FSWA Baseball Writer of the Year 2019, Article of the Yr 2020, 9x Nom. Tout Wars Champion. ATC Projections. FanGraphs, CBS, Rotoballer. Host of
@Beat_Shift_Pod
.
According to
@fangraphs
, as of the morning of 8/8, the
#Mets
have a 100.0% chance of making the playoffs. No simulation produced a result where the
#Mets
didn't play in the postseason.
Vinnie Pasquantino (
@VPasquantino
) is a star in the making.
This season, .292/.380/.549 with 6 HR good for a 152 wRC+.
His 152 wRC+ is better than Goldschmidt's 147, Freeman's 139 and Alonso's 138 - and Vinnie has a better K% rate than each of the aforementioned trio (12.3%).
Steven Kwan is not peak Michael Brantley. It was a great week.
He's Luis Arraez but batting 2nd not 9th.
Half a dozen steals, maybe 8 homers and a ~.295 BA. A decent number of runs for batting in the 2 hole.
Temper expectations.
The time now is 12:01 AM in New York on March 30th, 2023.
Today is now Opening Day for Major League baseball 2023.
We are but hours away from games that count.
Let that sink in.
Enjoy the day, and enjoy the season.
Some 2018 Cy Young thoughts ....
Jacob deGrom had 10 wins in 2018 with an ERA of 1.70
Lucas Giolito had 10 wins in 2018 with an ERA of 6.13
Mets went 14-18 in deGrom's starts
White Sox went 14-18 in Giolito's starts
Do wins matter?
Finished 2nd place in a local Chess tournament yesterday!!!
About 30 players participated. Won all my games other than the one against the eventual 1st place winner who went undefeated.
What a great Sunday!
Sometimes the best decisions you make in life are also the easiest.
Married 18 years today, to my beautiful wife Robin.
I'd take here at pick 1.1 every time.
Can we all make "Gombered" an official fantasy baseball term?
Its where you pick up a pitcher who has been good as of late (despite a few warts), has an upcoming 2-start week with seemingly good matchups ...
... and then he gets shelled for 7+ runs.
Please retweet this!
Last weekend before ATC comes out. I spend the long weekend (off tomorrow for MLK Jr. Day) cleaning everything up and making sure we are ready for production!
I am so excited to have the honor of having ATC published once again!
If the Dodgers win this year, everyone will say ... "Well, guess the Dodgers bought the ring"
If the Dodgers lose this year, everyone will say ... "Look at that - $1b, and that still doesn't buy a championship"
Japanese star Yoshinobu Yamamoto and the Los Angeles Dodgers are in agreement on an 12-year, $325 million contract, sources familiar with the deal tell ESPN.
Folks, I've been getting a number of comments about my 2nd round Salvador Perez selection in
#RazzSlam
, that it is way too early for a catcher.
It is not.
This is a best ball league, not a roto league. The ADP of Perez in this format is 17.
Always understand the league rules !
Eno was instrumental in getting the
@ATCProjections
up on
@fangraphs
and he essentially launched my endeavor into the fantasy baseball industry.
Plain and simple, I would not be here today without him.
Congrats,
@enosarris
on this well-deserved
@fswa
Hall of Fame honor!
Definitely an old now. An honor, though. An FSWA award (for an article about Kevin Maas, age at level, and boob flashing) gave me my first big break in the business. Pretty cool.
First game of the softball season today!!!
Here's my pitching line:
5 IP, 4 H, BB, 0 ER (2 R), K, W
I also went 3 for 5 as well batting leadoff.
What a great way to start the season !!!
#MLB
has announced that Games 2 & 3 of the ALCS will start at 8:40 PM ET.
Children on the East Coast will NOT be able to watch these game. It is too late.
Shame on MLB for being short-sided and money hungry, instead of thinking long-term to let children view the playoff games.
I can't think of a better way to have spent Father's day than to have played softball with one of my sons, and then to go to Carvel for the end of the season with the team ... followed by a BBQ.
Happy Father's Day all!
2/3
&
@NateRavitz
hosted the show. It was my go-to podcast for so many years, and really was one of the reasons why I somehow got into the industry.
From combo meals to the Wandy line to the closer carousel to hashbrowns, and even back to MatthewBerry's love advice.
So you drafted Mondesi ...
You likely didn't pay that much attention to SB in the rest of your draft. And you couldn't ... because you needed the BA and Power.
This is why players with a high IntraSD (category/profile risk) need to be bought at a discount, NOT at a premium.
If I were MLB, I would move the first 2 weeks of the season to the end of the season immediately. Give the chance to play all 162 games now, with a 2-week delay.
Then reassess about canceling some of the season in a week or two from now.
πANNOUNCEMENTπ₯³
I am proud to announce that I will be doing some writing for
@RotoBallerMLB
in 2020!
Check out the
@RotoBaller
site in the meantime for fantastic MLB work, which will include me this year! Subscribe today!
1/10
A few thoughts on closers in 2022 drafts.
A) You do NOT want to play the waiver wire during the season for multiple closers. Playing the wire for one is okay, but it gets incresingly tougher to mine for 2 or more mid-season.
Its the same deal with catchers too.
According to Baseball-Ref, the following are career WARs:
Larry Walker 72.7
Derek Jeter 72.4
Larry Walker had a career .400 OBP with 383 HRs and 230 SB.
He drove in 1311 RBI - which is the same total as Jeter, yet had 4288 AB less than Derek.
Walker is a Hall of Famer.
I am proud to announce that the
@ATCProjections
are now also up on
@RotoWire
!!!
You can find them on the individual player pages at the moment, and there will be more to come soon!
The ATC Projections are ready!
They should be posted on multiple sites later today/tonight.
ATC Day is still set for tomorrow, January 22nd after making sure that everything should be fully up, and any issues resolved.
2024 Draft season can now begin!
Here are all the 2021 projected 2021 batters that are:
- Below median InterSD
- Below median InterSK
- Below median IntraSD
- Above $10 Value in NFBC format
These hitters present the least measured ATC parameter risk & categorical risk, & have more projections above the ATC avg
I think we (the fantasy baseball community) needs to give a big thank you to
@JustinMasonFWFB
for creating and running
@TGFBI
each year.
#TGFBI
has been a huge success in each of its first 2 season, and we are all looking forward to its 3rd year.
Congrats and thank you, Justin!
2022 baseball projections prep work has officially started!
Working on the ATC Regressions now for Hitters.
That's where I update the ATC formulae based on incorporating the newest year of data.
ATC is still on track to be released in just about 2 and a half weeks!
At
@espn
, Matthew Berry (
@MatthewBerryTMR
) was 100% Bonafide, 0% Bonifacio.
Congrats Matthew on not just an epic run, but a transformation of an entire industry.
Just about everyone who plays fantasy has been affected by you.
Thus far ...
Can't wait to see what comes next!
Wow what a pitching night in softball for me.
14 IP, 2 W, 4 ER, 11 H, 1 BB, 13 K.
Incredible night for whiffs for me. The Tuesday night team is now 2-0-1 to start the season!!