Minsky Moment @BP_Rising Twitter profile

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

4 months

Bursting of the Mother Of All Nasdaq Bubbles will be one for the ages.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

3 years

Michael Burry, the man who got rich predicting the 2008 financial crisis, warned us all in a tweet of potential Weimar Germany like inflation. Then the SEC paid him a visit. Let that sink in real good for a minute.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

More evident now that we ARE in "Return to Normal" (highly abnormal) Stage of the Super Bubble. In this phase bubble chaser arrogance returns. Burry bashing is testament. Important to keep in mind that pride always comes before the fall.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

Credit Default Swaps on Credit Suisse are skyrocketing. Bank is deeply intertwined with U.S. financial system. We're not being told the truth on potential for systemic risk.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

Stages of a Super Bubble (using S&P 500 chart since 2009 bottom).

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

11 months

Mother of All Bubbles (largest in U.S. history) - S&P 500 from 2009 crash bottom to present day.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

3 years

In 1929 Market Cap to GDP (top indicator of overvaluation) was near 100%. In 2000 it was over 150%. Both preceded major corrections. Current 2021 super bubble is around 215%. Any questions?

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

Chart breakdown of Nasdaq big picture. "Return to Normal" phase of Super Bubble. Sometimes you just need to gain real perspective on how truly ridiculous/overpriced the situation.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

In financial bubble of 2007, the "Return to Normal" stage preceeded a roughly 50% drop in S&P 500. Coincidentally, interest rates had just gone to 4.75%, same level hit recently in this much larger everything bubble.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

Always good to remember that when CNBC brings on Top Signal Tom Lee, it means whales are desperate for exit liquidity. Don't forget it. Happened prior to 2008 bubble burst and S&P 500 went to 666.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

11 months

Peak of M.O.A.B. (Mother Of All Bubbles) will be known as the G.O.A.T. (Greatest Of All Traps). $SPX and $VIX 1990 to present.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

Stages of a Super Bubble (used S&P 500 from 2010 to 2023). There's nothing to fear, Minsky Moment is here...

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

Biggest landlord in U.S. is now the Fed. They bought $3 trill in MBS with printed currency they created from nothing. So, technically they own your homes and have bid prices up against those in the market to buy. It's a great scandal friends. Borrower is servant to the lender.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

8 months

New Year 2024 presents a "once in a lifetime buying opportunity."

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

8 months

"A bull market is like sex. It feels best just before it ends." -- Warren Buffett

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

Return to "normal" (abnormal) phase of the Super Bubble is complete and has lured in every gambler remaining. In future retrospect, it will be known as "The Great Trap." The G.O.A.T. of "market" enticement. Right after rate hike and at extreme greed/overbought levels. Just epic.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

5 months

In 1929, U.S. was in a major bubble. Market Cap to GDP was 100%. It collapsed. In 2000, U.S. was in a major bubble. Market Cap to GDP was 150%. It collapsed. In 2024, U.S. is in the Mother Of All Bubbles. Market Cap to GDP is nearly 200%. It...

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

The 2008 algo simulation that BlackRock's Aladdin trading A.I. robot is running (using trillions in capital) remains on point currently in 2022.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

Swiss Central Bank buys U.S. stonks like a fiat (inflation) printing hedgefund. Should be illegal. Something big is going on under surface and it's not just Credit Suisse. Multiple banks bidding U.S. $'s using Swiss as cover. Dollar system suspect. Something systemic is brewing.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

3 months

Parabolic Nvidia $NVDA chart can be described in just one word - Unsustainable.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

Think it's pretty clear that we're concluding the "Return to Normal" (Abnormal) phase of the super bubble that precedes the faster meltdown phase.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

Last time Fed Discount Window emergency borrowing skied like this was during 2008 financial crisis. S&P 500 went on to drop roughly 50%. Keep in mind, this super bubble is a lot larger, with raging inflation, and much more egregious debt levels.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

11 months

The Mother of All Nasdaq Supercolossal Bubbles (1995 to present day).

