ElliottWaveTrader @AviGilburt Twitter profile

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

1 year

As we approach our target for wave iii of 3 in #silver , I am expecting a bounce to begin in the near term for wave iv of 3. It is during this bounce that we begin to see positive divergences developing on the 144-minute MACD. So, let's have a bit more patience and allow a

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

11 months

Bigger picture time. I am seeing signs of bottoming across the board. Whether we need that lower low or not, my expectation is that we are setting up a nice "bounce." Furthermore, as long as this drop does not directly take us to the 4205SPX region (as I explained in today's

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

1 year

Our latest #SentimentSpeaks article: " #Silver May Explode"

Sentiment Speaks: Silver May Explode

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

10 months

Bigger picture time. As they say, the easy part is now done. Off support, we expected a rally back to 4300+. And, it seems to have happened quite quickly. Now, this is going to get tougher. Yes, I am expecting a pullback. I am still not sure if that pullback will begin from

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

11 months

I know everyone wants to get the absolute lower price for a trade when they have a plan. But it is not often that you are able to grab the absolute lowest price to the penny. For this reason, we scale in and out of positions. So, when you are making decisions on your #silver

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

3 years

EWT's @LynAldenContact presented at the Virtual @MoneyShow this week analyzing $SPX valuations based on multiple methods. View the recording of Lyn's presentation: "Is The S&P 500 In A Bubble?"

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

1 month

We hit the 222 target in $IWM . . . and, yes, it still can extend just north of the 225 region in the 1.382 extension region. But, it is now due for a 4th wave pullback. 213 region is now the .382 support for green wave (iv).

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

28 days

Posted earlier to our members: "However you want to look at this - whether we need one more lower low or not - the MACD is more oversold on the 60-minute $SPX than it has been in a long time. And, since we do not have a clear 5 wave decline off the highs, I am assuming we are

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

8 days

#Silver is playing out rather well. As long as we hold this support box, the next time we take out those recent highs and move through the box will likely put us into the 3rd wave of wave i of 3. And, of course, if we break the support, it opens the door to the dreaded lower

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

11 months

This decline structure in ES (Emini S&P 500) has been following the script almost perfectly for some time. So, as long as we do not see a break out through the resistance box, I am looking for a lower low in wave (v) of 5. Of course, should we break out through that resistance

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

3 years

In her latest “Where Fundamentals Meet Technicals” series for our Stock Waves service at EWT, @LynAldenContact looks at an energy stock and a Chinese stock, which also do a good job of representing their sectors in her view.

Where Fundamentals Meet Technicals: From Energy To China

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

6 months

Clearly, the next step for $SPX is to take out the pivot. Once we get through the pivot the ideal target for wave (iii) is the 100 extension in the 5220SPX region, and the pivot box will then become support for wave (iv).

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

9 months

If we get a corrective pullback to the box in #silver , and then break back out over the high of wave 1, that is a VERY bullish indication.

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

4 months

Bigger picture in $SPX: While we have broken below the uptrend channels, and the positive divergence has broken, we are still over 5091SPX - for now - and the MACD is still within its support region for this uptrend. So, again, it highlights how important it is for us to see a

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

1 year

4499 $SPX is the IDEAL target for wave 2. And, any move beyond 4515SPX would get me concerned about this set up.

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

2 years

EWT analyst @LynAldenContact looks at companies that have both good fundamentals & technicals, focusing her latest #WhereFundamentalsMeetTechnicals column on Mercado Libre ($MELI) and the banking sector.

Where Fundamentals Meet Technicals: MELI, JPM

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

9 months

I have made it no secret that I am expecting a long term bear market as we look towards the 2nd half of this decade, which can potentially last well into the 2030's. But, the question that still remains unanswered is if it has already begun, and if we are setting up for a market

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

3 years

Where Is The Market Heading For The Rest Of 2021? Join @LynAldenContact and myself tomorrow as we discuss where U.S. equity indices, precious metals, energy stocks and more are headed for the rest of 2021 and beyond. Register here:

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

6 months

ES is continuing to extend, but it really does not change the overall view. I think this is likely the (a) wave start to the bigger wave 4 pullback. So, once we do get a bottom to wave 3, I am still expecting a 4-5 to complete the c-wave of the (a) wave.

