📌 Pinned Tweet 📌
🪙 Support my work by subscribing on Twitter, or better yet, donating directly to me on Kofi or via Interac (Email below) ->
🌎 Connect with me with email for business, opportunities, or advertising -> cfpolling(@)gmail(.)com
Federal – Conservative candidate for the Toronto-St. Paul’s byelection, Don Stewart, has won.
The riding has been represented by the Liberals since 1993.
CPC GAIN From LPC
People from the far-right group that disrupted the Terry Fox ceremony this morning just got into an altercation with Jagmeet Singh
One guy calls Singh a “corrupted bastard.” Singh asks him to say it to his face. The guy lies and denies saying it, despite video showing he said it
Youth in Canada voting to the right of boomers is because young people can't get employed and can't afford a home
Hope that helps the political discourse on this one
Until now, all polling has been conducted by a cabal of insiders guessing at what numbers will keep the public sedated
But with the introduction of Twitter Blue's Advanced Identity Verification™, we can conduct real polling for the first time ever
🫡
Don't get too excited
This is probably a "We're ending the deal with the Liberals BUT we're supporting them on a bill by bill basis now"
Meaning nothing will fundamentally change
"Immigrants should only be allowed in Canada if they adopt Canadian values"
Agree: 65% (-)
Disagree: 27% (+1)
Research Co. / October 13, 2023 / n=1000 / Online
(% Change With February 2022)
"Poilievre and the Conservatives have a hidden agenda they won't reveal until after they win the election"
Agree: 54%
Disagree: 30%
Unsure: 16%
Angus Reid / Sept 4, 2024 / n=1602 / Online
"Which party is best to lead on climate change?"
Conservatives: 28%
NDP: 16%
Liberals: 14%
Greens: 13%
None of the Above: 29%
Angus Reid / November 14, 2023 / n=2512 / Online
"Who has been Canada's worst Prime Minister since 1968?"
J. Trudeau: 38%
Harper: 14%
P. Trudeau: 7%
Campbell: 6%
Chretien: 3%
Mulroney: 3%
Clark: 3%
Turner: 2%
Martin: 2%
Unsure: 21%
Research Co. / Aug 21, 2024 / n=1003 / Online
Pierre Poilievre refused to withdraw his comments a number of times before being removed from the House for the day for disregarding the rules of the House
British Columbia Provincial Polling:
NDP: 38% (-10)
CON: 38% (+36)
BCU: 15% (-19)
GRN: 6% (-9)
Others: 3%
Mainstreet Research / April 24, 2024 / n=475 / MOE 3.2% / IVR
(% Change With 2020 Election)
Check out BC model details from
@338Canada
here:
"Do you feel the names of any MP's that have allegedly been involved in supporting foreign interference in our elections should be made public?"
Yes: 74%
No: 10%
Leger / June 23, 2024 / n=1607 / Online
Among 18-39 Year Olds:
"We should ensure immigrants/permanent residents coming to Canada share common Canadian values, such as respect for different minority groups"
Agree: 70%
Disagree: 14%
Leger / June 3, 2024 / n=938 / Online
If this was the result on election night in British Columbia, the Conservatives would pick up about 90% of the seats there
Just a handful of New Democrats and a Liberal would be likely be left
'Everything considered, do you think Justin Trudeau deserves another term as Prime Minister?'
No: 64%
Yes: 36%
Angus Reid / September 12, 2021 / n=1840 / Online
Updated
@338Canada
Federal Model:
CPC: 179 (+60)
LPC: 103 (-57)
BQ: 33 (+1)
NDP: 21 (-4)
GPC: 2 (-)
- September 3, 2023 -
(Seat Changes With 2021 Federal Election)
Check out the model here:
"Transititoning to socialism will improve the economy and well-being of citizens"
Agree: 50%
Disagree: 27%
Unsure: 23%
Leger / October 31, 2022 / n=4037 / Online
(Commissioned by the Fraser Institute)
Leger's Ontario subsample has the Conservatives at nearly 50% in Ontario, and this is the highest the Conservatives have ever clocked in at in the province
(With numbers like these, the Conservatives would pick up about 98 of Ontario's 122 seats)
Updated
@338Canada
Federal Model:
CPC: 152 (+33)
LPC: 129 (-31)
BQ: 30 (-2)
NDP: 25 (-5)
GPC: 2 (-)
- January 22, 2023 -
(Seat Changes With 2021 Federal Election)
Check out the model here:
Among those who grew up non-Christian - "I am offended when people greet me with 'Merry Christmas'"
Disagree: 92%
Agree: 8%
Leger / December 11, 2022 / n=591 / Online
Updated
@338Canada
Federal Model:
CPC: 162 (+43)
LPC: 117 (-43)
BQ: 34 (+2)
NDP: 23 (-2)
GPC: 2 (-)
- July 30, 2023 -
(Seat Changes With 2021 Federal Election)
Check out the model here:
Federal Polling:
CPC: 43% (+9)
LPC: 24% (-9)
NDP: 18% (-)
Abacus Data / February 7, 2024 / n=2398 / Online
(% Change With 2021 Federal Election)
Check out federal details on
@338Canada
at: