Aurel Nazmiu @AurelNz Twitter profile

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

Could Arsenal hold the record for the longest period in 1st without winning the Premier League?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

4 months

What does the data tell us about the Premier League title race this season relative to others? 📉

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Just to put into context the quality of the Saudi League - our models rate it as worse than League One but better than League Two…

Fabrizio Romano

@FabrizioRomano

2 years

Cristiano Ronaldo: “It's not the end of my career in Saudi Arabia. Many people speak… but they know nothing about football. I know here the league is very competitive”. 🟡🇸🇦 #Ronaldo “I don't care about people saying things about this choice. I took my decision, I am happy”.

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

How big is the pay disparity among the big 5 leagues?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

14 days

R. Sterling made his league debut at 17 but at 29 finds himself out-of-favour at club and int level. Given the number of minutes he's played, is he actually 'older' than 29 in football terms? Yes...

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

The @SkyBetChamp starts this week. Here are our pre-season predictions:

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

6 months

How does the result from the Man City vs. Arsenal match this weekend impact the title chances of the top 3?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

What were the most unlikely @SkyBetChamp results this season?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

4 years

How unlucky have Liverpool really been with injuries this season?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

With all World Cup squads now announced - which nations have the highest quality players?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

Brighton 1 - 5 Everton has been the most unlikely result this season

Barstool Football

@StoolFootball

1 year

What’s been the most SHOCKING result so far this PL season? 🤔📊

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

11 months

Which countries tend to keep their top talent playing in their domestic league?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

Latest @SkyBetChamp projections: 5 teams with pretty much nothing to play for...

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

8 months

Do players perform better or worse when their team is behind?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

Latest @SkyBetChamp projections:

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

How have mid season manager appointments in the big 5 leagues done this season?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

Which mid-season Premier League appointments had the biggest impact?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

7 months

Brentford have lost 10 of their last 12 Premier League games but the data suggests they've been the 4th most unlucky team in Europe and should have about ~10 more points based on underlying numbers.

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

What impact does a 🔴red card have at different points in a match?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

3 months

Euro squads have now been announced. What does the data tell us about quality? - 🇩🇪 have the strongest squad on paper - 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 are second but dragged down slightly by some players - 🇫🇷 smallest range in quality between players - 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 biggest range in quality

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

The Real Madrid comeback recently made me think “when is a lead safe?” Historically only 7% teams have won after being 2-0 down in the first 15. Cc @FootballCliches

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

8 months

Klopp's impact at Liverpool has been enormous

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

11 of the 30 most important winning goals in the Big 5 leagues have been in the Premier League this season. Will likely be up there as one of the best seasons ever.

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

5 months

Just how efficient have Luton Town been this season?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

3 years

What have been some of the most important winning goals this @premierleague season in terms of shifting probabilities of title/top_4/relegation chances? #Jeopardy

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

4 years

When do players actually peak? And how is it different across positions?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

Summary of @SkyBetChamp :

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Matchday 38 in the @SkyBetChamp ... Title: - Fulham still favourites Promotion play-offs: - Nott Forest (+12.1%) - Luton (+10.6%) now above 50% - Huddersfield (-12.8%) - QPR (-13.6%) damaging defeat against Forest - Sheff Utd (-14.3%) Relegation: - Barnsley now flip of a coin

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Summary of @SkyBetChamp GW: Auto-prom: - Burnley + Sheff Utd should be returning to the PL Prom play-offs: - Big wins for Blackburn (+12%) & Norwich (+13%) - Millwall, Watford & West Brom dropped by ~10% Rel: - Rotherham & Cardiff improved chances by ~10%

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

3 years

Over 75% of the @SkyBetChamp season now complete... Title: - Fulham (+8.6%) Auto promotion: - Bournemouth (-5.1%) - H'field (+3.6%) Promotion playoff: - QPR (-16.2%) - M'boro (+10.5%) Relegation: - Derby win takes them to 80% - Reading above 50% now

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

The World Cup is almost upon us. Who is most likely to win?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