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

10 months

Due to the manner in which #Silver futures (SI) reacted right at the top of resistance, I would have to assume that the probability for the yellow count has now increased. Therefore, we would need to break out over today's high to make that a significantly lower likelihood.

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

11 months

Big picture time again. We are approaching the MAIN resistance now between 4375-4401 $SPX. This is the main resistance which must be overcome to suggest that the green count is about to go to the trash heap. Of course, I need to a further move through 4551SPX to invalidate it.

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

11 months

No surprises in #silver yet. But, if we take out yesterday's high, it could mark a bottom. Again, I need to see us getting through 24.30 still . . assuming we do not get a lower low. For now, lower low remains the expectation.

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

10 months

A break down below 4345 $SPX confirms the (b) wave pullback is likely in progress.

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

9 months

It would seem that people do not want to hear that their banks have any issues. This tells me that most market participants are still quite oblivious to the issues we see in the bank balance sheets or are simply choosing to ignore them. Therefore, it seems that there are very few

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

9 months

From yest's "Market Update": As I outlined our expectation last week and over the weekend, we have now reached our next resistance region in the 4540-4560 $SPX region. And, I would reasonably expect a pullback from here. However ...

At Next Resistance - Market Analysis for Nov 20th, 2023

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

11 months

Unless we start seeing a break down below 29, I think we may get another push higher in this rally in $GDX.

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

24 days

With $IWM looking like 5 waves down off today's high, I am seeing the yellow path taking the lead here. If we see a corrective bounce today then we are looking for a drop to complete a 4th wave flat.

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

1 year

$DXY finally closing in on my 105-106 target for this b-wave, despite it taking the scenic route. And, impulsive drop below 103 signals that the c-wave down is in progress.

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

5 months

From yesterday's market update on the $SPX: In its simplest view, as long as we remain over 5091 $SPX, the bulls still remain in control for now.

Multi-Day Pullback?

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

4 months

EWT's Lyn Alden Schwartzer @LynAldenContact looks at the S&P 500 to #Gold ratio in her latest #WhereFundamentalsMeetTechnicals report on EWT:

Where Fundamentals Meet Technicals: Stocks vs Gold

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

11 months

Folks, I am keeping a close eye on the $IWM now. This structure really looks like a (b) wave triangle. While I am yet sure if the e-wave is done, I would certainly prefer one more lower low before it is completed. And, as long as we remain below the 181/182 resistance, that is

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

7 months

Is that all the b-wave bounce we get in $SPX? I don't think it is likely, but it is certainly possible. A sustained break down below yesterday's low would increase that potential. But, it just seems to0 small and to0 shallow for it to be all of the b-wave. (From EWT room

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

11 months

The $DXY has still not broken down micro support outlined by the red line on the 21 minute chart. This still leaves the door open for an extension towards 106. But, for those focused on the bigger picture, we should be starting the c-wave down in the not too distant future.

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

4 years

On 2/27 Lyn Alden Schwartzer wrote in her weekly "Where Fundamentals Meet Technicals" column that high valuations supported the technical view that the correction should go a lot deeper. See article...then add our Stock Waves service at EWT to follow Lyn:

Where Fundamentals Meet Technicals: The Dark Side

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

4 months

$SPX: From the looks of the current action, it would seem the market is simply engaged in an ongoing b-wave consolidation ...

b-Wave Consolidation - Market Analysis for Apr 8th, 2024

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

10 months

From earlier today on $SPX: If the (b) wave done in shallow fashion? Maybe. Still not a lot of solid structure to work with just yet. But, as long as this continues to look corrective, it supports the bottom being in place.

