade is at record levels, Chinese investment is flowing into India, Wang Yi is hosted in Delhi, Modi attends BRICS summits. Pretty close to normal?

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

The paperback just arrived in the mail...

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

Hilarious. God only knows what history he knows.

Amitabh Kant

@amitabhk87

2 years

For 75 years, India has been following an agenda which was set by the developed world. For the first time we are setting the agenda for the world and exercising a say in determining global priorities. #G20India is about thinking & acting big! My lunch with @bsindia

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

India 136th out of 146 countries on World Happiness Index. More for Sanjeev Sanyal to work on.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

Looking forward to seeing my book, India Versus China: Why They Are Not Friends, from Juggernaut, in print soon

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

India not part of: APEC RCEP CPTPP AUKUS -"Doesnt matter". No (new) trade deals (yet) with: ASEAN Australia EU UK US -"Just around the corner". Free and Open Indo Pacific (don't forget Inclusive) Quad (moving from security to...?) -"India too big to ignore"

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

I have a sinking feeling that IR scholars (of whatever nationality) in the West will do more "Global IR", i.e. mining non-Western thought and practice. And those doing IR in the rest of the world will continue to do Western IR.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

Indeed

Prashant Bhushan

@pbhushan1

2 years

As we close accounts for 2022, we must thank Modiji 🙏🏾

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

9 months

I'm no fan of Modi or Jaishankar, but they have a clear sense of India's relative standing, whatever they may say in public.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

American democracy looks to be on its last legs. What will the world be like when the four biggest powers -- China, India, Russia, the US -- are all authoritarian/dictatorships? Democracy if it survives will live in Indonesia, Japan, South Korea, and some parts of Europe.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

Superb Atal Behari Vajpayee Memorial Speech by former Singaporean diplomat, Bilahari Kausikan, on the US, China, and US-China. Crisp, analytical, and blunt, compared to the anodyne nonsense you mostly hear from former officials all over the world.

3rd Atal Bihari Vajpayee Memorial Lecture (January 23, 2023)

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www.youtube.com

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

IR theory and China-India relations...Brandon Yoder and I front a special issue of four terrific papers. Our introduction.

Introduction: Explaining Cooperation and Rivalry in China-India Relations

Recent China-India relations have been marked by a puzzling mix of cooperation and rivalry across military, economic, institutional and normative dimensions. Yet despite a large empirical literatur...

www.tandfonline.com

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

Love it

Daniel Fiott

@DanielFiott

2 years

It’s funny because it’s true…

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

YK Alagh, my first and best Vice Chancellor at JNU, gone. Incisive, generous, and always positive. Great loss to policy and education.

Y K Alagh, economist who straddled world of academia and policymaking, dies at 83

Alagh, who was 83, was emeritus professor at Ahmedabad-based Sardar Patel Institute of Economic and Social Research (SPIESR).

indianexpress.com

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

10 months

India's average GDP growth rate (nominal): 1994-2003 ~6.0 %; 2004-13 ~7.0% (remove 2008); and 2014-22 ~ 7.0% (remove 2020). 4 PMs in first period, 1 in 2nd period, and 1 in 3rd period. 20 yrs of coalition govt, and 8 yrs of majority govt. Almost no difference in growth rates.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

I'm no fan of either Truss or Sunak who are mediocrities of the highest...but they have been questioned more heavily in public, live, than any Indian PM. So much for Indian liberal democracy.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

1 year

One of my JNU PhD students told me, back in the 1990s, that he wrote most of his thesis under a tree in a village in Bihar because there was no electricity after dark. Salaam to JNU students.

indianhistorypics

@IndiaHistorypic

1 year

1970s :: Students Studying Using Lalten ( Lantern )

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

My book, India Versus China, will become available on after June 17 or thereabouts according to Juggernaut, my publisher. Apologies. I should have said.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

My JNU academic days were fantastic. The students are terrific. Nine years as a "Warden" of a men's "hostel" and as a faculty member were among the best of my teaching life!

Shivam Bahuguna

@JanusBlinked

2 years

Bollywood spent its entire PR machinery money to make it appear like their movies are doing well at Cannes. Meanwhile, "waste of taxpayer money" JNU wallahs with their shoe string budgets are actually winning awards in the actual film festival there.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

My new essay, "Kissinger's Secret Trip, China's Rise, and a New Bipolarity" in a new book...fun to write and sceptical about Kissinger...opening to China had begun under Kennedy and Johnson and it was Nixon Foreign Affairs article 1967 that really conceptualized the opening.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

@HappymonJacob Haha exactly! 1.3 billion people and a foreign service of 1000 officers, slightly bigger than Belgium.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

10 months

The point is that India has no option but to hide and duck in dealing with China. Which is what Modi is doing. It's the Deng Xiaoping strategy wrt US back in the day. But let's not pretend that Modi is some 56-inch grand strategist. He's not. He's just another pragmatist.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

The real importance of the Quad for India is only really one thing: to signal to China that if it pushes too hard, Delhi will 'defect' altogether and become a 'full' ally of the US...Quad is intended mainly to strengthen a weak bargaining hand and has little other purpose.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

Just got my copy...after a great discussion helmed by editor Lynn Kuok of IISS. Learned a lot from fellow panelist Drew Thompson, Robert Ward, Sarah Raine, and Ashley Townshend. My chapter is on India.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

1 year

Who is rising in the world? In 1960, India had 0.025 global GDP (nominal, in current USD). In 2021, India had 0.03 of global GDP. Not much of a rise. China's figures are 0.04 and 0.18, respectively. So China has risen massively. The US has fallen, from 0.37 to 0.24.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

Looking fwd to reading this...but apparently only the Anglo-Americans and China do grand strategy judging by the number of entries in the index. India -- one entry in 736 pages of text!

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

A Russia-India-China axis...hope of the president of a leading establishment think tank in India...as I said before, if China were to give a little on the border quarrel, India could sign up to the axis. Anti-Westernism runs deep in India. Amazing that China hasn't exploited it.

Shashank Joshi

@shashj

3 years

"India’s independent position on Ukraine is itself a message to China that India would withstand US pressure. If it can lead to...trust and understanding between China and India on the borders, that can pave the way for an informal Russia-China-India axis"

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

Do we need a US ambassador in Delhi...? Jaishankar can probably dial anyone in DC in real time. So also Blinken in Delhi.

Derek J. Grossman

@DerekJGrossman

2 years

Still no confirmed US ambassador to India—14 months since the Biden admin nominated LA Mayor Eric Garcetti. Way past time to make a move.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

Trade deal with Australia: the first big positive foreign policy thing India has done since the nuclear deal with the US.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

10 months

I say this because Modi has made so many concessions to China and swallowed hard but Beijing has really not given an inch. Because its strategic concern is not India but rather the rest of Asia and indeed the rest of the world. It is playing a much larger game.

Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

10 months

So we in India are playing an India-China game on the border incursions since 2013, but China is playing a China-global game.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

Is it really necessary to be a Wolf Warrior all the time? ‘Old, rich, opinionated and dangerous’: Jaishankar takes on George Soros

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

Seeing the world differently

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

First the Americans pull out of TPP and then India pulls out of RCEP...Beijing must have rubbed its eyes in happy disbelief! Poor old Japan left holding the fort...and now China is at the gates of the fort.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

The final chapter of the book is about the massive power asymmetry in power with China...so it is about NOT underestimating China. But I do also say not to panic in the military domain. Clearly, India will have to catch up in informatized war and can't be complacent.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

Coming back to Global IR (GIR) after my initial throwaway lines on it...GIR comes from a place of power and privilege, which is the Western academy. That does not damn it, but it does mean it cannot be innocent about its provenance.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

9 months

India closer in power to Japan, France, Germany, the UK, Australia, Canada, and Brazil than to US and China. Russia -- GDP is small, but its nuclear arsenal, conventional weapons tech, land area, and resources make it formidable in its regional space. So punches above its weight.

Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

9 months

I'm not trying to exaggerate European power. What I'm saying is don't disparage it either. And don't stick your head in the sand about Indian power. We are not "nothing", but we are also not much more than a middle power.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

1 year

India and Bharat...in Hindi, we usually say Bharat. And when we face outwards to foreigners and when we speak in English to each other we usually say India. It's an elegant usage we have practiced with ease since 1947. Like the Chinese use Zhongguo and China. What's the problem?