4 months

Manchester United's injury problems have been a consistent theme however other teams have had even worse luck this season...three of which are higher than United in the league table

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

3 years

What impact did the @premierleague results from this weekend have on: - Title - Top Four - Relegation

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

Latest @SkyBetChamp GW: Auto-prom: - Sheff Utd (+15%) edging closer, helped by M'boro loss Prom play-offs: - Luton likely to be involved for a 2nd season - Norwich, Watford & Coventry dropped by ~8% Rel: - Biggest swing was Huddersfield (+21% safer) - Cardiff almost at 40%

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

Summary of @premierleague GW: Title: - 14% swing as City could win it this weekend Top 4: - Utd back in a strong position (+11%) - Liverpool still 1-in-4 Rel: - Big draw for Forest, 14% more likely to stay up - Despite losing, Everton are still predicted to finish 17th

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

What are some of the most exciting matches to watch this weekend?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Most exciting matches this week:

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

7 months

Does German football have a new leader?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Matchday 43 @SkyBetChamp (AKA Colback GW) Title: - Fulham play tonight Promotion play-offs: - N'Forest, Huddersfield & Luton are now almost certain - Sheff Utd flip of a coin - Millwall about 1-in-5 - M'Boro down 17.5% Relegation: - Derby down - Reading <1%

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

7 months

How did yesterday's Liverpool team rank in terms of age relative to other domestic cup winners?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

13 days

🔵Brighton have spent ~€200m 💶 this window, only Chelsea have spent more so far in the Premier League. However, they've tended to pay their players fairly ⚖️ and been able to extract more 📈 value for money than most other Premier League sides relative to their wage spending.

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

4 months

What's happened to Liverpool recently? Since gameweek 28, no Premier League team has underperformed their non-penalty xG more than Liverpool. That's ultimately cost them when it matters most.

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Matchday 40 @SkyBetChamp ... Title: - Fulham should have this in the bag soon Promotion play-off: - 3 teams now on >70% - Massive wins for Huddersfield + Nott'm Forest who both increase by >14% Relegation: - Barnsley needed a win against Reading. Draw takes them close to 80%

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Most exciting big 5 matches to watch this weekend: A few big clashes in Serie A & Premier League

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Where do the best players from each @premierleague rank compared to the Premier League average? And where might clubs need to focus recruitment efforts? - Arsenal desperately need a better CF - Leicester remain weak in defence - Leeds have a top heavy squad

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

Summary of @SkyBetChamp GW: Play-offs: - Millwall chances still 50/50 but dropped by 15% - Coventry almost 1-in-4 now Rel: - Blackpool dropped by 17% - Huddersfield still fighting

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

How did wages correlate to performance in the Premier League?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

Latest @SkyBetChamp projections: Prom play-offs: - 5 teams have a chance of claiming the final 2 positions Rel: - 3 teams still have a chance of finishing 22nd but Reading most likely (86%)

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

6 months

I think we have our first 100% jeopardy...

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Summary of @SkyBetChamp GW: Auto-prom: - Sheff Utd still >70% but saw a 5% dip Prom play-offs: - Big win for Millwall (+12%) who are now almost ~50% - Luton + Sunderland both dropped by 8% Rel: - Biggest swing was Rotherham's survival chances, down by 13%

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

Most exciting Big 5 matches this weekend: 🎯 Quality = Arsenal vs Spurs 📈 Jeopardy = PSG vs Marseille ⚡ Connection = A. Madrid vs R. Madrid

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

3 years

How do the new signings at Newcastle compare to what they already had?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

5 months

A 29th minute red card like the one last night dents a teams win probability by about 18% on average. Barcelona were winning the tie 4-2 at that point. Even if Barcola scored, the impact would’ve been less than that of playing with 10 for at least 60 minutes.

Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

What impact does a 🔴red card have at different points in a match?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Matchday 41 @SkyBetChamp ... Title: - Fulham are playing the long game Promotion play-offs: - Four clear favourites at the moment - Massive loss for M'Boro (-17%), down to 1-in-3 - Blackburn still have a chance, also 1-in-3 Relegation: - Not much change, Reading getting closer

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Summary of @SkyBetChamp GW: Auto-prom: - Burnley + Sheff Utd edging closer Prom play-offs: - 7 teams with a greater than 30% chance - Sunderland + Watford saw >10% drops Rel: - Rotherham 7% safer despite not playing

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Awoniyi has scored 3 winners for Forest this season that have had a >10% impact on their survival chances.

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

6 months

Liverpool host Man City this weekend. What result would be best for Arsenal's title chances?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

4 years

La Liga was used to having almost half of the top 50 players in the world. That number has gradually been decreasing, last season it stood at just 10. Could it drop even further in 2020/21? @21stClub

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

9 months

The @premierleague title race just got interesting...

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Matchday 42 @SkyBetChamp yesterday Title: - Fulham need to wrap this up Promotion play-offs: - Huddersfield are now > 90% - Massive win for Luton (+29%) takes them to 84% - Sheff Utd drop heavily but still >50% - Blackburn 1-in-6 now Relegation: - Reading are almost safe (4%)

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Which World Cup players are most likely to move in January?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

Summary of @SkyBetChamp GW: Auto-prom: - Sheff Utd dropped by 15% - M'Boro now have a 1-in-4 chance Prom play-offs: - Massive win for Luton (+17%) - Millwall now >50% - Norwich, Watford + Blackburn dropped by >10% Rel: - Important wins for QPR + Birmingham

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

More drama this @SkyBetChamp gameweek... Title: - Fulham edging closer (97%) - Promotion playoff: - QPR (+16.8%) - Nott Forest (+10.5%) - Huddersfield (+5.3%) - Luton (-9.6%) - Blackburn (-13.4%) Relegation: - Barnsley (-6.4%) only team to reduce odds - Derby >80% now

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

Summary of @premierleague GW: Title: - City now over 90% Top 4: - Top 4 is Utd and Newcastle's to lose with both clubs above 90% Rel: - Leeds' survival chances dropped by 12% - Massive game between Everton/Leicester tonight - Southampton need a miracle

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

5 months

Where does this Premier League title race rank?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

6 months

Is this one of the tightest Premier League title races of recent times?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Matchday 39 @SkyBetLeagueOne ... Title: - Wigan now favourites (56%) to be champions - Rotherham drop to 39% Promotion play-offs: - Plymouth (+14.1%) 8 Ws in last 10 - Sheff Wed (-6.4%) 2 consecutive draws Relegation: - Gillingham now <70% despite drawing as many teams lost

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

5 months

Arsenal play in their first UEFA Champions League quarter-final in 13 years today. How has that journey looked for them in that time?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

More midweek drama in the @SkyBetChamp Title: - Fulham now 99% Promotion play-offs: - Massive result for Sheff Utd (+14.5%), up to 68% now - Forest win takes them to 80% - Luton, M'Boro & Millwall all see chances drop Relegation: - Reading edging closer to safety (14%)

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

As Burnley look for a new coach to finish the season, which mid-season manager appointments have worked out well in the big 5 this season?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

League One:

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

8 months

Xavi's impact at Barcelona has been mixed...

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

7 months

Latest @premierleague projections: 🏆Trophy: - Man City no longer favourites, down 17% - Klopp now most likely to win PL 🇪🇺 UCL spots: - Spurs still odds-on but down 16% - Man Utd move to more than 1-in-4 📉 Rel: - Forest 12% safer as they wait decision on pts deduct

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Latest @SkyBetChamp projections after GW 5: Title/promotion: - Sheff Utd win against Blackburn improved their title chances by 5% - Only 1 win in 5 for Burnley, title -2% Relegation: - Late winner for Wigan made them 5% safer - Birmingham loss reduced survival chances by 7%

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

Should Luton Town have a bigger stadium than they do (~10k seater)?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

8 months

Ivan Toney returns on Saturday. Which Premier League teams have the biggest gap between their 2 best CF options?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Are older world-class players like Modric (36) & Benzema (34) now the norm or have older players always been this good? #UCL

