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Alfonso De Pablos, CMT

@AlfCharts

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Technical Analyst @allstarcharts

Caracas, Venezuela
Joined November 2013
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
7 months
Officially a Chartered Market Technician®! Big thanks to the @CMTAssociation and my sponsors @allstarcharts @acardenasfx @IvanScherman
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
The four largest companies in the world execute topping formations and break down to their lowest in roughly a year. $AAPL $MSFT $GOOGL $AMZN
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Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
I'm thrilled to announce that I have successfully passed the Chartered Market Technician (CMT) Level 3 Exam!
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
5 months
#Bitcoin working on a historic breakout
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
While the S&P 500 posted new lows in the recent sell-off, the advance-decline line did not, putting it in a bullish divergence. $SPX
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
#Bitcoin finally resolved lower and completed a topping formation.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
Seeing home construction pricing at 52-week lows generally does not bode well for risk assets. This economically-sensitive group often acts as a leading indicator for the broader market. $SPY $ITB
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
After 20 years of absolutely no progress, these healthcare stocks are finally trying to break out of their multi-decade base. $MRK $PFE $BMY
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
11 months
We just saw historic breadth and momentum thrusts coming in tandem. % of Stocks Making New 3-Month Highs > 40% ✅ % of Stocks Overbought > 40% ✅ This has only happened three times in the last 20 years. While this may imply caution in the short term, such a cluster of bullish
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
22 days
MicroStrategy $MSTR has acted as a leading indicator of the direction of #Bitcoin in the past, and I don’t think this time will be any different.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
While the S&P 500 has continued its decline, the worst performing stocks during the current bear market stopped going down six weeks ago, and have put in higher lows. Curious to see how they react in the next sessions. $SPY $ARKK $XBI $IPO
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
The MSCI Brazil Index Fund ETF just broke down to new all-time lows relative to the S&P 500. $EWZ / $SPY
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
Look at the Equal-Weighted Nasdaq 100 finding support at former resistance. $QQEW
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
1 year
The Technology Sector $XLK is breaking out of a 15-month base relative to the S&P 500.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
Respect the trends
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 months
Small-Caps printed an impressive momentum thrust with a 5-Day ROC > 10%. We tend to see these readings after significant bear market lows and in the early stages of new bull run. $IWM
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
Today, US Dollar Index $DXY closed below its 200-Day Moving Average for the first time since June 2021, ending its longest streak above its long-term average in history.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
#Bitcoin is also emerging from a multi-month base relative to the S&P 500.
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@sstrazza
Steven Strazza
2 years
$BTC breaking out of a textbook reversal pattern to its highest level in 9 months... Who has an explanation for this? Lower rates? $USD? Financial/banking instability?
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
1 year
Check out this classic inverted head & shoulders pattern in banks. $KBE is reaching new 4-month highs. If it holds above 38.50, it would indicate trend reversal.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
There is a big difference between these two relative trends. $MSFT $AMZN
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
Double bottom in Small-cap Energy relative to the Russell 2000 indicates where is the strength in the market right now and it could be just the beginning for energy stocks. $PSCE / $IWM
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
1 year
🚨Technology Sector is breaking out to new all-time high $XLK
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
What will it be? 1 or 2? $IWM
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
9 months
🚨It took 511 days for the S&P 500 $SPX to reach new all-time highs. This is the sixth longest streak since 1950.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
21 days
Look at this big base about to complete in Software $IGV. Do you think it’s ready to break out, or does it need more time?
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
Breakaway gap on a significant resistance level after ten months of consolidation. What more bullish than this? $TSLA
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
To me this is the chart of the week: Caterpillar $CAT closing the week at new all-time highs. Do you agree?
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
1 month
Look at this massive rounding bottom formation in $SE. It's probably my favorite setup right now 👀
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
#Bitcoin and the growth vs value ratio look similar.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
I'm happy to share that I have successfully passed the Chartered Market Technician (CMT) Level 2 Exam, @CMTAssociation One step closer to the goal!