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

I'm fine with AUKUS, but given that the first Australian nuclear-powered submarines won't be deployed much before 2040, what's the big military fuss either way...?

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

10 months

So what is China signaling? It is signaling that even as big a power as India can be intimidated and humiliated, and neither India nor the US can do much about it. So those in Asia who rely on the US better think again.

Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

10 months

@tallstories @amitabhmattoo @HappymonJacob @JNU_official_50 Great respect for Verma, but the lesson for India is that some situations are non deterrable beyond a point. China's repeated incursions against India and its refusal to budge despite India's restraint, indeed concessions, is that China is signaling the US and Asia, not India.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

Then, IR scholars in the West will discover the "new Global IR" which is actually Western IR in the non-West. Meanwhile, non-Western IR scholars will do first generation "Global IR" which was actually their IR that was re-presented. And so the alterity game will go.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

Cool headed analysis @rohan_mukh Voices : India’s place in Quad hinges on its ability to counter China, not Covid

India’s place in Quad hinges on its ability to counter China, not Covid

As India’s deadly second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic subsides, observers have begun taking stock of the aftermath. A recent article in The Financial Times suggested that the second wave has exposed...

timesofindia.indiatimes.com

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

The beginnings of an Indian school of modern international thought...

JNU IR Society

@jnu_ir

2 years

Had an amazing Sunday discussion on @rkrystalli and @philipp_schulz1 's 'Taking Love & Care Seriously: An Emergent Research Agenda for Remaking Worlds in the Wake of Violence' followed by an IR themed review of the movie Gadar: Ek Prem Katha.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

Editing a book on realism and Indian foreign policy...do you favour Realism with upper case R or realism with lower case r? Hamlet like, I tilt one way and then the other. Upper case seems a bit shouty...

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

I'm speechless

Saurabh Sharma

@SaurabhJNU

3 years

Many congratulations to the first women VC of JNU Prof. Santishree Dhulipudi Pandit. Your enriched experience will boost academic prosperity at JNU. @SantishreeD @mamidala90

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

The first 'moment' of strategy is exactly this...which speaks to the absurd, bizarre lack of investment in India in China and Pakistan studies. I doubt we can get 20 academic China and Pakistan specialists -- as against former officials -- around a table. In a country of 1.3 bn.

Constantino Xavier

@Constantinoeth_

3 years

Good, realist foreign policy requires putting yourself in the shoes of others. Same for analysis: impossible to understand India’s regional policies in South Asia without looking at Delhi from the perspective of Nepal, Bangladesh or Sri Lanka.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

Insightful piece that rises above all the panic and rush to judgment about the US.

Will Afghanistan Hurt U.S. Credibility?

What we know about reputation and credibility doesn’t track with the claims of doomsayers. But it also doesn’t accord with those who argue that there’s “nothing to see here.…

www.duckofminerva.com

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

Read this excellent analysis by the always thoughtful Rajesh Basrur. The only piece I've read that shows that Russia depends on India too...as a market for its arms, for its nuclear reactors, and as a counter to China.

IP22011 | India, Russia and the Ukraine Crisis

www.rsis.edu.sg

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

My chapter on India's strategy after the crisis with China in the summer of 2020, published in IISS's annual review of regional security in the Asia-Pacific.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

10 months

@tallstories @amitabhmattoo @HappymonJacob @JNU_official_50 Great respect for Verma, but the lesson for India is that some situations are non deterrable beyond a point. China's repeated incursions against India and its refusal to budge despite India's restraint, indeed concessions, is that China is signaling the US and Asia, not India.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

What doing Global IR (GIR) can be -- read the novelist/writer Amitav Ghosh's The Nutmeg's Curse: Parables for a Planet in Crisis. It combines all three elements of GIR -- alterity, critical interpretation, and analytical/causal statements. A brilliant, passionate book.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

‘Vishwa Guru’ India Needs to Learn from Southeast Asia’s Pluralist Ethos via @thewire_in

‘Vishwa Guru’ India Needs to Learn from Southeast Asia’s Pluralist Ethos

Southeast Asia’s past and present reflect a civilisational maturity that is in stark contrast to those who speak of ancient India’s spiritual ‘legacy’ overseas while stoking an ugly communal divide...

m.thewire.in

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

In Curzon's time there was no Pakistan and Tibet was a buffer. So an Aden to Singapore grand strategy made some sense. With two direct unbuffered threats on land, you have to wonder how plausible Curzon is...

