Vitalek Buterin says the problem with PoW is that it operates within the constraints of real-world physics requiring electricity, hardware, and computers. Exactly.
But this is a feature, not a liability.
Bitcoin models fascinate me. I spent over three decades in engineering academia modeling everything from radar and sonar to MRI signals and X-rays. I know a little about modeling.
@dotkrueger
@Giovann35084111
You seem surprised at the resistance.
@IIICapital
@allenf32
My critique:
A high correlation doesn't prove a model has predictive value. It doesn't say anything about whether the phenomenon being captured by the model will persist into the future. For that, you need some kind of qualitative justification for persistent underlying behavior
In a new piece for
@BitcoinMagazine
, I share what I learned by teaching a university Bitcoin course. Students grew considerably in their appreciation for Bitcoin by taking a full course for credit. This can be a model for moving Bitcoin adoption forward.
Modeling the decline of bee populations is fine because the bees don't care about your model. Telling people they're going to have a profitable investment opportunity in six months incentivizes them to deviate from the model and act sooner.
Let me suggest four reasons why people are skeptical.
First, a lot of bitcoiners are (thankfully) influenced by Austrian economics. Austrian economics argues from first principles and has a healthy skepticism toward modeling aggregate human behavior with math.
7/ In short:
- Proof of work proves and enforces scarcity
- Proof of work creates a fair distribution system by connecting the digital representation to real-world work done to create the asset
Proof of stake does neither of these things in a clear, open way.
Second, bitcoiners are anti-influenced by crypto traders with all their lines and indicators and charts. A predictive model smacks of the same thing, with the suggestion that you can use it to get in and out of the market and come out ahead. This is contrary to the bitcoin ethos.
I realize adoption doesn't go on forever like an exponential. It's easy enough to use a logistic function, which starts exponentially and accounts for the fact that the population of potential adopters is limited and the amount of value in the world is limited.
An argument that, well, "power laws show up all over the place in nature" is well and good. But it does nothing to show that it's relevant to *this* situation. It may make it more plausible but doesn't specifically address persistence outside the data window.
@_Checkmatey_
@danheld
Let's consider the stability of the peg of the ZUSD BTC-backed stablecoin produced by the
@SovrynBTC
Zero protocol. Stable pegs are essential to a viable stablecoin. 💪 1/
A thread 👇
Third, whether correct or not, most people are heavily influenced by some form of the efficient market hypothesis. It is difficult to accept that a simple and easily verified model like a power-law model actually has predictive value. Otherwise, it would be priced in, right?
At least I can offer a simple rationale for an exponential: growth rate is proportional to the number of holders who are talking about it in their circle of influence. As long as this is constant, demand grows exponentially. Yes, it's an assumption. But at least I can identify it
Fourth, with all the models out there, bitcoin is bound to line up with *something*, right? The fact that you found a model that has a high correlation may say nothing more than that there are lots of models out there and that you were very diligent to look.
Saying that power laws are superior to exponentials because exponentials blow up is just flat wrong. The last time I checked, power laws go to infinity too when the exponent is greater than 0.
Every bitcoiner knows "not your keys, not your coins." So how is it possible to use your bitcoin as collateral for even a basic financial transaction like borrowing? 1/
A thread 🧵
Scaling and building flexible layers on top of bitcoin is a massively important effort. Sovryn is helping to drive this effort through the BitcoinOS project.
Besides that, the graphics are absolutely awesome!
Does Bitcoin seem frozen in time? Other chains have smart contracts, scaling layers, rollups - and Bitcoin?
Introducing BitcoinOS: a superlayer of interoperable rollups turning Bitcoin into a global operating system.
Innovation is coming to Bitcoin!
#BitcoinOS
Link⬇️
In 2015 Trace Mayer wrote about the seven network effects of bitcoin:
1. speculation
2. merchant adoption
3. consumer adoption
4. security
5. developer mindshare
6. financialization
7. adoption as a world reserve currency
@tracemayer
@CaitlinLong_
@Sinz_Bitguide
@dotkrueger
@Giovann35084111
@IIICapital
@allenf32
This is what I've been trying to say to them, but they ignore me and press on with more YT videos and X threads. 😂
Hoping to get some traction on this thread so they'll engage, in spite of my tiny following, so a repost would be appreciated.
Today is Bitcoin White Paper Day!
The posting of the Bitcoin white paper on October 31 (in 2008) by Satoshi Nakamoto was the second most important historical event on that day of the year.
What was the most important?
Stablecoins with centralized collateral are a trojan horse of the failing banking system in the crypto space.
There has never been a more urgent need for bitcoin-backed stablecoins.
It's early, but it looks like
@SovrynDollar
can be a viable alternative to USDT/USDC/DAI.
I have the privilege of teaching a university course on
#Bitcoin
. I'm an engineering academic by experience, but my goal is to make the course accessible to non-engineers as well. I want to connect with others who are making similar efforts.
@lopp
@Croesus_BTC
@luke_broyles
Crypto exchanges are scrambling to demonstrate their reserves after the FTX debacle.
Meanwhile,
@SovrynBTC
never needed to because all users custody their own assets, and all activity is visible on the RSK blockchain.
Which way seems better to you?
This is an important development in bitcoin sidechains and a huge vote of confidence in the integrity and security of Rootstock. If you hold a form of wrapped BTC on Ethereum and are concerned about centralization and regulatory risk, you might consider holding RBTC on Rootstock.
Now there is no limit into how much BTC you can move to Rootstock sidechain now. I mean 21 Million BTC is now the limit from the max limit of 4000 BTC.
I wonder if a big wave of BTC will come to
@rootstock_io
and
@SovrynBTC
this year?
Zero is happening now.
Bitcoin maxis and hodlers, don't you dare succumb to selling your bitcoin when you could take out a highly collateralized loan and pay your bills with zero interest and no tax liability.
Could this be the Microstrategy
@saylor
moment for the Sovryn Dollar? First bitcoin-backed stablecoin to be used as a treasury asset by a publicly traded company. Self-custody of dollar-valued treasury asset backed by non-custodial bitcoin.
2024 is a landmark year - for
#Bitcoin
and for Sovryn.
Roadmap phases overview:
🟧 First, the groundwork:
We'll introduce more staking rewards. In addition to the current $BTC rewards, we will add $SOV to stakers.
See the next tweet in the thread where we discuss all the
Censorship by centralized stablecoins is not theoretical. Next time it might be you and your ideology.
You can mint or hold a purely BTC-backed stablecoin on the decentralized Rootstock network (Bitcoin sidechain), which is trust-minimized and permissionless. ZUSD on Sovryn.
Why is it that
#LightningNetwork
is widely regarded as part of the canonical bitcoin ecosystem while other Layer 2 solutions like
#Rootstock
(a merge-mined Bitcoin sidechain) are not?
Since I compiled the information for this article a few months ago, two of the eight CeFi lenders highlighted have filed for bankruptcy or become technically insolvent.
Zero fixes this -- fully transparent, non-custodial, and 0% interest.
@SovrynBTC
The math of 21M
Every 210k blocks (about 4 years), the bitcoin mining reward drops by half (called a halving). It started at 50 BTC per block and will halve 32 times. This can be expressed by this well known summation formula---210k blocks, 50 BTC/block, dropping by half each i:
What about this? Put your funds in a bitcoin-backed stablecoin on a trust-minimized Bitcoin sidechain. I'm talking about ZUSD on
#Rootstock
issued by the
@SovrynBTC
Zero protocol.
✅Self-custody
✅Dry powder
✅Peace of mind
I think more fundamentally hard money requires proof of scarcity. If a substance were to be discovered that is provably scarce and had other desirable monetary properties--verifiable, portable, fungible, divisible, durable, etc.