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

1 month

#Silver $SI hit the 1.00 extension down . . . now it is a question if all bounces hold the pivot resistance . . . for if we take it out in impulsive fashion, that tells me we are getting that higher high in wave 5 of i. Key point over the next 24 hours.

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

6 years

Bigger picture I think we are in a b-wave rally in a larger degree 4th wave which still has lower downside targets to attain. On the micro count, my primary expectation is a drop below 2600 $SPX for a [b] wave pullback within this b-wave rally.

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

1 year

As long as we do not break 4465 $SPX in impulsive fashion over the next day or two, then I am looking higher to 4800.

Bulls Are Trying To Take Control

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

5 years

Delighted to announce that Carolyn Boroden (aka FibQueen) will be joining our ElliottWaveTrader analyst team! She will be providing charts and videos on U.S. equity indices, metals and stocks based on her Fibonacci time & price analysis

Carolyn Boroden Joins EWT

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

6 years

As long as we remain below 2755 in the Emini S&P 500 (ES), I am expecting this rally to set up the decline in the c-wave of the green (b) wave on the 5-min chart. Though still expecting to reach the 2820 $SPX region after that (see 60-min chart).

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

10 months

Here is a cleaned up version. If the (a) wave continues to push higher, I will have to adjust the target/support box for (b). We need a sustained break down below 4340/45 $SPX for an initial signal that the [a] wave has indeed topped.

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

10 months

If you follow mainstream financial media, you have probably noticed that most of them are saying that the liquidity crisis in the U.S. banking system has ended and is unlikely to repeat. In fact, Jerome Powell just said that "banks are generally well capitalized and highly liquid

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

6 years

$SPX: Hints that a bottom may be in place...

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

7 years

This 4th wave should take at least several more wks, even potentially til May. But since our larger degree target for this pullback is 2424-2539 $SPX, I'd be strongly looking to buy stocks I want to ride in rally to 3000+ once our cash index target is hit

Charts on S&P 500 (INX)

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

6 years

$SPX has to break down below 2575/80 support to suggest it's in (b) wave pullback in larger b wave up-move (see 60-min chart). Should see another rally into spring before completing rally off Dec lows.

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

8 months

I will need to see a 5-wave move off the low to suggest that the c-wave in $GDX has begun. Thus far, this is only 3.

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

9 months

EWT crypto analyst Ryan Wilday writes (from last night): " #Bitcoin has solidly moved into my previous red count which is now black. And, the new red count is a more bullish alternative....With a sustained break over $42K, it is clear that Bitcoin is at least in my previous red

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

7 months

Here's Part 2 of our "How To Know If We Are Heading For A Depression" series:

Sentiment Speaks: How To Know If We Are Heading For A Depression - Part 2

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

5 months

The market mood seems to be turning towards extreme bullishness. Read our latest #SentimentSpeaks article:

Sentiment Speaks: It Is Time For A Serious Dose Of Caution

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

4 years

As we came into 2020, my primary expectation was for the stock market to top out, and provide us with a c-wave decline towards the 2200 $SPX region. Let's take a look at how our expectations played out and where we're headed next: #elliottwave

Time To Assess Where We Are In 2020 And What Is Yet To Come For 2021

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

5 months

EWT senior analyst Mike Golembesky on the $SPX/ES: "We are trading flat this morning but consolidating overnight. So I think it is likely that we will continue to push higher today, and as long as we can hold over the 5230 level on the SPX I will continue to look higher. We

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

5 years

This Is The Chart You Need To Show Your Children And Grandchildren $SPX $SPY #elliottwave

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

10 months

Our latest #SentimentSpeaks : The Bears May Get What They Want - A Market Crash

Sentiment Speaks: The Bears May Get What They Want - A Market Crash

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

9 months

On Nov 13, our metals analysts added long Wave Setups in gold $GC and silver $SI futures. @ZacMannes noted that GC, which was trading at $1939 at the time after retracing in a b wave off its October high, "ideally should hold now as all of b," which in fact it did. Gold

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

6 years

Are We Approaching A “Once-In-A-Century” Type Event In The Stock Market?