Constantino Xavier

@Constantinoeth_

3 years

Maybe it’s because I am too sensitive to the geostrategic sentiments and reality of Kathmandu, Dhaka or Colombo — but Lord Curzon may not be the best way for India to articulate its regional strategy in the 21st century.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

Why is Pakistan Army critical of Russia's invasion of Ukraine? It can't stay neutral as a small state next to a big rival? It wants to recover ground with the US by painting a contrast to neutralist India? And it wants to signal some autonomy from China?

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

India-China has been a bit of a preoccupation for the past few years. Last year, with colleagues Selina Ho and Manjari Chatterjee Miller, I co-edited the gargantuan Routledge Handbook of China–India Relations (it's a little pricey too!):

Routledge Handbook of China–India Relations

The Routledge Handbook of China–India Relations provides a much-needed understanding of the important and complex relationship between India and China. Reflecting the consequential and multifaceted...

www.routledge.com

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

@tanvi_madan Na koi aya, na koi vartalaap hua

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

9 months

India was Realist in Nehru's time. Read Srinath Raghavan, War and Peace in Modern India: A Strategic History of the Nehru Years (2013).

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

Really great to see JNU students do this kind of thinking...recall my days teaching the IR Theory course in 1994-1999 with great pleasure. JNU zindabad.

Sanjeet

@sanjeet38

2 years

New post on the JNU IR Society blog covering the discussion on South Asian security studies. 🌻

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

Agree or disagree with Bharat Karnad, but always worth reading. No great choices between the two ex-diplomats’ camps. Both equally incoherent via @ThePrintIndia

No great choices between the two ex-diplomats’ camps. Both equally incoherent

The defence of Manmohan Singh and Narendra Modi’s foreign policies are both disjointed, and reflect the confusion at the heart of India's foreign policy.

theprint.in

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

9 months

Just about right, except Europe is not in decline: today's enlarged EU has nominal GDP of ~$21 trillion, larger than China and nearly as big as the US. Five times India's GDP.

C. Raja Mohan

@MohanCRaja

9 months

On why the West remains in the lead, despite many challenges:

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

“The central conservative truth is that it is culture, not politics, that determines the success of a society,” Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan of New York once wrote. “The central liberal truth is that politics can change a culture and save it from itself" - New York Times today

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

I mean, speaking as a foreign service brat, diplomacy is not exactly rocket science...and even rocket science is not what it used to be!

Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

@HappymonJacob Haha exactly! 1.3 billion people and a foreign service of 1000 officers, slightly bigger than Belgium.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

Apparently, a "leading power" only needs an average of 5 officers in a mission. According to our govt.

Aadil Brar

@aadilbrar

3 years

I am shocked each time this fact is repeated.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

Stopping here before I get dizzy and cynical.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

Deception is a legitimate strategy of Chinese diplomacy, says Vijay Gokhale - The Hindu

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

As Sinha suggests, revising the Treaty could tempt Pakistan to bring China in as an upper riparian. Kiss any possibility of a new treaty goodbye then. Pandora's box: Has Delhi really thought this through?

Indus Waters Treaty: Demands for its renewal are not new, but what has changed now?

In a way, this is another Balakot moment. The Indus Waters Treaty notice is a message to Pakistan that India would be unpredictable in its dealings with it, and would not shy away from escalation.

indianexpress.com

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

9 months

Finally, someone telling it like it really is. "India’s GDP gap with US, China is widening alarmingly" via @deccanherald

India’s GDP gap with US, China is widening alarmingly

www.deccanherald.com

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

9 months

True. India's GDP in 1960 was 2.5% of global GDP. Today, 63 years later, it is 3.5%. How's that for a trajectory?