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

11 months

Operation Nasdaq End Game: Notice MACD and how similar 2000 was to current Tech Mega Bubble. Same "Return to Normal" trap.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

Got several requests for Log Scale version (% changes, not absolute) of Nasdaq Big Picture chart breakdown. Added a few more details as well.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

Head & Shoulders Chart Pattern on S&P 500 is still very much in play.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

FDIC is supposed to protect your account in bank failure up to $250k. Officially, it apparently has about 1.3% of cash it would need to replace all insured deposits. On a typical day, it has $50 bill. Current commercial bank deposits are nearly $18 trill. What does that tell you?

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

3 years

Things you don't see at stock market bottoms...

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

3 months

Roaring Kitty returning marks the end and top of the Return to "Normal" (Abnormal) Phase of the Super Bubble. The multi-year mania is concluding.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

Holy hell...Black Monday?

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

3 years

We've got Fed Chairs with $100 mill portfolios printing hog wild. We've got Fed President's flipping stocks. We've got members of Congress trading on inside info. Lunacy is out of control. It's a damn fugazi festival. U.S. needs a Teddy Roosevelt like figure to kick some ass.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

Severe recession confirmed...

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

Love him, hate him, or don't know him, Bannon is 100% right on this point about the Fed. People are starting to wake up on a larger level and it's beautiful.

Benny Johnson

@bennyjohnson

2 years

BANNON: "The Federal Reserve has usurped its power and the power of the American people and our elected representatives"

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

Carl Icahn is apparently betting on CPLie coming in hot (release date is February 14th at 8:30am). Bought a $5 bill position (notional) in $SPX puts. 4050 strike that expires on February 17th.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

Yellen says she "still believes that the U.S. economy (Stonk Matrix) could have a soft landing." *Check out this New York Times headline from 2007 right before financial crash. "Fed Chairman projects soft landing for U.S. economy." It's a fools paradise.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

9 months

Cramer tried to sell you on a soft landing win near top of the Mother Of All Bubbles. Never forget it...

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

@disclosetv How about $800 million to fight homelessness and improve education in the United States?

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

3 years

Called this number and got Nancy Pelosi's voicemail...

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 month

The initial drop will be a swift 7% followed by a circuit breaker. Then it will quickly escalate to 15%. There will be no shorts to create a floor with buys to cover. Panic will set in after dip buys fail for the first time.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

3 months

Prepare for crash. Don't say you weren't warned. Don't say there were no signs. Don't say nobody could see it coming.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

4 months

Greatest Top Signal in history.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

3 years

Breaking: Yellen reverses position on raising rates after Pelosi takes $SPY call position.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

5 months

"A 45-degree angle in finance means one thing - fraud." -- Harry Markopolos *Wonder what he'd think of this 80-degree angle in the Staged & Political 500.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

5 months

"Jerome, what happened to your balls? I can't feel a thing."

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

Fed's Balance Sheet has jumped 3.5% since March 8th (just a week ago). Conveniently, since bank crisis began. This of course is inflationary!

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

4 months

Mother Of All Dow Jones Bubbles is due for major correction.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

Bear Flag within a Bear Triangle Chart Pattern on S&P 500. Scenario has an extremely high bearish achievement probability.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

9 months

Just a friendly reminder. Don't get caught in the Fear Of Missing Out trap. Minsky Moment can be fatal.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

Updated version of Bear Flag within Bear Triangle Chart Pattern on S&P 500. Used a shorter duration of 3 years so it's easier to see.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

Bear Flag Chart Pattern - S&P 500.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

2008 vs 2022 $SPY chart is still very interesting. Continues to run in tandem.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

Tweeted a little while back on potential Head & Shoulders Pattern developing on S&P 500. Looking more like it may be setting up. Below is an updated version of the chart.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

Below chart shows big picture S&P 500 (log scale) overlapping 1yr Treasury Yield (has hit 5%). Checkout what happened last time.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

4 months

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said the Fed is a "criminal agency, a vacuum cleaner for Wall Street to shift wealth upward to this Kleptocracy" and that "the Fed is captured by Wall Street." He's 100% correct. Have preached on this for years via Twitter.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

Market Cap to GDP (Buffett's top indicator of overvaluation) is now back to a crazy 175% - significantly overvalued. This is well beyond the peak of 2000 internet super bubble insanity. Fact is simple...anyone chasing the indices here is on a fool's errand by overpaying big time.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