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

11 months

Do we rally or crash into 2024? See my latest #SentimentSpeaks article:

Sentiment Speaks: Do We Rally Or Crash Into 2024?

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

7 months

Final installment in our series, "How To Know If We Are Heading For A Depression" ...

Sentiment Speaks: How To Know If We Are Heading For A Depression - Final Installment

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

8 months

Where's #Bitcoin Going in 2024? In a word, higher, writes EWT's Jason Appel:

Where’s Bitcoin Going In 2024?

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

6 months

This from EWT senior analyst Mike Golembesky: "ES - I am moving resistance down to the 4992-5003 zone. As long as we remain under that zone the near-term pressure remains down. Otherwise, there is no change to the count."

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

4 years

$SPX today confirmed the start of a larger pullback we've been expecting, after just days ago striking within pennies of the ideal target I outlined over the last few weeks in the 3234 region. #elliottwave

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

16 days

Posted today by a member of our room on SA:

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

5 months

"How To Tell When This Bull Market Will End" ... view video of Zac Mannes' & Garrett Patten's recent @MoneyShow presentation:

How To Tell When This Bull Market Will End

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

10 months

Do You Care About #Gold ? Well, You Should ... ... #SentimentSpeaks

Sentiment Speaks: Do You Care About Gold? Well, You Should

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

2 years

Are We Ready For 4100 $SPX?

Are We Ready For 4100SPX?

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

4 years

See latest "Where Fundamentals Meet Technicals" column by EWT's @LynAldenContact covering the #uranium sector as well as $UNH and $BKNG ...

Where Fundamentals Meet Technicals: Uranium, UNH, BKNG

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

6 years

More Downside Still Likely $SPX #ElliottWave

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

5 years

The Stock Market Is Not Looking Healthy $SPX $SPY $ES_F #elliottwave

The Stock Market Is Not Looking Healthy

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

8 months

Our latest #SentimentSpeaks : Is It 1929 All Over Again?

Sentiment Speaks: Is It 1929 All Over Again?

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

1 year

As long as over last week's low on $SPX, bulls can take control ...

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

2 years

EWT's very own @QueenOfFibs on @MadMoneyOnCNBC ... learn more about Carolyn's work here:

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

3 years

Where Is The S&P 500 Headed For The Rest Of 2021 & Beyond? View my video from Wed's @MoneyShow ....

Where Is The S&P 500 Headed For The Rest Of 2021 & Beyond?

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

5 years

Bottoming In Progress For Metals $GLD $GDX $SI_F #elliottwave

Bottoming In Progress For Metals

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

4 years

You should ALWAYS focus your efforts on the primary trend, and ONLY trade counter-trend when you have a low risk set up in place. This brings me to where we now reside in the $SPX -- view article: #elliottwave

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

10 months

EWT's Rida Morwa writes: "We are starting to see conditions that indicate a recession might be near. What has been unclear is what the catalyst will be. The economy is getting precarious, valuations of large-cap companies are excessive, the burden of Fed rate hikes is starting

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

6 years

Primary $SPX count still has us looking for the top to this [a] wave imminently despite how extended it has become.

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

3 years

Analysis of the S&P 500 from our @MoneyShow Accredited Investors Virtual Expo presentation a week ago:

The Path Ahead For The S&P 500 In 2022

Avi Gilburt, founder of https://www.ElliottWaveTrader.net and host of The Market Pinball Wizard at Seeking Alpha, shares his wave counts on U.S. equity indic...

www.youtube.com

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

8 months

Our latest #SentimentSpeaks : You Will Get Too Bullish In 2024 ...

Sentiment Speaks: You Will Get Too Bullish In 2024

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

2 years

Due to the break of the pivot yesterday, the market has left us in a very complicated posture. I am going to try to explain the potentials so that you can understand the difficulties.