Some thoughts 👇
hard money inherently requires an unavoidable production cost; proof of work is fundamental. people value gold as hard money, because it is scarce. and the scarcity inherently means there must be a production cost for more units. so it is with
#bitcoin
, digital gold requires PoW.
Yet another hack has come to light this week. Devs are still investigating, but at least $6 trillion was drained from the holders of the USD token. An exploit was used to mint uncollateralized tokens over the last two years and then use them to buy political influence.
One of the most brilliant aspects of Bitcoin’s design was that it is a tool for liberty, dressed up as a get-rich-quick scheme. Much of “crypto” has perversely turned this on its head, pumping out get-rich-quick schemes dressed up as tools for economic freedom.
-
@EdanYago
I wrote this article to explain why Christians and churches need to learn about
#Bitcoin
and give it some strong consideration in a biblically shrewd approach to money. Thanks to
@FoundersMin
for publishing it.
This real-world bond between physics and the digital record is part of what makes Bitcoin a commodity and not a security. A security is merely a representation of ownership of something else; a commodity is the thing itself. The physics makes your bitcoin the thing itself.
@_Checkmatey_
As you know,
@SovrynBTC
is building a bitcoin-backed stablecoin with Zero on Rootstock, a trust-minimized bitcoin sidechain. This could become an important component of a bitcoin circular economy and defi on bitcoin.
“It’s impossible to look at the future of crypto without including the world's largest blockchain, Bitcoin. ...Rootstock (RSK) [offers] users decentralized finance (DeFi) built on Bitcoin.”
The largest RSK project by far is Sovryn.
@SovrynBTC
Ever tried explaining
#bitcoin
to a normie?🤔
It’s even harder explaining
#defi
with 0% interest loans!👀🔥
@SovrynBTC
No KYC👀
Self-Custody🔑
Read more here👇🏼
@PeterMcCormack
I wish more people in this situation could be made aware of the Sovryn Dollar on Rootstock. It's a bitcoin-backed stablecoin on a bitcoin merge-mined sidechain. At least they wouldn't have to worry about centralization risks of Tether.
@SovrynBTC
You want proof of work? The resurrection of Jesus is his verification that everything Jesus claimed about himself and everything he promised is true.
He is the Son of God.
He has authority to forgive sins.
Verify...then trust.
Have you heard of Satoshi's hierarchy of needs? This is an insightful twist on Maslow's hierarchy recently put forth by
@_pretyflaco
and
@esotericunicoin
for
@SwanBitcoin
It gives us some great insight about bitcoin adoption and the strategies we use.
It was a pleasure to coauthor this exploration of custodians’ roles in improving lives and scaling
#Bitcoin
to humanity.
Props to
@_pretyflaco
who’s initial concept of “Satoshi’s Hierarchy” led to some great ideas (& cool renditions by
@MartVeeken
!)
18/ In summary, even under extreme circumstances of deliberate manipulation, ZUSD should hold its peg quite well as it scales up. The larger the scale, the more difficult for a whale to attempt to manipulate the price.
5/ If ZUSD goes much above $1, arbitragers can take out ZUSD loans and sell it for USD at a profit and arbitrage away the price difference. Once ZUSD returns to the value of USD, ZUSD can be purchased back to unlock the BTC collateral.
What if I told you that Sovryn's Zero Protocol could be the basis for
#bitcoin
-backed $USD loans within the next year?
Without giving up your keys
Without paying interest
#StaySovryn
You want to hodl some dollar value outside the current banking system (and that's very prudent).
You want to be able to sleep at night.
You don't have the stomach for the bitcoin roller coaster.
Solution: DLLR stablecoin on
@SovrynBTC
backed by bitcoin
@0xtuba
This kind of thing will be a constant concern because USDT and USDC are rooted in centralized fiat finance. Even DAI is significantly backed by USDC.
The best option to hodl dollar value in the cryptosphere is ZUSD minted on
@SovrynBTC
, overcollateralized entirely by bitcoin.