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Which @premierleague teams chop and change the most and how does it impact performance?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Matchday 39 @SkyBetChamp ... Title: - Fulham still >90% Promotion play-offs: - Luton (+24.3%) 7 Ws in last 10 - Sheff Utd (+18.8%) - QPR (-16.4%) 6 Ls in last 10 - Blackburn (-16.6%) 2 Ws in last 10 Relegation: - Reading <50% - Peterborough + Derby need miracles (both >95%)

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

10 months

Latest @premierleague projections: Title: - City still odds-on but down 7% - UCL: - Villa + Newcastle both almost 50% - Spurs now below 50% - Chelsea down to 1-in-8 Rel: - Bournemouth 11% safer - Everton up to 40%

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

What have been some of the most important winning @premierleague goals this season?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Most exciting matches this weekend:

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

4 months

Who’s been the best Premier League signing this season? Top 5 📈 1. Palmer 2. Van de Ven 3. Rice 4. Maddison 5. Mac Allister

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Latest @SkyBetChamp projections: Title/promotion: - Burnley favourites and benefited from Norwich/Sheff Utd draw - QPR + Blackburn still >14% automatic promotion Relegation: - Hull (+12%) & Blackpool (+9%) saw survival chances significantly increase - Rotherham -9% survival

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

8 months

Which Premier League teams will be losing players in positions with a lack of depth or quality in the AFCON?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Which first round group stage matches will be most entertaining to watch?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

24 days

The Championship, arguably one of the the most open leagues in the world, returns for gameweek 2 tonight. My predictions 📈below. (Will update these on a weekly basis)

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

8 months

Latest @premierleague projections: Title🏆 - City up to 50% - Arsenal down to 1-in-10 UCL🇪🇺 - Villa at highest point this season (75%) - Man Utd + Newcastle both down to 1-in-10 Rel📉 - Nottingham Forest 11% safer - Everton down to 1-in-5

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

How much did Premier League teams spend in the summer for every point earned?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

Summary of @premierleague GW: Title: - 8% swing with City now favourites Top 4: - 10% boost for NUFC - Liverpool and Brighton drop to below 10% Rel: - Massive win for Bournemouth (+26% safer) - Leicester now close to 50% - Forest at 70%

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

5 months

Only six matches to go in the Championship. Who is most likely to get promoted/relegated?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

If the top 20 European teams were in a league, what chance would each side have of the title and which teams would be most likely to get relegated?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

With the @SkyBetChamp under way next week, how are the first 5 matches shaping up for each team?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

6 months

1.2% likely to win today based on post-match xG…

Fabrizio Romano

@FabrizioRomano

6 months

🔴 Ten Hag: “We defended brilliantly out of possession, we were close to winning or at least getting a draw here”. “It was a good performance overall. The players gave everything”.

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

Summary of @premierleague GW: Title: - Flip of a coin Top 4: - Liverpool effectively cancelled out Man Utd thrashing - Spurs almost at 50% - Newcastle remain in the hunt (+8%) Rel: - Bournemouth unexpected win improved survival hopes by 17% - Everton now <50%

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

4 years

Chelsea officially do have some of the best young prospects in Europe. In fact, a lot of the top talent looks to be concentrated in England (6) & Germany (3) going into next season as Spain & Italy are left behind... @21stClub

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

Matchday 44 @SkyBetChamp … Promotion playoffs: - Huddersfield now confirmed but still have a chance of finishing 2nd (2%) - Massive 3 pts for S’Utd (+26.5%) - Millwall (-16%) & M’Boro (-6%) draws drop their chances Relegation: - Barnsley + Peterborough confirmed

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

League one:

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

1 year

Which Premier League players are most likely to be sold this summer?

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Aurel Nazmiu

@AurelNz

2 years

A look at which big 5 matches this weekend could have the biggest swings in: - Title - UCL Qualification - Relegation A win for Leeds against Arsenal on Sunday would drop their relegation chances to 15% whilst a loss would make them odds-on to go down (54%)...

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