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Michael Covel Profile
Michael Covel

@Covel

42,780
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197
Following
1,696
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11,578
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Author 8 books including “Trend Following, “TurtleTrader.” 1M+ books sold. Podcast 1250+ episodes. Trend following systems, research clients in 75 countries.

Asia, USA
Joined December 2008
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@Covel
Michael Covel
1 year
A trend following understanding in one simple graphic:
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@Covel
Michael Covel
1 year
The banking system. 🔈
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 years
Choose an alternative.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 years
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 years
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@Covel
Michael Covel
6 months
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@Covel
Michael Covel
7 months
Great trading is not consistent.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
7 months
Nice reminder.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
5 months
“If you can’t take a small loss, sooner or later you will take the mother of all losses.” —Ed Seykota
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 years
“If there was a strategy that I would want to employ right now, if someone put a gun to my head, I’d say simple trend-following strategies. They are not too popular today... They will probably do very well in the next five to 10 years.” —Paul Tudor Jones, May 3, 2022
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@Covel
Michael Covel
8 months
Richard Dennis, 1976:
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@Covel
Michael Covel
6 months
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@Covel
Michael Covel
1 year
“Discipline now… Freedom later.” Only way.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 months
His story of how he became a trend follower is great.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
5 years
“When you hear “A.I.”, realize that for 99% of cases this is what’s actually going on.” — @brennandunn
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 years
Out now. Wisdom.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
3 years
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@Covel
Michael Covel
3 years
Markets can go up. They can go down. They can go sideways. And you can’t predict a damn thing. Now what?
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 months
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 months
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@Covel
Michael Covel
1 month
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 months
Timeless TurtleTrader wisdom.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 years
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@Covel
Michael Covel
11 days
The mind is always preying on us.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 years
Every red-blooded male is thinking about how to kill them.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 months
“Once you decide on your occupation… you must immerse yourself in your work. You have to fall in love with your work. Never complain about your job. You must dedicate your life to mastering your skill. That’s the secret of success… and is the key to being regarded honorably.”
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@Covel
Michael Covel
7 months
Sounds schlocky. Not. He’s an early trend follower. #timeless #noprediction
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 years
This month!
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@Covel
Michael Covel
3 years
“Trend Following Mindset” with @basso_tom is out. Buy it because it’s great content, but also because the cover is awesome!
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@Covel
Michael Covel
1 year
Blast from the past. 1973.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 months
“I see the younger generation hampered by the need to understand and rationalize why something should go up or down. Usually, by the time that becomes self-evident, the move is already over. When I got into the business, there was so little information on fundamentals, and what
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 months
“If you put in stops and run your profits and trade randomly you make money; and if you put in targets and no stops and you trade randomly you lose money.” —David Harding
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@Covel
Michael Covel
20 days
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 months
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 months
“How to Win and How to Lose. A Practical Treatise on Speculation.” (1883)
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@Covel
Michael Covel
7 years
Our modern world of argument.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
3 months
Just have a stop.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 years
Not since 1999 have I felt crazy enthusiasm and whacky stock market euphoria from... EVERYONE.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
3 years
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 years
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 months
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 years
Michael Jordan was once asked what his best skill was: “I was coachable. I was a sponge and aggressive to learn.”
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 months
A #trendfollowing mindset requires a certain contrarian commitment.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
8 years
Bias listing 101.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
9 months
But you want to analyze inputs as to why price is moving? Why not just look at the price? Is it moving? Bet off that. Betting on whether the price is real or not real is irrelevant cause mania or not the price at any given point is 100% real.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
3 years
chúc mừng năm mới!
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@Covel
Michael Covel
7 years
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@Covel
Michael Covel
6 months
Walk into a college classroom and throw this trend following track record down and say, “Let’s discuss. Let’s reverse engineer.” Of course, no university does this. Sucks for the students.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 months
Lesson of the day via Ricardo > Donchian > Seykota > Dunn > Dennis > The Turtles > Mulvaney.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 months