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
I like the breakout in Rare Earth/Strategic Metals ETF $REMX
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
8 months
Isn't this a logical level for Chinese stocks to catch a bid? 🇨🇳 $FXI
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
The US is still king. The S&P 500 emerges to new all-time highs versus almost all of the major international indexes.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
8 months
Oil Refiners are coming out of a massive base to new all-time highs. $CRAK
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
Yes or no?
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
18 days
I definitely don’t want to be playing defense in an environment where financials are making new all-time highs.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
These three tend to move together. So, what do the new all-time highs in Caterpillar suggest for emerging markets and copper?
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
1 year
Today I was invited to the Morning Show with @allstarcharts @sstrazza and @SJisrael Watch it here: I showed this chart of the US Dollar Index $DXY overlaid with the Consumer Staples vs S&P 500 ratio above former lows. The takeaway is that a strong
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
7 months
Is copper next?
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
1 year
#Bitcoin is pressing against an area of overhead supply that coincides with the 2021 summer lows and the AVWAP from the all-time high, making it a confluence of resistance. If it breaks above 30-31,000, get ready for a fresh leg higher🚀
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
New all-time quarterly closing high for Gold
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
4 years
New all-time weekly closing highs for Large-caps, Mid-caps, Small-caps and Micro-caps. $SPY $QQQ $DIA $IWM $IWC $MDY
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
8 months
$HOOD
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
New 22-month highs for Utilities relative to the S&P 500. This is not something you see in bull markets. $XLU / $SPY
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
4 months
Reddit has a short interest of 23%. The price is reaching new all-time highs. Is there any reason not to be long against 68? $RDDT
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
Financials working again. $WFC $GS $MS
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
1 year
The commodities supercycle thesis seems intact, isn't it?
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
4 years
Did you see that the weakest stocks in the world are making new 52-week highs? Here it is Frontier Markets ETF $FM - its exposure is from countries like Kuwait, Vietnam, Nigeria, Kenia. For me it’s a clearly sign of risk appetite for stocks in general.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
1 year
Don't you think these are very logical levels for Financials and Industrials to start outperforming Technology?
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
1 year
Stocks are breaking to new all-time highs relative to bonds. Here’s a look. $SPY / $TLT
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
Bearish to bullish reversal in US Treasury Bonds? $TLT
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
4 years
The book is finally here! Very excited to start this journey! @CMTAssociation
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
8 months
Do you remember the culprits of the last bear market? I'm talking about biotech, the ARK funds, the IPO index, online retailers, etc. They are now working on some epic bearish-to-bullish trend reversals. It is do-or-die time for these groups. New post @allstarcharts
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
Here's the Copper/Gold Ratio hitting new multi-year highs.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
The Consumer Discretionary vs Consumer Staples ratio shows a slight positive divergence as it hasn't made a lower low even though the S&P 500 did. Notice how XLY/XLP ratio has historically put in major divergences in the past, acting as a leading indicator for the overall market
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
8 months
Bitcoin's path🚀 #Bitcoin
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
1 year
Stocks like a weak dollar and a lack of volatility in yields
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
10 months
If these lines go up, there will be pressure on risk assets.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
All eyes in Alibaba $BABA to see if it can reclaim its former highs from 2014.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
10 months
You can’t be bearish stocks if these groups are above their 2021 highs. New post on @allstarcharts
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
If high beta stocks want to start outperforming low volatility stocks, this would be a logical level to do so. $SPHB / $SPLV
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Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
#Bitcoin doesn't like the strength in the dollar.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
Weakness comes from transports as it hits new relative lows with momentum reaching oversold conditions. $IYT/ $SPY
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
1 year
Crude Oil reaches its highest level in eight months👀
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
4 years
The largest stock in the world is closing the week at new all-time highs and seems to be ready for its next leg higher. Apple - $AAPL Mega-caps are back in the game.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
Energy stocks are starting to look vulnerable in the near term as crude oil and derivatives break down to their lowest levels since February.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
Canadian stocks breaking out to new all-time highs in an environment where "value" (financials, materials, industrials and energy) is outperforming "growth" (tech) makes sense to me, especially when we notice that $EWC has 72% exposure in value.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
7 months
Copper Miners setting up for a breakout. $COPX
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
19 days
The longer the consolidation, the more explosive the eventual resolution will be. Are you buying cybersecurity stocks here?