Dipankar Sengupta #SundayClub

@dsen68

9 months

Decline is about trajectories, not positions in a point of time.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

@HappymonJacob How about just enjoy good cricket, win or lose, whatever nationality?

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

Fuel to fire... Tibet issue is explosive between India and China.

Dalai Lama: Prefer India, no point in returning to China

As Chinese soldiers had marched into Tibet in 1950 and resistance to its rule in the region intensified, the Dalai Lama fled to India in 1959.

indianexpress.com

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

This is why as an Indian I don't go to conferences anywhere

Melis Uluğ

@melisulug

2 years

Dear friends and colleagues, This is a call for international conference organizers to think twice before organizing any conference in Western Europe/North America, where many academics from the Global South (GS) need a visa to enter. (1)

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

9 months

I'm not trying to exaggerate European power. What I'm saying is don't disparage it either. And don't stick your head in the sand about Indian power. We are not "nothing", but we are also not much more than a middle power.

Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

9 months

European armies in the colonial period were smaller than Asian armies. And they still beat tgem. The EU is not as toothless as you think. Plus it has economic power which can be weaponized. And 2 European powers have more nuclear weapons than India. How's that for comprehension?

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

India's stock in Indonesia is rather low...probably even lower in other parts of Southeast Asia...my impression is that it is at its lowest in a decade...just an impression, of course, after living in the region for nearly 12 years

Can Shah Rukh Khan help India “Act East”?

Bollywood has star power, even in Indonesia, as the Lowy Poll revealed. It’s time to capitalise on the connection.

www.lowyinstitute.org

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

Wang Yi can raise the Kashmir issue, and it looks like he will be welcome in Delhi. But the UK, over the Ukraine issue, will not! Wow.

Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

Amazing...Still going strong!

Rajiv Bhatia

@bhatia_rk

3 years

Doyen of IFS, 98-year old Former Foreign Secretary M K Rasgotra delivered a brilliant address on 'India's foreign policy - past and future.' Spoke for 60 minutes! This was 39th C D Deshmukh Lecture, chaired by N N Vohra, President IIC, the capital's intellectual mecca.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

Reminds me of an Indian television panel discussion in full flow

Oded Rechavi

@OdedRechavi

2 years

The literature

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

10 months

So we in India are playing an India-China game on the border incursions since 2013, but China is playing a China-global game.

Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

10 months

So what is China signaling? It is signaling that even as big a power as India can be intimidated and humiliated, and neither India nor the US can do much about it. So those in Asia who rely on the US better think again.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

Clearly, it is not all "normal" with China...regular bilateral talks including summits, visas for Chinese visitors, accessing Chinese apps, and tendering by some Chinese companies are suspended. Yet things are more normal than Indian statements suggest.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

Kala Chashma...also brilliant dance off

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

9 months

Podcast with ANI's Smita Prakash on Wednesday, Jaishankar said: “Look, they (China) are the bigger economy. What am I going to do? As a smaller economy, I am going to pick up a fight with the bigger economy?... it’s a question of common sense….”

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

And if it was a missile test that went wrong, the question is -- why test so close to the border with a nuclear-armed adversary?

Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

@DrAyeshaRay If it was an accident, it's a huge worry. If it was deliberate or an unauthorised launch, it's incalculably more worrying, to say the least.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

For Narendra Modi and Rajnath Singh, a test on Indian defence For News on the go, Download HT app. Click

For Narendra Modi and Rajnath Singh, a test on Indian defence

More than 60% of the IN’s conventional boats (as submarines are referred to) are over 30 years old and there is a steady decline in the total number of fully operational submarines.

www.hindustantimes.com

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

Well said

Sushant Singh

@SushantSin

3 years

Amazing yet true. Indian television news channels and newspapers know more about Russian deployment and military presence in Ukraine than about Chinese military presence in Ladakh.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

@aadilbrar Adil, so right. Total nonsense to talk about Vietnam's defeat and China's subsequent rise. First, it was a very mixed military outcome. Second, the Chinese asked for and got US 'permission' to invade. And third, a lot of the credit for China's rise goes to US corporations.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

Got to my departure gate at Delhi Airport in 1 hour...not much worse than in the past. The security Q was the longest but speeded up gradually. Of course, I did get to the airport 4 hours early...