7/ Now consider some extreme cases--think about whale manipulation or behavior driven by something other than a profit motive. The only thing a whale can do is take out a large loan or buy up all the ZUSD and then either hold it or redeem it. So let's consider those cases.
What’s the deal with Metcalfe’s Law and bitcoin?
Metcalfe Part 1
Bitcoiners and others are fond of referring to Metcalfe’s Law as an explanation for the growth in the value of bitcoin. It turns out that Metcalfe's Law is nothing more than a (very) rough model of network value.
Lido Finance, Coinbase, and Kraken together control slightly over 50% of all ETH staked on the beacon chain. They are all US-owned companies or DAOs at the whims of US regulators. Ethereum is not decentralized.
Ethereum developers and users should strongly consider Rootstock.
6/ In the case where ZUSD goes above $1.10, borrowers can obtain 100 ZUSD for $110 worth of BTC and simply sell the ZUSD at a profit and forfeit the collateral. So $1.10 is a hard cap on the price.
For borrowing against bitcoin, I compare Zero to various CeFi lending programs across a number of different categories:
Zero Fixes This: Borrowing Against Bitcoin with Zero vs. CeFi
Zero vs
#CeFi
. The age old debate..
“Just as you can take out a home-equity loan, you can get a bitcoin-equity loan.”
How does Zero stack up against other CeFi
#lending
products? We’ve done the research. Now let’s explore the findings!🔍
#GetOnZero
@stephanlivera
@TheGuySwann
We've homeschooled five all the way through and are on the home stretch with
#6
. All are productive, well adjusted, entrepreneurial people who are socially adept. I highly recommend opting out of the government diploma-printing mill.
4/ Anyone holding ZUSD can redeem it for the same nominal USD amount in BTC. If the market price of ZUSD falls below $1, a holder of 100 ZUSD can redeem it for $100 of BTC and sell it. So if the market price of ZUSD deviates much below $1, it'll be arbitraged away.
3/ Because the smart contract requires at least 110% BTC backing the ZUSD loan, there is always more value in BTC waiting to be redeemed than outstanding ZUSD.
Digital patterns can be created, copied, and simulated arbitrarily. But PoW uses real-world physics and math to create a link between the real world and the virtual world that can't be counterfeited or simulated.
@coryklippsten
With over 70% of Ethereum validators already OFAC compliant, I'm not sure what Ethereum's use case is anymore. RSK is a bitcoin PoW sidechain that's EVM-compatible, so it's not as susceptible to OFAC strong-arm tactics and can run basically any smart contracts that Ethereum can.
9/ Suppose a whale takes out a huge ZUSD loan and dumps it on the market. Will ZUSD de-peg? No, anyone can buy ZUSD and redeem it for $1 of BTC. Unless the BTC price drops nearly instantly, BTC collateral will be waiting to pay out any ZUSD redemptions at face value.
Next-Level USDT/Stablecoin Strategy: The Sovryn 50/50 Bitcoin-Dollar Balanced Portfolio
Enjoy automatic rebalancing, zero fees, and attractive assets.
Discover the magic in our latest blog post ⬇️
2/ First, ZUSD is backed by overcollateralized BTC. One ZUSD represents a loan of one USD in BTC. The protocol allows anyone to redeem their ZUSD for the same market value of BTC collateral denominated in USD minus a small fee.
In this article I look at market risk of a Zero bitcoin-collateralized loan. What is a reasonable collateral ratio? And is the stability pool a sensible investment?
Taking out a loan on Zero with your
#bitcoin
is an exciting opportunity, but savvy investors will ask some crucial questions as they consider the risks and rewards.
We look at market risks associated with Zero and aim to provide some insights!
Buterin says that in PoS everything is virtualized, "basically letting us create a simulated universe that has its own laws of physics." Exactly.
But this is a liability, not a feature.
8/ Observe that the BTC market is big enough that it is difficult to manipulate with large price swings, so any manipulation must come on the ZUSD side. This is one of the great advantages of BTC collateral over other collateral in crypto assets.