One of the TurtleTraders Howard Seidler: “You can be following your rules exactly and still lose money. In that situation, you certainly haven’t performed poorly as a trader. The basic idea is that if you follow your rules over the long run, the probabilities will be in your
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@Covel
Michael Covel
6 years
They never ban just one...
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@Covel
Michael Covel
3 years
From Ed Seykota’s “Govopoly”:
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@Covel
Michael Covel
3 months
That’s the #trendfollowing mindset and the #trendfollowing technique. #stoploss #Ricardo
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@Covel
Michael Covel
3 months
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@Covel
Michael Covel
1 year
The 3 best technical indicators: 1.Price 2.Price 3.Price
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 months
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 years
The world v. #trendfollowing
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 years
Up soon. Shout to @basso_tom
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 months
RIP trader Jim Simons. A lot going on across these pages from the book about him.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
6 months
Some ask: “What is a trend?” One of the best explanations comes from Ed Seykota: “A trend is a general drift or tendency in a set of data. All measurements of trend involve taking a current reading and a historical reading and comparing them. If the current reading is higher
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@Covel
Michael Covel
6 months
“Plain Truths about Stock Speculation” (1887).
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 years
Elites can try to ban little guys aggregating strategy to take on big funds — forget it. The little guys have seen proof of concept $. Only a matter of time till it’s little guys across the globe aggregating in ways not ban-able. It’s gonna be Whac-A-Mole for established players.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
6 months
“There are no facts about the future, just opinions. Anyone who asserts with conviction what he thinks will happen in the macro future is overstating his foresight, whether out of ignorance, hubris or dishonesty.” —Howard Marks
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 years
An exercise (if you don’t know already). Go lock yourself in a room and figure out how he did that.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
3 years
A short lesson to understand why markets move.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
10 years
Buy the dip, buy the dip, then one day...that might not work. HT Raphael Wilhelm. http://t.co/RRkgV0pIHJ
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 months
Who lived it? I did.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
3 months
Indeed.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 years
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@Covel
Michael Covel
5 months
The “Little Book” series wanted to call it “The Little Book of Trend Following.” That would’ve taken away from my first book. Much back and forth until I proposed “Trading.” They accepted.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 years
So many regular people have been destroyed in 2022. Just a little trend following thinking would have changed their lives, i.e. a stop loss.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
29 days
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 years
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 years
A generation is learning that HODL is bad strategy.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 years
Let’s say you are having a bad year. Corona, riots, alien anal probes — whatever happened to you to bring you down. Here is your solution!
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 years
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 years
Sagan. 1996. Society failed his wisdom.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 months
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 months
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@Covel
Michael Covel
5 months
Every war in my lifetime has been a lie.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
7 years
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@Covel
Michael Covel
6 years
Market Wizards is still the trading book where you start first.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 months
#trendfollowing may be philosophically close to perfect, but that doesn’t mean you will have “perfect” performance. Be open to the bucking bronco journey!
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 years
The most amazing chart in the history of markets? Deserves a vote.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
1 year
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 years
The turtles keep inspiring. Read the book!
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@Covel
Michael Covel
18 days
One more PTJ #trendfollowing
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@Covel
Michael Covel
30 days
Most at age 22 choose this. Like clockwork. Wash, rinse, repeat.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 months
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@Covel
Michael Covel
1 month
From a William Eckhardt interview years back. Timeless. #trendfollowing
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@Covel
Michael Covel
1 year
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 years
Reminder to self: Don’t get cocky.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 months
No matter how crazy it gets. No matter how much political screaming. No matter how contradictory the fundamentals. No matter how many amazing CVs on X swear they know. Stop lying to yourself. The price is the only ****ing truth.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 years
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@Covel
Michael Covel
1 year
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@Covel
Michael Covel
3 years
@SJosephBurns Good list. I’ll add “ego.”
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@Covel
Michael Covel
2 years
“Political correctness is fascism pretending to be manners.” —George Carlin
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@Covel
Michael Covel
3 years
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@Covel
Michael Covel
4 years
10,000,000 podcast listens is sort of a cool number. Thanks for listening.
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@Covel
Michael Covel
1 month
Yes. That’s it.
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