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
14 days
Look at this monster base in Cameco $CCJ. What do you think? Will it finally break out?
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
9 months
The Nikkei 225 🇯🇵 is back to its old highs of 1989
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
$IWM running into a confluence of resistance from the 200-day moving average and the AVWAP from the All-time high. Logical place for a pause?
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
6 months
I see a big base and a favorable risk vs reward opportunity in $TSM. Needs to hold ~145.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
6 months
Is it time for emerging markets to catch up? $EEM
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
Amazon has remained above the 2903.4% Fibonacci extension level for over a year. Is it ime for a next leg higher? $AMZN
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
1 year
ARK Innovation ETF $ARKF is breaking out of a rounding bottom formation to new 52-week highs.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
4 years
Here it is Vietnam ETF $VNM resolving this consolidation higher 👀
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
1 year
The yield curve has been inverted for the longest period since 1980. However, when it crosses back above 0 and becomes steeper, it is when it tends to signal a problematic period for the stock market.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
Five days ago... $SIVB
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
Look at this decade-long base breakout in Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile $SQM
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
Ethereum vs S&P 500 ratio tests its key former 2018 highs from below. $ETHUSD / $SPX
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
Will the S&P 500 finally break higher relative to Emerging Markets after 18-years of no progress? $SPY / $EEM
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
4 years
Dropbox offering a nice setup after 2.5-years of consolidation. Looks interesting only if we’re above $25.60 $DBX
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
Will we see these energy stocks resolve higher from their continuation patterns? $COP $CVX $OXY $XOM
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
1 year
Who's buying Chinese equities at this shelf of former lows? $KWEB
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
The underlying uptrend in global yields remains intact.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
If there is a place for energy to take a breather, what better place than this?
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
1 month
Did you see the Materials Sector coming out of this multi-year base?
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
Before they can start going up, they need to stop going down. That is what most cryptos have done so far.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
How about this potential double bottom in Gold relative to the Commodity Index? $GLD $GC_F / $CRB Index
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
Energy is in the process of reclaiming the dot-com bubble lows relative to technology. Notice that momentum reached overbought conditions for the first time since 2011 (on a weekly time frame). $XLE / $XLK
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
Regional Banks breaking down relative to the S&P 500 to the lowest level since mid-January is probably not a good sign for the financial sector. $KRE / $SPY
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
5 months
Getting ready for the Portfolio Accelerator Program with the @allstarcharts team this week! First stop, the Golden Gate Bridge 🙌🏻
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
1 year
Warren Buffett just filed a Form 4 revealing the purchase of 4,660,809 shares, equivalent to $272 million in Occidental Petroleum Corp $OXY. Buffett increase its ownership stake to 34%.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
After a year of sideways trend, here's $AAPL resolving higher from a tight continuation pattern.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
A break below the 2016 and 2020 highs in the US Dollar Index $DXY would be a major feather in the hat for #Bitcoin and the rest of the cryptocurrencies.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
3 years
How about the new highs in gold miners despite the strength in the dollar? $GDX
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
1 year
Samsara Inc $IOT, a 16B software company, seems on the verge of a base breakout.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
1 year
It seems like a perfectly logical area for $NVDA to digest gains.
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@AlfCharts
Alfonso De Pablos, CMT
2 years
Short-term view on the US 10-Year Yield. What scenario will we see? $TNX
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