The goals of DeFi are noble, but the failure of cryptos like Terra has shaken the confidence of the entire industry and is causing many to consider whether we might best achieve true decentralization via LiFi ("Lightning Finance") on the
#Bitcoin
network.
What if instead of crippling bitcoin's security model with proof of stake, the whole world adopted bitcoin as the single currency for world trade? How much energy would that save?
NEW:
#Bitcoin
is causing MASSIVE amounts of pollution and has become a major roadblock in our fight to phase out fossil fuels. So we teamed up with
@thevonwong
to create this giant 💀 with laser eyes to help us raise awareness and spark change.
WATCH and SHARE:
1/
Sovryn Contributor
@lightcoin
unveils a groundbreaking research post: Bitstake, a PoS bridge to
#Bitcoin
powered by BitVM.
What is it? How does it transform
#Bitcoin
bridging?
Discover the details below ⬇️
What are your two or three favorite resources to give someone who is just beginning to get interested in bitcoin but probably doesn't yet have the interest to read a whole book? I'm thinking articles, individual podcasts, or reference websites.
Congratulations to
@LiquityProtocol
. That 14.2% increase just edged out the bitcoin-backed stablecoin
@SovrynDollar
(DLLR) at 13.8%.
Decentralized stablecoins like DLLR and LUSD are the future in the face of bank failures.
💸 $USDC market cap keeps sliding since the bank failures of last week (-20%)
@LiquityProtocol
's $LUSD has been the biggest stablecoin winner in terms of % gain since March 10, according to
@DefiantNews
terminal 👇
Really encouraging to see how this product is enabling real-world opportunities, especially in places where it may not be so easy to get a bank loan against bitcoin.
Sovryn Voices: Mike from
#Panama
talks about WHY he is a Sovryn user, plus his clever plans to
#GetOnZero
and use his Bitcoin to start a business.
It's exciting to see people use their
#Bitcoin
without even selling it!
Sign up for Zero waitlist here:
17/ Zero goes into recovery mode if the overall collateralization ratio falls below 150%. Recovery mode incentivizes borrowers to increase their collateralization ratio by allowing lines of credit below 150% CR to be liquidated.
Holding your assets on an exchange is like having a train ticket - the ticket won’t get you very far if the train stops running.
This is the problem that defi is working to solve.
12/ Arbitragers will see an opportunity and will take out loans and sell the ZUSD at a profit. This will create sufficient liquid ZUSD to prevent an imbalance of supply and demand. The whale will sit on illiquid ZUSD with his BTC locked up, having paid a fee to Zero to do so.
10/ Suppose a whale takes out a huge loan and immediately redeems it all. Again, more BTC collateral will be waiting to pay out any ZUSD redemptions at face value. The loan has only added to the collateral, so collateral is available to pay off the redemption and then some.
The CFTC announced a settlement against the founders of DeFi protocol bZx and filed suit against Ooki DAO, which governs bZx. All who value the freedom to transact should be alarmed by this unwarranted action. Here’s how you can write your Congressman.
@_Checkmatey_
gives a fair assessment of
#DeFi
on
#BITCOIN
. Very sharp guy! However, I'm disappointed again that he references a "George Soros" attack on the Zero ZUSD peg at scale without elaborating. Give us a scenario so we can learn and adapt, please.
Bitcoin is not merely a network, it's a foundation for an anti-authoritarian political movement in an increasingly authoritarian world.
If you're looking for why so many people are deeply passionate about
#Bitcoin
& nothing else, start there.
Simple question for bitcoiners. You want self-custody of your assets with the security of bitcoin, but you want to keep some dry powder for a lower price. What do you do?
Preferential treatment of systemically important banks will lead to consolidation into large regional banks.
This will separate people even more from cash, as access to cash is likely to be funneled through ATMs.
We need
#bitcoin
and
#SovrynDLLR
more than ever.
Celsius announcing they cannot honor withdrawals.
All centralized services are at risk.
This is why we built
@SovrynBTC
.
Incorruptibility and self custody.