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

It is a good piece...but those 27 million Australians have a GDP which is half of India's...it is not an economically puny power

Sandeep

@SandeepUnnithan

3 years

“Now a country with 27 million people and a GDP of $1.4 trillion has become a power that can influence the choices being made in Beijing”. Scathing piece by RAdm Raja Menon in today’s ⁦ @IndianExpress ⁩ #AUKUS

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

US grand strategy divide...those who think China is the main threat and want to pull Russia closer to the West (or at least keep it neutral) -- e.g. Mearsheimer; and those who see Russia as the main threat and want to avoid alienating China any further -- e.g. Tom Friedman.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

10 months

If India cannot grow much more than 7 % p.a. and not much less than 7.0% p.a., it will reach GDP of ~$14 trillion (nominal) in 20 years.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

One of the few articles on international affairs in the Indian media that actually is worth reading. Bangladesh has reached out to the IMF for help: what is wrong with the country’s economy? via @IndianExpress

Bangladesh has reached out to IMF for help: what is wrong with the country’s economy?

Bangladesh grew during the pandemic and continues to do so. The problem has been the war in Ukraine, which has badly hit its exports as demand has fallen in the West, and badly hit Bangladesh’s forex...

indianexpress.com

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

Friends with all, enemies with none, as the Indonesians say

Dr. S. Jaishankar

@DrSJaishankar

2 years

A day of bilaterals, trilaterals, quadrilateral & multilaterals with 🇦🇺 🇧🇧🇧🇹🇧🇷🇧🇿🇧🇸🇨🇾🇩🇲🇫🇮🇫🇷🇬🇩🇬🇾🇮🇩 🇯🇴🇯🇵🇯🇲🇲🇬🇲🇳🇲🇻🇲🇦🇲🇺🇫🇲🇳🇮🇳🇬🇵🇼🇵🇬 🇿🇦🇰🇳🇻🇨🇸🇷🇪🇸🇹🇹🇹🇬🇺🇾🇺🇸 Participated in a discussion on the G20 imperative. Will deliver India’s statement at General Debate of #UNGA 77 tomorrow.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

Solid, sober analysis from India's former NSA. Watch | Modi Government Has Handled Ukraine Crisis Well: Shivshankar Menon via @thewire_in

Watch | Modi Government Has Handled Ukraine Crisis Well: Shivshankar Menon

In a 45-minute interview with Karan Thapar for The Wire, the former national security adviser said the Indian government must play a forceful and active role in finding a solution acceptable to all...

m.thewire.in

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

On a related but slightly different subject, my chapter on "Southern Asia's Realist Future" in Diplomacy and the Future of World Order just arrived: . Interesting volume from Chester Crocker, Fen Hampson, and Pamela Aall. Thank you, editors!

Book

press.georgetown.edu

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

Yeah, not a "happy" job!

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

Hahaha. Verging on pathetic.

‘Terror on New Year’s Eve’: huge Russian missile attack kills one in Ukraine

More than dozen also injured as over 20 rockets launched in second major strike in three days

www.theguardian.com

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

@ConstantinoX India never loses an opportunity to lose an opportunity

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

1 year

The opposition scored an own goal with the INDIA acronym. And now the government is overreacting with the Bharat response. More pressing issues in the country surely.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

Worth reading the Russia-China joint statement. India would agree with a lot of it -- on human rights, democracy, non-interference, internet governance. It would differ on the parts about the NPT and the role of the US and its allies in the Indo-Pacific.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

Just got this, on the link between an extreme weather event and conflict leading to the creation of Bangladesh in the wake of a devastating cyclone. Thanks to Samir Saran for sending.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

2 years

If Trump or a Trump-like figure wins the next US prez election (quite likely), American democracy may not recover. We will then be in a world where the major democracies will reside in a select few East Asian, West European, African, and Latin American countries.

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Kanti Bajpai

@BajpaiKanti

3 years

When Chinese analysts and websites invoke/endorse Mearsheimer on NATO and the Ukraine war, you wonder...his anger at NATO is because he wants to befriend Russia and enlist it against the primary threat for the West which he thinks is China.

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