3 years

You are here...'Return to normal' phase of the super bubble.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

4 months

Powell gearing up to raise interest rates to 7%.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

One of the biggest things nobody has talked about...Fed quietly reduced the Reserve Requirement from 10% to 0% in midst of Covid crash March 2020. Banks are no longer required to keep any cash in their vaults.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

3 years

@CathieDWood @thelastguevara Cathie, you got lucky on the Tesla call and were a product of unprecedented euphoria and Fed liquidity. Just be honest with people.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

@unusual_whales Uh oh, another bailout baby crying for a treat. What's Cuban's exposure? He's supposed to be an entrepreneurial free market Capitalist.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

Does everyone smell that? The whiff of roasted Black Swan is in the air.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

3 years

Ahead of 1929 crash, celebrities were pumping stocks like no tomorrow and stocks were making all-time highs. No, they didn't have social media, but they did have radio. Sound familiar?

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

"Inflation is transitory." New Household Currency is up like 500% since Covid and not declining! Hyperinflation type activity. Most are saving that cash and using credit card debt instead. It's keeping velocity low temporarily. This is serious friends. Something's bound to break.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

Wilshire 5000 is an index that tracks performance of entire U.S. stock "market." Other proxies contain as little as a few hundred companies or less (S&P 500/Dow Jones). Below is the big picture scenario...

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

As cautioned in past tweets, if everything is sound with the banking system, why did the Fed have to resort to a Zero Reserve Requirement stealth style in midst of the great Covid wealth transfer bamboozle?

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

Ultimate Fed/political insider Blackrock has increased their $SPY put position by 517% and $QQQ put position buy 1433%.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

Those chasing $AAPL must not have listened to the conference call. CFO said Q1 revenue will decelerate compared to September quarter. He also said Mac revenue will decline substantially in holiday quarter. So much for "forward looking."

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

On February 27th 2008, then Fed Chair Ben Bernanke said he sees "no recession." S&P 500 was at roughly 1400. It went on to drop over 50% to its 666 bottom in 2009.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

3 years

The Golden Age of Fraud. When are U.S. leaders going to check this BS?

Dallas Fed’s Robert Kaplan Was Active Buyer and Seller of Stocks Last Year

Dallas Fed leader Robert Kaplan made multiple million-dollar-plus stock trades in 2020, according to a financial disclosure form provided by his bank, in contrast with other regional Fed leaders who...

www.wsj.com

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

NY Fed trading desks and Treasury Exchange Stabilization Fund are working hard to keep Ponzi afloat (much less effective) - QE style. Yellen's an ex-central banker and it smells political. Obvious intervention is testament that there's no "free market." It's prolonging inflation.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

3 years

David Hunter waiting for his "melt-up."

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

Michael Lewis (author of Flash Boys, Liar's Poker, The Big Short) said "U.S. stock market, the most iconic market in global capitalism, is rigged." When asked who is rigging it, he stated a "combination of the stock exchanges, big Wall Street banks, and high-frequency traders."

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

@unusual_whales And let's not forget this little doozy as well...

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@BP_Rising

2 years

@financialjuice But of course they didn't mind taxpayers covering big bank losses in the 08' financial crisis.

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@BP_Rising

2 years

In 2000 super bubble burst S&P 500 dropped 50%. In 2008 financial crisis it dropped around 65%. It's only down 20% from highs here. Far worse for Nasdaq in 2000 (80%). Does Serfdom really believe a much larger everything bubble with egregious debt/inflation ends in anything less?

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

Inflation since Federal Reserve founding in 1913 has risen roughly 3000%. Most are unaware that it is compounding.