Trying To Make Sense Of This Mess

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

4 years

Near-term topping for $SPX? See new article series by "Fibonacci Queen and Elliott Wave King":

Fibonacci Queen and Elliott Wave King Market Proclamation

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

2 years

#SentimentSpeaks ... Many do not view a very long-term bear market as a possibility, but #ElliottWave analysis suggests that an upcoming #bearmarket can last between 7 and 20 years.

Sentiment Speaks: Major Market Topping Considerations

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

4 years

I've been harping all week about how important the 3115 $SPX support is. Until we actually see a sustained break of that important .618 extension -- off of which the market bounced today -- the market retains potential to rally much higher in coming weeks

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

6 years

Seems lower lows in $GLD #gold becoming more likely

Seems Lower Lows in Gold & Miners Becoming More Likely

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

4 years

EWT members were alerted to this yesterday: "I want to caution you that if this set up triggers over the coming day or two, we could very well see a 2-3% down day once we break down below yesterday’s low."

Is The Market Lulling You To Sleep?

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

5 years

Why we see a high likelihood the market will break down in the coming weeks... $SPX $SPY $ES_F #elliottwave

Setting Up A Break Down

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

5 years

$SPX: The Top Is In, But What Top Is It?

The Top Is In, But What Top Is It?

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

3 years

You may not believe my 2021 $SPX targets ...

Sentiment Speaks: You May Not Believe My 2021 Targets

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

5 years

Let’s put this market into appropriate context: For the last two and a half months, we have been playing ping pong within the same region as we bounce between 2820 and 3000 on the $SPX...

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

11 months

Late morning on Thursday, we wrote: "Just stay on your toes, as once this downside completes, assuming this is indeed an ending diagonal for this 5th wave, we should see a very strong reversal which can take us back towards the ellipse overhead.” See $SPX chart at the time and

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

1 month

EWT senior crypto analyst Ryan Wilday @rwilday writes: " #Bitcoin has gone sideways for four months, causing many to wonder if the bull market is over. While no one can predict the future, so far this action is a run-of-the-mill bullish consolidation that provides the launch pad

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

4 years

See my weekend article: "This Pavlovian Market Is Training You Well – But Prepare To Pay The Piper" $SPX

Sentiment Speaks: This Pavlovian Market Is Training You Well – But Prepare To Pay The Piper

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

2 years

From Monday's MarketUpdate: "I have added pivots to the chart, as well as a support on the SPX chart between 3875-3915...As long as we now hold over support, and then break out through the pivot, we have the potential to continue higher towards 4150+..."

Initial Signs Of A Bottom

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

2 years

Our Market Update from yesterday:

Still Expecting A Sizable Rally

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

5 years

For months, I have been looking for the $DXY to take us up to the 99/100 region to complete this corrective [b] wave rally. And, we may finally be on our way to striking that top.

DXY – Heading For A Top

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

11 months

To say that I feel blessed truly does not express my deepest feelings of gratitude at this time as we now celebrate our 12th anniversary at Elliottwavetrader....

A Humble Thank You

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

1 year

The latest in our #SentimentSpeaks series ...

Sentiment Speaks: A New Bull Market Has Begun

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

6 years

$SPX likely heading up to the 2600 region to complete the c-wave of (a) sooner rather than later.

Eyeing 2600 SPX Region

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

30 days

Our latest article on #Gold :

Sentiment Speaks: Rarely Have I Seen Something This Ridiculous

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

10 months

#Gold going to $5000 "soon" - are you kidding me? See our article on Kitco ...

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ElliottWaveTrader

@AviGilburt

2 years

The #bondmarket is finally bottoming out over the coming months and should begin a major rally into 2023, as we discuss in our latest #SentimentSpeaks article ...

Sentiment Speaks: Big Bond Rally Is Coming Despite The Fed

www.elliottwavetrader.net

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