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@BP_Rising

1 year

Inflation has never come down once above 5% without a Fed Funds Rate higher than CPI. There has never been a soft landing once inflation got above the 4.5% level. Let that sink in a minute.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

Capitulation of Big Short's Michael Burry is one of the most bearish signs you could ever see. That's looking at the forest, not the trees. Most everyone is too hyperfocused on daily/hourly indices price action which entirely drives their sentiment. They're not seeing full scope.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

10 months

Due to Fed Cat Bounce™️ Indices (Dow, Nasdaq, S&P) went from 18 RSI to 90 RSI (monthly) in just 5 business days - insane. Now in Downward Channel Pattern. Just like that it's back to extreme overbought territory.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

Double Top Chart Pattern on S&P 500 in 4200 vicinity (if right side of Head & Shoulders was to not hold). Keep in mind, resistance is never a perfect science. It's often brought just above it for max trapping into rug pull.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

Well, well, well, look at what we have here. It's time to start telling it like it is...The Stonk Matrix is rigged and the Fed is political. No more sugar coating it.

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@BP_Rising

1 year

If a citizen steals a car, they get a prison sentence. If a central banker steals an entire nations purchasing power, they get a Nobel Prize in Economics.

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@BP_Rising

2 years

Serious question...is everyone prepared for the Debtpocalypse?

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@BP_Rising

2 years

Market Cap to GDP (Buffett's overvaluation indicator) is still higher than peak of the insane 2000 Internet super bubble before it burst at 150%. Inflation and debt levels were nowhere close to today. Let that sink in a moment.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

"And then we told them we're projecting a 'mild' recession..."

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

3 years

One of the most bearish current signals of Mega Bubble top is perceived bears ZeroHedge and NorthmanTrader recently appearing to turn bullish. Highly characteristic of 'End of Cycle.' Never forget it.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

1 year

In case anyone wonders why indices would prop green today with multiple bank failures...More treasury bids today (QE) and NY Fed was buying futures last night via their two trading floors at Chicago Futures Exchange. Fed is like a hedge fund with a digital inflation/debt printer.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

Chart breakdown on the Nasdaq scenario.

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@BP_Rising

2 years

Buybacks are out of control. This kind of thing happens at tops and precedes crashes. Imagine if this cash went to hiring and R&D.

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@BP_Rising

1 year

Big jump in Charles Schwab $SCHW Credit Default Swaps is probably nothing. Animal Spirits should just bury their heads in the sand Ostrich-style and ignore it.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

3 years

Market Cap to GDP is the top indicator Buffett uses to gauge an overvalued market. It's now a mind blowing 205%. This is far worse than the insane 2000 bubble. It was less than 150%.

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@BP_Rising

3 years

This may be the biggest sign of market top yet. @Fundstrat @CNBC

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@BP_Rising

1 year

Below chart is testament that Nasdaq IS the Money Supply/CPI (fugazi). Pay attention to what happened in 2000 and 2007 super bubbles after similar aggressive upward Rate of Change in Fed Funds Rate (bottom).

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

2 years

S&P 500 drops into red around 11:10 am. At 11:15 am there's a tweet that Fed bids on $13 billion in Treasuries. Not long after, Fed rate jawbone rhetoric from Vice Chair Brainard appears. S&P 500 goes green. This is pure mark manipulation folks.

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Minsky Moment

@BP_Rising

5 months

What you witnessed today is just a small taste of what's to come - a warning shot over the bow. Wait until you experience a bidless algorithmic 7% collapse in a single day, with no shorts to create a floor. It's terrifying how the masses are totally out of touch with reality.

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@BP_Rising

26 days

Sell your stonks. Sell your real estate. Sell your vehicles. Sell it all. These highly artificially inflated prices simply aren't real. Soon people will see and it'll be too late. Don't say Minsky didn't warn you.

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@BP_Rising

2 years

Overheard at a Wall Street get together over the weekend..."The music stopped 6 months ago, but the bourgeoisie are just now starting to wake up."

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@BP_Rising

1 month

@davidicke Exactly David. The Order wasn't trying to take him out. They were trying to make him a hero for reinstallation. That's why a 20 year old actor from a Deep BlackRock commercial was used. As you know, The Order controls and plays both sides.

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@BP_Rising

2 years

Things you do when you know you're largely responsible for a coming depression. Is the Fed fence an admission of guilt?

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@BP_Rising

1 year

Imagine being a simpleton that actually believes inflation is "coming down." It's only risen hockey stick style since gold standard removal 1971 (perpetual and compounding).

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